Watchful-Hut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$658

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-09 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

83% — —

Crypto

14% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 0% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$133	67	67	+0	open	—	04-17 04:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	2	$133	67	67	+0	open	—	04-24 11:41
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$132	66	66	+0	open	—	04-23 17:54
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$123	62	62	+0	open	—	04-19 08:00
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-18 21:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	1	$25	25	0	+25	Yes	+$0	05-06 10:32
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 05:19
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-07 15:16
Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-26 17:07
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	1	$8	14	0	+14	open	—	05-16 03:25
mlb atl cws 2026 06 09	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	06-09 02:03
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$6	13	0	+13	Knicks	$-6	05-10 08:11
will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-27 09:19
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-07 09:37
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	03-08 08:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 02:03:55	mlb atl cws 2026 06 09	Atlanta Braves	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0x031ff9…
05-26 17:07:51	Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbb3267…
05-18 21:26:52	Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xefa988…
05-16 03:25:06	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xf905b1…
05-10 08:11:44	Knicks vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x0914f3…
05-06 10:32:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc5effd…
04-24 11:41:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	67	100¢	$66	0xbe5838…
04-24 10:43:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x3314e9…
04-23 17:54:46	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x831ec1…
04-23 17:09:32	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x7f6a4d…
04-19 08:00:38	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xe4e381…
04-19 07:10:36	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x27d59b…
04-17 04:55:58	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	67	99¢	$67	0x63edd2…
04-17 03:41:20	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$67	0xf9c52d…
03-27 09:19:07	will gold gc hit high 5600 by end of march	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1dc35d…
03-08 08:47:15	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xcadb59…
03-07 09:37:05	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xc5d68a…
03-06 05:19:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x47e430…
02-14 12:04:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x3146c6…
01-07 15:16:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x157ba1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	11	$13.2K	245	05-22 05:24
Multicolored-Billing 0x69af…0a19	10	$27.6K	982	05-19 12:36
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	10	$3.63K	112	05-10 22:34
Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504	9	$10.9K	444	05-18 16:27
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	9	$1.61K	1,708	04-22 10:51
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	9	$505	232	05-22 05:56
Curly-Violin 0x8b06…86e6	8	$17.0K	596	05-18 16:27
Gummy-Sale 0xee29…89d8	8	$12.7K	236	05-14 20:16