Gruesome-Mandate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

11.6%

Resolved

411

Trades

1,752

lifetime

Volume

$5.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 05-21 06:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 24% $-23

Politics

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 133 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$680	633	633	+0	open	—	04-08 07:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$120	4,734	0	+4,734	open	—	04-26 18:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$50	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-24 13:03
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$30	628	0	+628	open	—	04-26 18:14
btc updown 5m 1776991200	3	$8	4	5	-1	open	—	04-24 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	05-04 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 08:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	05-04 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	Down	+$0	05-11 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Down	+$0	05-05 13:29
btc updown 5m 1776671100	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-20 07:49
btc updown 5m 1776678600	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-20 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-04 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-04 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-03 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-03 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Down	$-1	05-06 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-27 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-01 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-27 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Down	$-1	05-05 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Up	+$1	05-05 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$6	4	5	-1	open	—	05-02 20:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-03 07:34
btc updown 5m 1776684000	2	$6	4	5	-2	open	—	04-20 11:24
btc updown 5m 1775488500	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-06 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$6	1	5	-4	Up	$-0	05-11 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	Down	+$1	05-12 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 06:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf7aaf7…
05-21 03:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x9f1028…
05-21 02:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xea20f5…
05-21 02:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x14ea5e…
05-20 23:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x8ca452…
05-20 21:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb789a2…
05-20 16:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xcc639f…
05-20 14:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf1fb68…
05-20 09:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xa30963…
05-20 08:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa6e637…
05-20 08:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6d4bdc…
05-20 08:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x1cb580…
05-20 07:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9001e2…
05-20 07:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x46ec03…
05-20 06:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa7fbad…
05-20 05:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xd2fe0f…
05-20 03:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x971c46…
05-20 03:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xefa942…
05-20 03:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xeb2337…
05-20 02:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9a8e8d…
05-20 01:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xbd6fed…
05-20 01:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x092514…
05-20 00:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xd249b6…
05-19 20:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x54d7d2…
05-19 19:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x37000e…
05-19 18:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x68e54b…
05-19 18:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0xacd324…
05-19 13:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x8aef96…
05-19 13:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4b6141…
05-19 12:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc93a29…
05-19 11:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xa554cb…
05-19 10:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xdb4c6d…
05-19 05:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5a3554…
05-19 04:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2cab01…
05-19 04:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7e4073…
05-19 03:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xec4014…
05-19 03:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x2ce95c…
05-19 02:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x5076f6…
05-19 00:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcbec52…
05-18 23:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xc6c888…
05-18 22:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf1c259…
05-18 22:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xe999a8…
05-18 22:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x662314…
05-18 21:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x278a0b…
05-18 21:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3a6cd4…
05-18 19:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa07b0f…
05-18 18:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf1fb40…
05-18 18:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x05a15e…
05-18 17:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8f0780…
05-18 17:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x24d295…
05-18 17:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x6c716c…
05-18 17:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x16d67b…
05-18 16:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x215ad0…
05-18 16:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x3a7886…
05-18 16:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xb39275…
05-18 16:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5779d4…
05-18 15:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x9f84ca…
05-18 14:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x3e39be…
05-18 14:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb8e89c…
05-18 14:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xec12cb…
05-18 14:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x063cb0…
05-18 14:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x889aa7…
05-18 13:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x031e44…
05-18 13:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xfbacd1…
05-18 13:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x21f8dd…
05-18 13:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xeae356…
05-18 13:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x177199…
05-18 13:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x0d00dc…
05-18 12:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x1f7a9a…
05-18 12:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xbcf1f1…
05-18 12:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc31c28…
05-18 12:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x0568c7…
05-18 12:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe5aa85…
05-18 12:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x8733bc…
05-18 12:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xea43c7…
05-18 11:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x4cdd93…
05-18 11:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xaa5e07…
05-18 11:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xc7535e…
05-18 11:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7351c2…
05-18 10:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xe9953a…
05-18 10:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xa7a270…
05-18 10:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xeb0295…
05-18 10:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4c278c…
05-18 10:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x068a9d…
05-18 09:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa8fb13…
05-18 09:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xddeeb8…
05-18 09:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xfd7c94…
05-18 09:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd0c2f8…
05-18 08:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb37582…
05-18 08:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8306da…
05-18 08:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x81cfce…
05-18 08:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9251c6…
05-18 08:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x421ff0…
05-18 08:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x967b4e…
05-18 08:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb32603…
05-18 07:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0xe8037c…
05-18 07:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4a4a16…
05-18 07:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x59366b…
05-18 07:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x827b31…
05-18 07:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x356a0a…