Grandiose-Sleuth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$16

Hit rate

42.9%

Resolved

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$3.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$146

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-08 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

74% 0% $-42

Sports

20% 50% +$24

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+100	$74	80¢	$80	+$6	05-28 06:56
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	+36	$22	70¢	$25	+$3	05-29 12:10
Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+100	$18	22¢	$22	+$4	06-01 08:56
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	+78	$16	23¢	$18	+$2	06-01 03:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $18M committed to the Space public sale?	3	$304	207	207	+0	open	—	01-15 17:44
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?	4	$273	263	263	+0	open	—	01-15 17:44
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	2	$149	300	300	+0	open	—	02-15 19:53
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	2	$140	200	0	+200	open	—	03-11 20:11
open up or down on february 17 2026	2	$135	100	100	+0	open	—	02-17 19:14
abnb up or down on april 13 2026	6	$130	85	85	+0	open	—	04-12 20:40
hood up or down on april 13 2026	9	$127	83	83	+0	open	—	04-12 20:31
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$127	0	3,700	-3,700	open	—	02-05 19:57
Over $7M committed to the Bitway public sale?	3	$114	100	100	+0	open	—	01-24 20:28
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	5	$100	0	1,429	-1,429	open	—	01-05 10:05
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?	32	$100	0	6,666	-6,666	open	—	01-05 11:47
will googl reach 320 in march	4	$99	123	123	+0	open	—	03-04 16:57
will binance be accused of insider trading	4	$85	50	50	+0	open	—	02-23 18:26
will msft dip to 390 in february	3	$83	100	100	+0	open	—	02-18 17:06
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$78	0	19,447	-19,447	open	—	02-09 05:45
will meta dip to 620 in february	3	$76	75	75	+0	open	—	02-18 17:21
Over $14M committed to the Space public sale?	4	$74	250	91	+159	open	—	01-13 19:01
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$74	100	0	+100	open	—	05-28 06:56
xauusd up or down on april 13 2026	2	$68	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 19:35
will ousmane dembl score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$66	100	0	+100	open	—	06-08 20:39
xagusd up or down on april 13 2026	2	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	04-12 20:39
meta up or down on april 13 2026	3	$64	42	42	+0	open	—	04-12 16:24
will coinbase be accused of insider trading	7	$63	700	700	+0	open	—	02-23 18:53
will googl reach 330 in march	2	$55	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 08:45
googl up or down on april 13 2026	4	$55	76	76	+0	open	—	04-12 16:30
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	49	$54	0	2,094	-2,094	No	+$54	02-16 19:48
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$51	100	50	+50	open	—	01-08 21:48
spy up or down on april 13 2026	2	$49	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 20:38
will open dip to 4 25 in february	2	$47	200	200	+0	open	—	02-24 21:26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	1	$42	200	0	+200	open	—	03-09 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 20:39:58	will ousmane dembl score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x6dca18…
06-01 08:56:20	Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xe55eb0…
06-01 03:04:33	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0xb588a9…
05-30 17:30:55	Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xff2952…
05-30 17:24:03	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	45	29¢	$13	0xf0d918…
05-30 17:08:32	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0x312c7a…
05-30 17:08:04	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	18	28¢	$5	0xd6bf52…
05-30 17:05:13	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0x81bde5…
05-30 17:04:43	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x3ac872…
05-30 16:00:05	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x8b49ec…
05-30 15:59:39	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x4f4ef3…
05-30 15:55:13	Desire Doue: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb58e30…
05-30 15:54:41	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xbbf514…
05-30 15:54:31	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x1031c0…
05-29 12:10:04	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0x5a43ae…
05-28 06:56:11	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x96a6f7…
05-15 16:21:30	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	FUT Esports	BUY	3	19¢	$0	0xf2c93c…
05-14 17:13:13	Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid Academy (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs	Team Liquid Academy	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x77a1d0…
05-14 17:13:13	Valorant: Enterprise Esports vs Team Liquid Academy (BO5) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs	Team Liquid Academy	BUY	2	28¢	$0	0x2f3694…
05-14 15:45:15	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK - Map 2 Winner	TDK	SELL	24	17¢	$4	0xd502ed…
05-14 15:43:55	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs TDK - Map 2 Winner	TDK	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x2cbe1f…
05-09 19:18:44	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	42	18¢	$8	0x9cd6ca…
05-09 19:18:35	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x3a13f6…
05-09 19:12:01	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xb3a20e…
05-09 19:11:54	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOUD - Game 4 Winner	Vivo Keyd Stars	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0x324558…
05-06 12:05:56	LoL: RAYN Clocks vs Arneb - Game 2 Winner	RAYN Clocks	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xa7ddbd…
05-06 11:51:26	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x6dff85…
05-06 11:50:02	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6f309e…
05-06 11:49:36	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	90	3¢	$2	0xee938f…
05-06 11:48:24	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xce01f5…
