Frigid-Swath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 06-12 14:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 42% $-51

Other

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$235	258	0	+258	open	—	04-25 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$144	98	95	+3	open	—	04-25 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$100	203	0	+203	open	—	04-25 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$90	58	58	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$49	38	38	+0	open	—	05-03 09:30
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$47	65	63	+3	open	—	04-26 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 13:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	2	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	04-26 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$35	28	28	+0	open	—	05-03 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$34	72	0	+72	Down	$-34	05-07 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$31	34	20	+14	Down	$-9	05-06 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$30	147	0	+147	open	—	04-26 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-26 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	05-01 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$27	21	21	+0	open	—	05-02 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$26	37	21	+17	open	—	05-02 09:49
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$23	55	0	+55	open	—	04-27 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$22	24	9	+15	open	—	05-02 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$21	25	25	+0	open	—	05-02 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	Down	$-20	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	05-02 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$20	29	0	+29	Up	+$9	05-05 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$20	24	0	+24	open	—	04-25 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$18	20	20	+0	Down	$-2	05-06 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$18	17	17	+0	open	—	05-02 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$16	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	04-25 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 14:39:46	btc updown 5m 1781274900	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcb7729…
06-12 14:38:57	btc updown 5m 1781274900	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb48381…
05-07 03:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	72	47¢	$34	0xe44b84…
05-07 03:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xeffda8…
05-07 03:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb7ec0d…
05-06 21:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	58	89¢	$51	0xee613b…
05-06 21:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0xa2e32a…
05-06 13:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x608692…
05-06 13:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x95acd9…
05-06 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa32c8c…
05-06 13:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xd28219…
05-06 13:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2c6dde…
05-06 13:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x590bff…
05-06 13:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb62d5d…
05-05 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9ea368…
05-05 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x18e6e6…
05-05 22:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb857ad…
05-05 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x173c06…
05-05 22:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x20588f…
05-05 21:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xf1f83b…
05-05 20:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xabb164…
05-05 20:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf26fea…
05-04 00:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x4ac001…
05-04 00:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb21a65…
05-03 16:16:02	LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Heretics	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x09a9dc…
05-03 16:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa392e6…
05-03 16:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e2683…
05-03 15:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	75¢	$9	0x51771a…
05-03 15:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x04064e…
05-03 15:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x210d1b…
05-03 15:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x252259…
05-03 15:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x3cf35c…
05-03 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf742aa…
05-03 14:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x485af1…
05-03 14:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	81¢	$9	0x14e6da…
05-03 14:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb7377a…
05-03 09:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb2e2a7…
05-03 09:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xad1e0e…
05-03 09:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x5e2975…
05-03 09:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb7b538…
05-03 09:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0x3cb925…
05-03 09:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4421bb…
05-03 09:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x8905c0…
05-03 09:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd8ba23…
05-03 09:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x167bfd…
05-03 09:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6ea617…
05-03 09:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0xf09479…
05-03 08:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3d4630…
05-03 08:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0x736e71…
05-03 08:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd4d1b1…
05-03 08:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x0ac4f5…
05-03 08:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x53c110…
05-03 08:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x943b57…
05-03 08:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x95f954…
05-02 23:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x42ae69…
05-02 23:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x49c26d…
05-02 23:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x2304b5…
05-02 23:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	51¢	$9	0x6b15a7…
05-02 23:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x629810…
05-02 23:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9e24c4…
05-02 23:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	24¢	$5	0xf74fad…
05-02 23:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x39ae38…
05-02 23:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x2982a0…
05-02 23:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x4f96eb…
05-02 23:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x02f755…
05-02 21:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0xe5897b…
05-02 21:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf49153…
05-02 21:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x2b26fd…
05-02 21:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x919131…
05-02 21:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf6b76a…
05-02 17:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	22	44¢	$9	0xbff066…
05-02 17:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb16598…
05-02 17:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4ecb85…
05-02 17:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xd06a8b…
05-02 17:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x494e17…
05-02 17:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xdef873…
05-02 17:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6ccd4e…
05-02 17:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	21¢	$6	0x827f78…
05-02 17:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xadad1c…
05-02 12:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0xe6346a…
05-02 12:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xca5253…
05-02 10:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2f5b32…
05-02 10:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x0fb8c0…
05-02 10:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x1e55ab…
05-02 09:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6def8a…
05-02 09:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x58ca19…
05-02 09:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6e53c7…
05-02 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x7dfc29…
05-02 09:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x48e8d1…
05-02 09:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x90c088…
05-02 09:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x164043…
05-02 09:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x5a9a3a…
05-02 09:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	76¢	$13	0xf168c7…
05-02 09:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf88099…
05-02 09:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x01249a…
05-02 09:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9f7ab6…
05-01 21:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0xa4aa11…
05-01 21:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc7984d…
05-01 21:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xee0d79…
05-01 21:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x223856…