Ajar-Payoff — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$8.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 04-19 13:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-0

Sports

36% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$585	293	293	+0	open	—	03-30 11:23
will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$412	206	206	+0	open	—	03-27 23:55
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	4	$390	195	195	+0	open	—	03-25 19:54
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$364	183	183	+0	No	$-0	04-05 17:10
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$358	179	179	+0	open	—	03-04 16:17
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$354	177	177	+0	open	—	04-04 03:17
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$354	177	177	+0	open	—	03-24 11:36
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$344	172	172	+0	open	—	03-25 13:12
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	4	$342	172	172	+0	open	—	04-14 08:42
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$314	157	157	+0	open	—	02-27 22:23
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$216	108	108	+0	open	—	04-06 01:24
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$214	107	107	+0	No	$-0	04-03 21:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	04-02 12:19
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	02-11 14:23
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$194	97	97	+0	open	—	03-12 16:12
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$186	93	93	+0	open	—	02-10 06:42
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$186	93	93	+0	open	—	04-02 05:55
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	03-26 21:56
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$182	91	91	+0	open	—	03-20 08:58
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	03-25 00:24
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	03-19 10:44
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	03-16 14:07
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$176	88	88	+0	open	—	03-01 04:38
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	04-07 07:29
Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	02-15 21:05
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	04-19 13:07
will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	2	$166	83	83	+0	open	—	03-07 18:04
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	02-14 07:59
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	02-21 06:07
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	03-22 14:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-19 13:07:38	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x6e95d3…
04-19 09:16:30	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x4c1305…
04-14 08:42:19	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xfca03c…
04-14 04:53:31	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x4a3536…
04-12 10:07:29	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x25fa9e…
04-12 01:53:33	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x5baf38…
04-07 21:30:37	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xdf2672…
04-07 18:07:47	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x3d33d8…
04-07 07:29:15	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	85	99¢	$85	0x6ec045…
04-07 03:33:39	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	85	99¢	$85	0x034354…
04-06 01:24:01	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xe6883c…
04-05 21:28:23	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x73c969…
04-05 17:10:29	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0xaa3576…
04-05 15:00:59	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xa8fabc…
04-04 07:02:45	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$79	0x4c8c4d…
04-04 03:17:25	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xa5e235…
04-04 03:17:01	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x7cbaee…
04-03 22:32:41	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xfb3a81…
04-03 21:05:39	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	107	100¢	$107	0x2361e5…
04-03 11:47:01	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x4e46ba…
04-02 12:19:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x85b961…
04-02 05:55:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb73c2c…
04-02 05:55:09	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xba4ead…
04-01 23:07:57	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x17b27b…
03-31 11:22:31	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x70c517…
03-31 11:22:15	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xf5de47…
03-31 03:26:07	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xc6b984…
03-30 11:23:00	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xbe1f42…
03-30 07:13:44	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xac849a…
03-29 00:48:08	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xdf9c2f…
03-28 20:35:42	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x14a127…
03-27 23:55:37	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x78f846…
03-27 17:20:45	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xf4435d…
03-26 21:56:35	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0x15b688…
03-26 15:27:41	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x2f2683…
03-26 15:27:17	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xc08358…
03-26 08:58:15	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x7683a4…
03-25 19:54:35	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x352ffa…
03-25 13:13:11	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x0d4209…
03-25 13:12:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x14160c…
03-25 06:50:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x1d088a…
03-25 00:24:03	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xe12cf0…
03-24 18:08:03	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x2265ed…
03-24 11:36:37	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0xef4c16…
03-24 05:07:57	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x3810da…
03-23 22:45:35	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x8ef59c…
03-23 16:22:07	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x34d35f…
03-23 09:52:27	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xd36ddd…
03-23 07:00:17	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x0ba65d…
03-23 06:57:41	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x64eaa2…
03-22 14:34:37	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x4b5d54…
03-22 08:12:33	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xf2e9c7…
03-21 16:30:35	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x42dc63…
03-21 00:49:03	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xb3b12f…
03-20 08:58:47	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x019c70…
03-19 18:26:25	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x039a79…
03-19 10:44:43	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xf79f78…
03-18 19:02:05	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe8e9a4…
03-16 14:07:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	90	99¢	$90	0x2ad5b4…
03-15 22:46:23	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd37a0b…
03-15 07:25:27	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xaa7ec2…
03-14 23:41:57	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x4e0500…
03-12 16:12:59	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x8ad784…
03-12 07:44:51	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x040233…
03-12 01:00:27	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x5e737c…
03-11 15:59:31	will byeong hun an win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xfed028…
03-07 18:04:53	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xc0974a…
03-06 08:47:53	will train dreams win best picture at the 98th academy awards 736	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xc91132…
03-04 16:17:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x9dd102…
03-04 11:48:59	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xfbf342…
03-03 20:05:05	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	51	87¢	$44	0x2eb543…
03-03 20:04:31	nba was orl 2026 03 03	Wizards	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0xc96458…
03-03 11:12:05	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x598955…
03-03 11:11:35	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Knicks	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xacbb4a…
03-02 06:49:53	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x114d8d…
03-01 16:37:01	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x9bd5f2…
03-01 04:38:45	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x1519a0…
02-28 17:58:55	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x4c034d…
02-27 22:23:55	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x3e4195…
02-27 17:13:11	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x351e83…
02-27 02:18:22	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xc2affc…
02-26 18:58:58	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x373b93…
02-26 14:53:04	nba hou orl 2026 02 26	Magic	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xfab44f…
02-26 14:52:34	nba por chi 2026 02 26	Trail Blazers	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xdb0ba5…
02-22 14:06:10	nba bos lal 2026 02 22	Lakers	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x302587…
02-22 14:05:38	nba cle okc 2026 02 22	Cavaliers	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x239f42…
02-22 14:05:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xa5f689…
02-21 22:09:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x57f384…
02-21 06:07:08	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x294ef6…
02-21 01:06:38	nba ind was 2026 02 20	Pacers	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xde472f…
02-17 19:07:37	Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xf66acd…
02-15 21:05:21	Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0xff869e…
02-14 21:14:57	Will Elche win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x50cc67…
02-14 07:59:21	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0xb42458…
02-13 23:10:33	Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x0f9199…
02-13 09:00:13	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x5ca271…
02-12 17:50:51	Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xd06068…
02-12 06:15:39	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x3d9271…
02-11 21:50:53	Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x4a6524…
02-11 14:23:25	Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xbc33c5…