Liquid-Wheat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$66

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-15 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 50% $-3

Other

41% — —

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$107	107	+107	open	—	02-15 08:05
will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	1	$106	107	+107	open	—	02-12 01:35
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	02-04 07:05
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	01-31 10:51
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 500 519	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	01-27 06:07
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	1	$106	106	+106	open	—	01-22 09:09
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	03-09 01:26
bitcoin above 64k on march 18	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	03-17 11:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 13	1	$103	103	+103	open	—	03-13 08:33
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 160 179	1	$102	102	+102	open	—	04-01 02:23
bitcoin above 92k on january 19	1	$101	106	+106	open	—	01-18 02:47
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 280 299	1	$101	101	+101	open	—	01-09 03:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-05 09:05
bitcoin above 82k on march 25	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	03-23 08:14
elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 240plus	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-17 08:31
bitcoin above 84k on april 24	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	04-24 02:29
bitcoin above 76k on march 28	1	$99	99	+99	open	—	03-27 11:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	1	$97	97	+97	open	—	05-15 10:53
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$95	95	+95	open	—	04-07 03:43
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 12	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	04-10 09:08
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	04-10 08:46
bitcoin above 74k on march 9	1	$4	2,000	+2,000	open	—	03-09 01:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	1	$3	1,615	+1,615	No	$-3	05-10 06:10
Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-17 08:31
donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 160 179	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-27 11:20
bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-27 11:20
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 10	1	$1	600	+600	open	—	04-10 08:47
Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-17 08:30
Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-17 08:30
will mytsa be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 27 334	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-27 11:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 10:53:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x906477…
05-10 06:10:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	1,615	0¢	$3	0x31eb03…
05-05 09:05:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfd2cfd…
04-24 02:29:58	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x3fdd90…
04-17 08:31:36	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 240plus	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0xdbd55e…
04-17 08:31:02	Will Z.ai have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x31af47…
04-17 08:30:52	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8024e9…
04-17 08:30:48	Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa73e57…
04-10 09:08:55	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on april 12	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x672b54…
04-10 08:47:47	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 76000 on april 10	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xb09790…
04-10 08:46:55	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7bd446…
04-07 03:43:47	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x1e6986…
04-01 02:23:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 160 179	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x46384a…
03-27 11:23:51	bitcoin above 76k on march 28	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x0f5de6…
03-27 11:20:51	will mytsa be 1 free app in the us apple app store on march 27 334	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb4045e…
03-27 11:20:41	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 160 179	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc01873…
03-27 11:20:33	bitcoin up or down on march 27 2026	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd05f2b…
03-23 08:15:03	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1355e0…
03-23 08:14:45	bitcoin above 82k on march 25	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1e99ff…
03-17 11:01:37	bitcoin above 64k on march 18	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x71349c…
03-13 08:33:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 13	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x520235…
03-09 01:26:39	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xf9253f…
03-09 01:19:21	bitcoin above 74k on march 9	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x93aa20…
02-15 08:05:27	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x6ce948…
02-12 01:35:01	will the us next strike iran on february 11 2026 et	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x0f87da…
02-04 07:05:44	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 0 19	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x837e6f…
01-31 10:51:42	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 240 259	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x3ff4bd…
01-27 06:07:59	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 500 519	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x5fa8fc…
01-22 09:09:18	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xc450cc…
01-18 02:47:24	bitcoin above 92k on january 19	Yes	BUY	106	96¢	$101	0xb72f65…
01-09 03:14:46	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 280 299	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xe83240…