Mean-Diagnosis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$304

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-30 19:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$12

Other

32% 60% +$13

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$38	40	40	+0	open	—	05-30 19:32
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	2	$35	26	26	+0	Red Feet	+$15	05-13 18:26
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$35	56	0	+56	open	—	05-14 07:11
Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	2	$33	20	20	+0	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	+$7	05-13 14:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	open	—	05-30 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$25	33	0	+33	Up	+$8	05-14 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$25	32	0	+32	open	—	05-30 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	4	$21	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 05:44
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	4	$18	12	12	+0	Team Falcons	+$2	05-13 14:46
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B	1	$10	23	0	+23	G2 Ares	$-10	05-13 19:46
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	05-14 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-13 17:19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$1	17	17	+0	Vitality	$-1	05-13 17:21
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	05-13 19:41
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	05-12 20:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 19:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0xae783a…
05-30 19:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3aa446…
05-30 19:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xdef40a…
05-30 19:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xd998d8…
05-14 07:13:37	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xc4abf6…
05-14 07:11:04	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	56	63¢	$35	0xe02b2d…
05-14 05:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x051356…
05-14 05:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xef1c88…
05-14 05:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x03dfa9…
05-14 05:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xbe97be…
05-14 05:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xf05e2d…
05-13 19:46:14	Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B	MASONIC	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x38aa59…
05-13 19:41:29	Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Banger Gang (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	QUAZAR	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x32a86a…
05-13 18:26:56	Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	Red Feet	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0xa4647f…
05-13 17:43:36	Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	Red Feet	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xbaa48f…
05-13 17:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x964083…
05-13 17:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x5d82a5…
05-13 17:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6f34f0…
05-13 17:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4a5a3b…
05-13 17:21:13	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FaZe	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x7adee6…
05-13 17:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf1e16a…
05-13 16:49:14	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	FaZe	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xbfe757…
05-13 14:46:10	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0xcd8b15…
05-13 14:35:19	Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7b065b…
05-13 14:06:22	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x67aab1…
05-13 13:57:21	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x2d2d1b…
05-13 13:56:34	Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x7913b8…
05-13 13:18:25	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x870c34…
05-12 20:11:24	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x644b42…