Lost-Composite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 04-28 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 33% $-1

Sports

25% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.4K	678	678	+0	No	$-1	04-11 22:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$956	479	479	+0	open	—	04-16 20:52
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$830	417	417	+0	open	—	03-30 06:45
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$810	405	405	+0	open	—	03-24 08:18
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$780	391	391	+0	open	—	03-26 08:24
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$514	258	258	+0	No	$-0	03-28 23:50
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$488	244	244	+0	No	+$0	03-31 11:56
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$472	236	236	+0	open	—	03-01 11:35
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$472	236	236	+0	open	—	03-27 11:44
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$458	229	229	+0	open	—	03-27 06:19
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$454	227	227	+0	open	—	04-05 16:04
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$436	219	219	+0	open	—	03-25 15:36
will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	2	$424	212	212	+0	open	—	03-26 19:33
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$424	213	213	+0	open	—	03-25 23:37
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$418	210	210	+0	open	—	04-27 17:11
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$350	175	175	+0	open	—	03-23 05:28
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$332	166	166	+0	open	—	03-25 10:08
nba bkn lal 2026 03 27	1	$51	55	0	+55	open	—	03-27 20:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-28 19:57
nba was mia 2026 03 10	1	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	03-10 18:39
nba hou sas 2026 03 08	1	$35	53	0	+53	open	—	03-08 22:10
nba was lal 2026 03 30	1	$35	38	0	+38	open	—	03-30 23:36
nba cle uta 2026 03 30	1	$32	35	0	+35	open	—	03-30 23:35
nba dal cha 2026 03 03	1	$31	36	0	+36	open	—	03-03 20:28
nba det okc 2026 03 30	1	$23	27	0	+27	open	—	03-30 23:36
nba phx mil 2026 03 10	1	$22	46	0	+46	open	—	03-10 18:38
nba phx orl 2026 03 31	1	$20	37	0	+37	open	—	03-31 20:55
nba hou min 2026 03 25	1	$19	42	0	+42	open	—	03-25 23:37
nba mia cle 2026 03 27	1	$19	29	0	+29	open	—	03-27 20:08
nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	1	$17	32	0	+32	open	—	03-23 21:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 19:57:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x94310f…
04-27 17:11:54	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0xeef94e…
04-27 12:20:26	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$209	0x2c9e9b…
04-16 20:52:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0xfb02e9…
04-16 19:42:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x6254a4…
04-11 22:30:39	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	264	100¢	$263	0x107c71…
04-11 20:50:49	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	264	100¢	$263	0xafc321…
04-08 04:52:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0xaf368f…
04-07 18:03:59	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	267	100¢	$266	0x48f4d1…
04-06 22:50:01	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x4a329f…
04-06 19:30:51	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x715070…
04-05 16:04:21	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$227	0x53f876…
04-05 09:13:47	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x713c1b…
03-31 20:55:07	nba phx orl 2026 03 31	Magic	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x396bce…
03-31 11:56:07	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x360eba…
03-31 11:49:39	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x458999…
03-31 11:38:51	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x914238…
03-31 08:18:19	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xca7489…
03-30 23:36:39	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Lakers	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x7d2df7…
03-30 23:36:11	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Thunder	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0xb37fe8…
03-30 23:35:37	nba cle uta 2026 03 30	Cavaliers	BUY	35	93¢	$32	0x230a50…
03-30 06:45:10	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0xcc31d2…
03-30 02:47:48	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0x8eb612…
03-29 16:18:30	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$189	0xc08ba8…
03-29 12:19:46	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x36984e…
03-28 23:50:08	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	258	100¢	$257	0x0ba50b…
03-28 19:57:48	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0x6ea529…
03-27 20:08:25	nba mia cle 2026 03 27	Cavaliers	BUY	29	66¢	$19	0x30a4b3…
03-27 20:07:51	nba bkn lal 2026 03 27	Lakers	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0xf488ec…
03-27 11:44:23	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0xab85ac…
03-27 06:19:21	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x054247…
03-27 06:19:05	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0xe3cab8…
03-27 00:56:09	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x64f745…
03-26 19:33:11	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0xf94a21…
03-26 14:04:49	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x700bee…
03-26 08:24:33	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0x784591…
03-26 02:54:23	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0xaba168…
03-25 23:37:35	nba hou min 2026 03 25	Timberwolves	BUY	42	46¢	$19	0xa5472f…
03-25 23:37:15	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	213	99¢	$212	0x8ebf9d…
03-25 17:06:11	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0xad2804…
03-25 15:36:07	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$218	0x6dd5db…
03-25 10:08:23	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$218	0xd846d6…
03-25 10:08:07	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	166	100¢	$166	0x9c8bca…
03-25 04:37:17	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xe3d4ac…
03-24 19:32:41	nba sac cha 2026 03 24	Kings	BUY	46	8¢	$4	0x8692a0…
03-24 08:18:27	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0xaccbe1…
03-24 02:50:21	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0x45c90b…
03-23 21:46:57	nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	Warriors	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x7c0d00…
03-23 21:46:35	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$223	0x78ea14…
03-23 16:15:31	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$223	0xf86e9a…
03-23 05:28:51	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	175	100¢	$175	0x1e8d64…
03-23 00:05:49	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0x282f88…
03-22 18:45:59	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0xef9c9a…
03-22 13:22:35	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x70ff0c…
03-10 18:39:47	nba mem phi 2026 03 10	Grizzlies	BUY	37	42¢	$15	0x653c87…
03-10 18:39:21	nba was mia 2026 03 10	Heat	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x897f10…
03-10 18:38:51	nba phx mil 2026 03 10	Bucks	BUY	46	48¢	$22	0x25642a…
03-08 22:10:07	nba hou sas 2026 03 08	Spurs	BUY	53	67¢	$35	0x562eaa…
03-03 20:28:17	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0x293828…
03-03 10:48:09	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	243	100¢	$243	0x84e82f…
03-02 11:15:25	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	243	100¢	$243	0xeb66bd…
03-01 11:35:49	Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	236	100¢	$236	0x282f88…
02-27 14:26:59	Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0xdcaa4c…
02-24 19:26:00	bitcoin above 72k on february 25	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x11b9ee…