Afraid-Message — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

36.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-09 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

71% — —

Other

29% 40% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (5)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	-4	$-4	88¢	$-4	$-0	05-09 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	+2	$1	81¢	$1	+$0	05-09 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	05-09 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	-2	$-1	0¢	$-0	+$1	05-08 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 15:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x07c232…
05-09 15:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x542eb8…
05-09 15:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9ad6f5…
05-09 15:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa0d3cc…
05-09 15:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$4	0x5c2cb9…
05-09 14:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xc1707f…
05-09 14:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xa37d78…
05-09 14:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x79eef3…
05-09 14:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2cf3d6…
05-09 13:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x63ac57…
05-08 16:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 8?	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x5c5418…
05-08 05:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or higher on May 9?	Yes	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x362132…
05-07 19:06:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 7?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x887088…
05-07 13:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcd1dcd…
05-07 09:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 7?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x30ca8c…
05-06 16:30:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x3999e5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$2.29K	125	05-09 15:54
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	6	$1.27K	11	05-09 15:54
Baggy-Signature 0xe791…f546	6	$720	7	05-09 15:52
Cumbersome-Altitude-Mystery 0x2c69…6ad0	6	$709	49	05-09 15:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$573	26	05-09 15:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	05-09 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$4	0	4	-4	open	—	05-09 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-09 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	05-09 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-09 14:18
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or higher on May 9?	1	$1	0	2	-2	open	—	05-08 05:34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 7?	1	$1	0	2	-2	Yes	$-1	05-07 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-07 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-09 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-09 15:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 7?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	$-1	05-06 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-09 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C or higher on May 7?	1	$1	0	1	-1	Yes	$-0	05-07 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on May 8?	1	$1	0	4	-4	No	+$1	05-08 16:37