04-14 09:00:31	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0x7bb5bc…
04-14 09:00:07	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x261ac5…
04-14 09:00:01	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x2e394a…
04-14 08:57:55	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0xa347a6…
04-14 08:57:55	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x354015…
04-12 20:40:13	abnb up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x28b87c…
04-12 20:39:35	xagusd up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x5ab893…
04-12 20:38:57	spy up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xec90e3…
04-12 20:31:01	hood up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	46	75¢	$35	0x9a3f89…
04-12 20:30:49	hood up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xa87ceb…
04-12 19:56:39	abnb up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xc2e352…
04-12 19:35:03	xauusd up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0x535477…
04-12 19:21:57	spy up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x517de2…
04-12 19:08:51	hood up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x293700…
04-12 17:33:19	hood up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xa4a61b…
04-12 17:25:35	xauusd up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xb046cc…
04-12 17:05:53	abnb up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	50	79¢	$40	0xfdc57e…
04-12 16:30:51	googl up or down on april 13 2026	Up	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x8cb984…
04-12 16:26:59	hood up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0xfe1c1e…
04-12 16:24:49	meta up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	42	76¢	$32	0x22fe01…
04-12 16:24:17	meta up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0xb0d848…
04-12 16:24:11	abnb up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xf07561…
04-12 16:23:55	abnb up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	23	75¢	$17	0x206540…
04-12 16:22:41	xagusd up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xf0cb4c…
04-12 16:22:37	meta up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0xb88919…
04-12 16:17:25	hood up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0xc65949…
04-12 16:13:51	abnb up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	23	76¢	$18	0x972953…
04-12 16:11:27	googl up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x9800a1…
04-12 16:11:27	googl up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0x9800a1…
04-12 16:09:45	hood up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0xf5ad20…
04-12 16:09:31	hood up or down on april 13 2026	Down	SELL	14	82¢	$12	0xbaf6e6…
04-12 16:01:03	hood up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x62b743…
04-12 16:00:21	googl up or down on april 13 2026	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x25b027…
04-12 12:21:13	lol dcg tsw 2026 04 12 game1	Deep Cross Gaming	SELL	50	45¢	$23	0xd4d92f…
04-12 12:19:49	lol dcg tsw 2026 04 12 game1	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x29c11b…
04-11 09:07:01	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	57	28¢	$16	0x5a9b66…
04-11 08:50:39	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0xb8ea30…
03-17 11:36:09	Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x837b6b…
03-17 11:18:29	Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xf1e054…
03-17 11:18:29	Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x947543…
03-17 11:18:29	Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0x59925a…
03-17 11:18:29	Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x0a98f4…
03-11 20:11:13	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	70¢	$134	0x66a13e…
03-11 20:09:57	Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x0aa9cb…
03-09 20:39:37	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xe2ebca…
03-04 16:57:51	will googl reach 320 in march	Yes	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x4abf2b…
03-04 16:39:03	will googl reach 320 in march	Yes	BUY	23	52¢	$12	0x406017…
03-04 08:45:19	will googl reach 330 in march	Yes	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x69f341…
03-03 20:06:55	will googl reach 330 in march	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xc8a136…
03-02 20:10:17	will googl reach 320 in march	No	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0x3db3f4…
03-02 16:58:57	will googl reach 320 in march	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x349055…
02-26 18:13:50	will pltr dip to 126 in february	Yes	SELL	72	10¢	$7	0x967003…
02-26 17:09:48	will pltr dip to 126 in february	Yes	BUY	72	8¢	$6	0x71665b…
02-24 21:26:54	will open dip to 4 25 in february	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$19	0xf9d9d0…
02-24 18:53:48	will open dip to 4 25 in february	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$29	0x325c64…
02-23 21:07:50	will ethena be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	373	4¢	$14	0x9f49a4…
02-23 19:17:12	will ethena be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x6c29e3…
02-23 19:15:42	will flashbots be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x23dae4…
02-23 18:53:12	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	535	4¢	$21	0xc71adf…
02-23 18:51:30	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x19e882…
02-23 18:51:28	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x56f12c…
02-23 18:48:02	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	107	4¢	$4	0x7d3b36…
02-23 18:42:56	will aave be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x83a293…
02-23 18:41:44	will ethena be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x4cca06…
02-23 18:27:12	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	0	5¢	$0	0x394218…
02-23 18:26:24	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xfc05d5…
02-23 18:26:04	will binance be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	30	85¢	$25	0x3283c0…
02-23 18:16:40	will coinbase be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	700	5¢	$35	0x010293…
02-23 18:15:30	will binance be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x80d346…
02-23 18:15:28	will binance be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0xde2045…