Negligible-Psychoanalyst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$316

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$727

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-26 10:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

48% 100% +$146

Other

37% 100% +$113

Tech

12% 100% +$50

Sports

2% 100% +$6

Crypto

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes		+739	$721	98¢	$727	+$6	10-26 10:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	3	$916	966	0	+966	Yes	+$50	08-28 09:29
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	11	$914	918	0	+918	Yes	+$4	08-15 05:52
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$804	912	0	+912	Yes	+$107	08-03 11:59
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	1	$727	729	0	+729	Yes	+$1	07-21 13:15
over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	1	$724	804	0	+804	Yes	+$80	07-24 15:43
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	4	$721	739	0	+739	open	—	10-26 10:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$421	211	211	+0	No	+$0	07-17 16:36
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	1	$211	211	0	+211	No	+$0	06-20 02:27
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	2	$210	210	0	+210	Yes	+$0	06-18 01:17
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	2	$209	229	0	+229	Yes	+$20	07-17 16:37
Will Pedro Porro be in Spain's Starting 11?	2	$209	210	0	+210	No	+$1	06-15 15:16
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$202	202	0	+202	Yes	+$0	05-25 04:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$198	202	0	+202	No	+$4	05-21 01:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$172	173	0	+173	No	+$1	04-22 03:49
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$103	103	0	+103	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:35
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	1	$101	107	0	+107	No	+$5	06-04 15:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	1	$101	103	0	+103	No	+$1	06-04 15:46
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	1	$95	100	0	+100	No	+$6	05-13 03:46
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	1	$95	98	0	+98	No	+$3	05-13 03:46
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	1	$85	87	0	+87	No	+$1	04-14 21:54
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$85	86	0	+86	No	+$0	04-14 07:16
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$69	69	0	+69	Yes	+$0	03-18 07:45
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$44	50	0	+50	Yes	+$6	01-02 08:22
Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	2	$35	38	0	+38	No	+$4	04-25 03:39
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	1	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$1	04-25 03:52
Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$1	04-25 03:21
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	2	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$1	04-25 10:04
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	01-30 08:34
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	1	$34	35	0	+35	No	+$1	01-30 08:34
will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	1	$33	35	0	+35	No	+$2	03-25 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 10:19:12	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	680	98¢	$663	0x7e9641…
10-26 05:43:29	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xbdc67b…
10-26 05:43:17	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4a9778…
10-10 03:11:24	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6a66c4…
10-09 03:00:09	Will Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x9c0d8c…
08-28 09:29:18	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	284	95¢	$269	0xb0d64f…
08-28 09:26:54	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	380	95¢	$360	0xbe8ac4…
08-28 09:24:22	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	303	95¢	$287	0xd0fb86…
08-15 05:52:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	751	100¢	$748	0x849f06…
08-15 05:51:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x49d18a…
08-15 05:48:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee8a9c…
08-15 05:29:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7f01ca…
08-15 04:47:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd3f834…
08-15 04:47:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xded184…
08-15 04:46:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x8f36bb…
08-15 04:46:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x732a81…
08-15 04:46:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x68b619…
08-15 04:46:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4f3b16…
08-15 04:46:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xb282de…
08-03 11:59:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	694	88¢	$611	0x65e9e1…
08-02 23:43:20	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	218	89¢	$194	0x87370e…
07-24 15:43:31	over 30m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129610 824	Yes	BUY	804	90¢	$724	0x700ef7…
07-21 13:15:22	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	BUY	729	100¢	$727	0xc8773c…
07-17 16:37:31	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	177	91¢	$161	0x98068a…
07-17 16:36:46	over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	Yes	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x860c0e…
07-17 16:36:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0xd895c3…
07-13 13:00:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0x0c4b6b…
06-20 02:27:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x412d01…
06-18 01:17:11	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x6d5d23…
06-18 01:08:22	Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x28adfe…
06-15 15:16:51	Will Pedro Porro be in Spain's Starting 11?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x25ee89…
06-15 15:16:40	Will Pedro Porro be in Spain's Starting 11?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xc75492…
06-08 08:35:42	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xc9b078…
06-04 15:46:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 7 2026	No	BUY	103	99¢	$101	0x969e65…
06-04 15:41:58	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	BUY	107	95¢	$101	0xbec393…
05-25 04:40:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x377e68…
05-21 01:56:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	202	98¢	$198	0xdc4829…
05-13 03:46:27	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$95	0x26e25e…
05-13 03:46:18	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	98	96¢	$95	0xf66d74…
04-25 12:27:52	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	78¢	$17	0x36ead2…
04-25 10:04:26	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x9a73c1…
04-25 04:03:14	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$9	0xb11469…
04-25 03:52:34	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0xddc32e…
04-25 03:39:42	Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	27	90¢	$25	0xcfaef7…
04-25 03:22:06	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x5bb1db…
04-25 03:21:34	Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0x3feee3…
04-25 03:12:34	Will Iran strike Jordan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7dedb8…
04-22 03:49:36	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0xb06a51…
04-14 21:54:00	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	87	99¢	$85	0xede5a2…
04-14 07:16:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	86	100¢	$85	0x497c3d…
03-26 04:45:17	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x318546…
03-26 04:23:19	will arkansas win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x045411…
03-26 02:46:13	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xefed73…
03-26 02:38:41	will alabama win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x531168…
03-25 23:25:25	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc3f2c7…
03-25 23:07:49	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x84e5ba…
03-25 23:00:39	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x65b081…
03-25 23:00:17	will illinois win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0x229d73…
03-18 07:45:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xdce5b0…
01-30 08:34:42	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x03f232…
01-30 08:34:38	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0x8e66ec…
01-02 09:09:41	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xda0ed6…
01-02 08:22:05	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x245bb2…