Puzzled-East — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

453

lifetime

Volume

$894

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-05 10:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 33% $-4

Other

5% 100% +$0

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 205 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$34	46	42	+4	open	—	05-02 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$33	45	38	+7	open	—	05-02 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$32	27	22	+4	open	—	05-02 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	6	$22	98	98	+0	open	—	05-04 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$19	37	21	+16	open	—	05-02 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$17	15	11	+4	open	—	05-02 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$17	20	10	+10	open	—	05-02 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$15	45	9	+36	open	—	05-02 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$14	11	8	+3	open	—	05-02 16:38
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	79	79	+0	open	—	05-10 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$12	325	5	+320	open	—	05-02 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$12	13	5	+8	open	—	05-02 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$12	11	8	+3	open	—	05-04 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	7	$11	11	8	+4	open	—	05-04 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$11	93	2	+91	open	—	05-02 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	3	$11	12	4	+8	open	—	05-02 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$11	14	4	+10	open	—	05-02 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	7	$10	14	7	+7	open	—	05-04 13:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	2	$10	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	05-01 23:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 18:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$10	14	11	+3	open	—	05-02 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$9	13	9	+4	open	—	05-02 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$9	28	4	+24	open	—	05-02 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	6	$9	8	9	-1	open	—	05-01 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	05-02 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$8	14	5	+10	open	—	05-02 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	9	$8	15	9	+6	open	—	05-04 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$8	36	1	+34	open	—	05-02 16:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 10:23:16	btc updown 15m 1780654500	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x3ea4ce…
05-14 22:44:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xd399c5…
05-10 06:36:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xe3570b…
05-10 06:35:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2a359c…
05-10 06:34:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8ac988…
05-10 06:34:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x10c197…
05-10 06:31:38	Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	79	14¢	$11	0xdc2dd8…
05-10 06:30:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x706d35…
05-07 18:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x38b9a0…
05-07 12:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xf222d7…
05-07 12:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2b09bd…
05-07 12:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x936416…
05-07 12:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc884a1…
05-07 12:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8c0711…
05-07 12:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x003d39…
05-07 12:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd7fe14…
05-07 12:33:24	Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$2	0x9f778b…
05-07 12:28:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfeb564…
05-07 12:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xf82048…
05-07 12:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xda588f…
05-07 12:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0xea8a74…
05-07 12:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7676c7…
05-07 12:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4886a5…
05-07 12:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x184616…
05-07 12:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x87815c…
05-07 12:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x89e580…
05-07 12:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xc03388…
05-07 12:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0xc2bfe1…
05-07 12:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x298293…
05-04 14:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe5b4dd…
05-04 14:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3e4192…
05-04 14:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x6b68e5…
05-04 14:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x833b5b…
05-04 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x9f023e…
05-04 14:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x934c57…
05-04 14:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0ea04a…
05-04 13:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd60395…
05-04 13:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x842d72…
05-04 13:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x08ad4c…
05-04 13:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x96c727…
05-04 13:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe8f6f9…
05-04 13:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$3	0xbcdcdc…
05-04 13:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x336a28…
05-04 13:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x574c22…
05-04 13:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7fa0bc…
05-04 13:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xae9163…
05-04 13:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb16ce3…
05-04 13:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x0b700d…
05-04 13:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x6f0d08…
05-04 13:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xef7dbb…
05-04 13:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xbaff82…
05-04 13:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x4148c3…
05-04 13:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x88fb28…
05-04 13:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x7fb1cb…
05-04 13:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x748bfc…
05-04 13:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x9dff3d…
05-04 13:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xef0c93…
05-04 13:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8aed5f…
05-04 13:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x57c188…
05-04 13:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6fd863…
05-04 13:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xbff6c0…
05-04 13:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	10¢	$0	0x8bc74e…
05-04 13:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x8340ca…
05-04 13:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2f4a55…
05-04 13:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7d33a8…
05-04 13:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x1e26b6…
05-04 13:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x242749…
05-04 13:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x18daf2…
05-04 13:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xa55aa6…
05-04 13:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xbdabc0…
05-04 13:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	87	7¢	$6	0x8825c7…
05-04 13:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	87	6¢	$5	0x266e31…
05-04 13:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x9eeab1…
05-04 13:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x2ec1fe…
05-04 13:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x749ee9…
05-04 13:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8d36e6…
05-04 13:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x28b064…
05-04 13:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3f3c90…
05-04 13:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x1cf2dd…
05-04 13:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb01bb3…
05-02 23:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x33a626…
05-02 23:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9edffb…
05-02 23:12:12	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x6b750d…
05-02 23:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa4efd9…
05-02 22:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x79da99…
05-02 22:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x238a36…
05-02 22:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd6e699…
05-02 22:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd5d7c9…
05-02 22:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x54a133…
05-02 22:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xaa2b67…
05-02 22:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x114c3c…
05-02 22:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xa274be…
05-02 22:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x160d11…
05-02 22:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x866e98…
05-02 22:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2820cd…
05-02 22:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x001f38…
05-02 22:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x677c54…
05-02 22:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5aea4f…
05-02 22:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0xc4a343…
05-02 22:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x012cf9…