Frigid-Swath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$2.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 07-16 09:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 42% $-51

Other

4% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$235	258	0	+258	open	—	04-25 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$144	98	95	+3	open	—	04-25 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$100	203	0	+203	open	—	04-25 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$90	58	58	+0	Up	+$13	05-06 21:53
btc updown 5m 1781571300	4	$83	46	46	+0	open	—	06-16 00:58
btc updown 5m 1781570700	7	$83	94	88	+6	open	—	06-16 00:49
btc updown 5m 1781571000	3	$59	45	23	+22	open	—	06-16 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$49	38	38	+0	open	—	05-03 09:30
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	2	$47	65	63	+3	open	—	04-26 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$42	22	22	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 13:30
btc updown 5m 1784195100	2	$40	53	0	+53	open	—	07-16 09:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	2	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	04-26 01:41
btc updown 5m 1781569500	9	$35	37	32	+5	open	—	06-16 00:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	4	$35	28	28	+0	open	—	05-03 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$34	72	0	+72	Down	$-34	05-07 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$31	34	20	+14	Down	$-9	05-06 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$31	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$30	147	0	+147	open	—	04-26 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-26 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$29	25	25	+0	open	—	05-01 21:53
btc updown 5m 1781571600	3	$28	13	22	-9	open	—	06-16 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$28	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$27	21	21	+0	open	—	05-02 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$26	37	21	+17	open	—	05-02 09:49
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$23	55	0	+55	open	—	04-27 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	05-04 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$22	24	9	+15	open	—	05-02 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$21	25	25	+0	open	—	05-02 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	05-02 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$20	29	0	+29	Up	+$9	05-05 21:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 09:48:34	btc updown 5m 1784195100	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xfabbaa…
07-16 09:48:34	btc updown 5m 1784195100	Up	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x604a37…
06-16 01:02:31	btc updown 5m 1781571600	Up	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0x3e1a0e…
06-16 01:01:34	btc updown 5m 1781571600	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7141dd…
06-16 01:00:42	btc updown 5m 1781571600	Up	SELL	9	69¢	$7	0x7ab558…
06-16 00:58:55	btc updown 5m 1781571300	Down	SELL	20	97¢	$20	0x771799…
06-16 00:58:06	btc updown 5m 1781571300	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6dd0a2…
06-16 00:56:45	btc updown 5m 1781571300	Down	SELL	26	91¢	$24	0x44d56a…
06-16 00:55:39	btc updown 5m 1781571300	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xdb9fdd…
06-16 00:54:13	btc updown 5m 1781571000	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x414bde…
06-16 00:52:54	btc updown 5m 1781571000	Down	SELL	23	82¢	$19	0xc18211…
06-16 00:51:12	btc updown 5m 1781571000	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xa74cd9…
06-16 00:49:06	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xff5dfa…
06-16 00:47:52	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	SELL	16	34¢	$5	0x455b92…
06-16 00:47:12	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x3f39f6…
06-16 00:46:31	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	SELL	24	45¢	$11	0x99d3a2…
06-16 00:46:10	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x6a5923…
06-16 00:45:51	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	SELL	48	57¢	$27	0x183de4…
06-16 00:45:36	btc updown 5m 1781570700	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x91b104…
06-16 00:39:06	btc updown 5m 1781570400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xca1eb9…
06-16 00:38:16	btc updown 5m 1781570100	Down	SELL	19	15¢	$3	0x56595c…
06-16 00:37:27	btc updown 5m 1781570100	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x37cf46…
06-16 00:36:18	btc updown 5m 1781570100	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x927f5f…
06-16 00:35:30	btc updown 5m 1781570100	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x79a0bd…
06-16 00:31:58	btc updown 5m 1781569800	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x946128…
06-16 00:28:55	btc updown 5m 1781569500	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x17385b…
06-16 00:28:28	btc updown 5m 1781569500	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xee2aef…
06-16 00:28:03	btc updown 5m 1781569500	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6ee168…
06-16 00:27:39	btc updown 5m 1781569500	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x9ee832…
06-16 00:27:03	btc updown 5m 1781569500	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x030c44…
06-16 00:26:52	btc updown 5m 1781569500	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x07fd8f…
06-16 00:26:09	btc updown 5m 1781569500	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$3	0x6d4524…
06-16 00:25:45	btc updown 5m 1781569500	Down	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0xc1ae89…
06-16 00:23:31	btc updown 5m 1781569500	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x25fbcc…
06-16 00:17:18	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals bruno fernandes gte1	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x160b68…
06-15 14:53:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 assists cucurella gte1	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa96fdf…
06-15 14:41:15	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	SELL	26	12¢	$3	0xceb979…
06-15 14:30:31	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 goals lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x246f01…
06-15 11:35:37	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xab0324…
06-14 18:20:46	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 win by submission	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xd2ee74…
06-14 16:22:01	btc updown 5m 1781454000	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x53c1de…
06-14 16:18:58	btc updown 5m 1781453700	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7e4ac3…
06-14 16:18:46	btc updown 5m 1781453700	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xe8d111…
06-14 16:17:52	btc updown 5m 1781453700	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xee4665…
06-14 16:17:25	btc updown 5m 1781453700	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x530ebc…
06-14 16:17:09	btc updown 5m 1781453700	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xde9123…
06-14 08:14:34	btc updown 5m 1781424600	Up	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xd307dd…
06-14 08:10:43	btc updown 5m 1781424600	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa4dae3…
06-14 08:09:06	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb297fb…
06-14 08:02:48	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x10223c…
06-12 14:39:46	btc updown 5m 1781274900	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcb7729…
06-12 14:38:57	btc updown 5m 1781274900	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xb48381…
05-07 03:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	72	47¢	$34	0xe44b84…
05-07 03:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xeffda8…
05-07 03:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb7ec0d…
05-06 21:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	58	89¢	$51	0xee613b…
05-06 21:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0xa2e32a…
05-06 13:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x608692…
05-06 13:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x95acd9…
05-06 13:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa32c8c…
05-06 13:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xd28219…
05-06 13:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2c6dde…
05-06 13:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x590bff…
05-06 13:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb62d5d…
05-05 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9ea368…
05-05 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x18e6e6…
05-05 22:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb857ad…
05-05 22:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	15	74¢	$11	0x173c06…
05-05 22:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x20588f…
05-05 21:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xf1f83b…
05-05 20:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xabb164…
05-05 20:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf26fea…
05-04 00:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	90¢	$12	0x4ac001…
05-04 00:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xb21a65…
05-03 16:16:02	LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Team Heretics	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x09a9dc…
05-03 16:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa392e6…
05-03 16:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e2683…
05-03 15:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	75¢	$9	0x51771a…
05-03 15:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x04064e…
05-03 15:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x210d1b…
05-03 15:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x252259…
05-03 15:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x3cf35c…
05-03 15:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf742aa…
05-03 14:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x485af1…
05-03 14:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	81¢	$9	0x14e6da…
05-03 14:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb7377a…
05-03 09:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xb2e2a7…
05-03 09:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xad1e0e…
05-03 09:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x5e2975…
05-03 09:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb7b538…
05-03 09:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	17	85¢	$15	0x3cb925…
05-03 09:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x4421bb…
05-03 09:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x8905c0…
05-03 09:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd8ba23…
05-03 09:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x167bfd…
05-03 09:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6ea617…
05-03 09:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0xf09479…
05-03 08:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3d4630…
05-03 08:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0x736e71…
05-03 08:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd4d1b1…