Soft-Soup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$98

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 05-08 15:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 53% $-10

Other

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	3	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	05-03 19:07
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$15	66	0	+66	open	—	01-26 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-03 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	05-03 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$6	110	0	+110	Down	$-6	05-05 19:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$3	6	2	+3	Up	$-1	05-05 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$3	4	3	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$3	103	3	+100	Up	$-1	05-05 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$2	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-05 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-08 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-05 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 15:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc3b773…
05-05 20:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2de872…
05-05 20:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9a52c3…
05-05 20:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7c458b…
05-05 20:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8ece30…
05-05 19:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb63cff…
05-05 19:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x712e1c…
05-05 19:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x85d19d…
05-05 19:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8f4dcc…
05-05 19:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x6bcd48…
05-05 19:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x381d52…
05-05 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c50a7…
05-05 19:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe8b3e8…
05-05 18:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xb6866f…
05-05 18:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbff070…
05-05 18:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x88ffc8…
05-05 18:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x2fdc8f…
05-05 18:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x598871…
05-05 17:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe3ec9a…
05-05 17:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe5bb63…
05-05 17:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x40fda1…
05-05 17:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x066ac1…
05-05 17:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x7ae51c…
05-05 17:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x801a76…
05-05 17:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb08c0f…
05-05 17:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xf438bf…
05-05 17:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x525f54…
05-04 20:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x82f639…
05-04 20:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x34ac8b…
05-04 19:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xdebe73…
05-03 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	54¢	$11	0x2886a9…
05-03 19:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x63db9d…
05-03 19:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x517bef…
05-03 18:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x0f6acf…
05-03 18:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x11ccc0…
05-03 18:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf4a009…
05-03 18:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	87¢	$5	0xec306b…
05-03 18:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x114a4d…
01-26 18:03:23	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	66	22¢	$15	0x08d17e…