Failing-Effacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$70

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 09:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 33% $-7

Other

3% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	6	$21	15	15	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	8	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$3	5	3	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 10:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 11:04
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$2	11	0	+11	Top Esports	$-2	05-09 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$2	17	0	+17	Down	$-2	05-09 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 11:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-09 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Down	$-0	05-10 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$0	5	0	+5	Down	$-0	05-10 09:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 09:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x991e70…
05-10 09:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x71e6e8…
05-09 11:43:12	LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Team WE	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x678c64…
05-09 11:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xc11d47…
05-09 11:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x1aeb5b…
05-09 11:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x8c9661…
05-09 11:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb150d0…
05-09 11:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x76665c…
05-09 11:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x4c421a…
05-09 11:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x16aad7…
05-09 11:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x97c829…
05-09 11:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x0d0d0d…
05-09 11:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xb1cd09…
05-09 11:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0xf1c617…
05-09 11:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4e8d09…
05-09 11:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x32f01a…
05-09 11:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaa5f1c…
05-09 11:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x6c13e9…
05-09 11:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbd41d3…
05-09 11:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x407a81…
05-09 11:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x2ebcc4…
05-09 11:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd6e309…
05-09 11:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xafa9ae…
05-09 11:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xa060b7…
05-09 11:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x669d0c…
05-09 11:06:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbca460…
05-09 11:04:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xccfa96…
05-09 11:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x65267f…
05-09 11:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xd9c17f…
05-09 11:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xaed4e0…
05-09 10:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4cd033…
05-09 10:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd6dfc7…
05-09 10:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x740f9d…
05-09 10:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1d3804…
05-09 10:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x36c6c6…
05-09 10:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x83ac1a…
05-09 10:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x787b35…
05-09 10:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xfed379…
05-09 10:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x73e4c0…
05-09 10:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x18de5a…
05-09 04:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbd0ecd…
05-09 04:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3beb9d…