Impartial-Pumpkinseed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$2.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-27 01:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 50% $-1

Sports

20% — —

Other

14% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 27	2	$260	131	131	+0	open	—	01-27 17:07
bitcoin above 84k on january 19	2	$252	126	126	+0	open	—	01-19 09:06
nba bos sac 2026 01 01	2	$245	123	123	+0	open	—	01-02 05:34
hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 23 2026 1pt83	3	$134	70	70	+0	open	—	07-23 10:58
bitcoin above 80k on february 3	1	$131	132	0	+132	open	—	02-03 16:27
bitcoin above 88k on january 20	1	$127	127	0	+127	open	—	01-20 02:55
bitcoin above 88k on january 19	1	$126	127	0	+127	open	—	01-19 09:07
bitcoin above 86k on january 28	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	01-28 15:12
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$100	149	0	+149	open	—	05-03 23:54
bitcoin above 90k on january 18	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-18 06:28
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	01-13 22:54
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	01-22 19:10
nba uta lac 2026 01 01	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	01-02 05:47
vz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 24 2026 1pt27	1	$76	85	0	+85	open	—	07-24 08:09
ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 2pt81	1	$32	34	0	+34	open	—	07-15 02:01
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	3	$30	32	0	+32	open	—	02-05 20:17
txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 1pt92	1	$30	33	0	+33	open	—	07-22 14:29
ethereum above 2800 on january 23	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	01-23 15:09
bitcoin above 82k on january 29	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	01-28 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	6	$10	34	6	+28	Down	$-2	05-09 03:27
btc updown 5m 1784770200	2	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	07-23 01:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	4	$8	14	0	+14	Up	+$0	05-09 03:18
btc updown 5m 1784777400	3	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	07-23 03:30
btc updown 5m 1784857200	2	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	07-24 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	5	$6	10	3	+7	Down	$-1	05-09 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	4	$6	13	0	+13	Up	+$0	05-09 03:09
bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 1pt33	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	07-23 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$5	6	4	+2	Down	$-1	05-09 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-06 05:53
ivz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt66	2	$5	5	3	+3	open	—	07-27 01:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 01:32:36	cour quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 23 2026 0pt11	No	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x042b5d…
07-27 01:32:30	ivz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt66	Yes	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x26675c…
07-24 13:19:12	cour quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 23 2026 0pt11	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9079a0…
07-24 13:12:21	ivz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt66	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb57016…
07-24 08:09:06	vz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 24 2026 1pt27	Yes	BUY	85	89¢	$76	0xf18019…
07-24 01:54:27	btc updown 5m 1784858100	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc59c7f…
07-24 01:41:43	btc updown 5m 1784857200	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xc0c1d5…
07-24 01:39:25	btc updown 5m 1784857200	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf96238…
07-24 01:33:43	btc updown 5m 1784856900	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe9224d…
07-24 01:26:21	btc updown 5m 1784856600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe0fa7a…
07-24 01:20:01	btc updown 5m 1784856000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb30801…
07-23 10:58:31	hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 23 2026 1pt83	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x82b438…
07-23 10:58:24	bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 1pt33	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x366e60…
07-23 08:28:57	hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 23 2026 1pt83	Yes	BUY	38	91¢	$35	0x02d929…
07-23 05:58:13	btc updown 5m 1784786400	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2c2037…
07-23 05:45:07	btc updown 5m 1784785500	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0108e6…
07-23 05:38:28	btc updown 5m 1784785200	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa488d3…
07-23 03:30:40	btc updown 5m 1784777400	Down	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x33da5d…
07-23 03:29:49	btc updown 5m 1784777400	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x99d423…
07-23 03:29:34	btc updown 5m 1784777400	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe63176…
07-23 03:24:31	btc updown 5m 1784777100	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x28691a…
07-23 03:19:55	btc updown 5m 1784776800	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5e8e37…
07-23 02:49:46	btc updown 5m 1784775000	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x6ba500…
07-23 02:45:10	btc updown 5m 1784774700	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x896e0d…
07-23 02:34:01	btc updown 5m 1784774100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd825fc…
07-23 02:28:13	btc updown 5m 1784773800	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x086332…
07-23 02:16:00	btc updown 5m 1784773200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd78b97…
07-23 02:13:36	btc updown 5m 1784772900	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x56f6a8…
07-23 02:10:49	btc updown 5m 1784772900	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xb2df9b…
07-23 02:09:58	btc updown 5m 1784772600	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5017b4…
07-23 01:26:49	btc updown 5m 1784770200	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xf976e3…
07-23 01:26:48	btc updown 5m 1784770200	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xfc0c7a…
07-23 01:21:34	btc updown 5m 1784769900	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x9d1aa9…
07-23 01:17:22	btc updown 5m 1784769600	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaaa833…
07-23 01:14:49	btc updown 5m 1784769300	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xab3e93…
07-23 00:57:57	btc updown 5m 1784768400	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x682ec2…
07-23 00:55:18	btc updown 5m 1784768100	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8b3113…
07-22 23:18:13	aal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 23 2026 0pt04	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x209d7d…
07-22 23:17:58	hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 23 2026 1pt83	Yes	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x3578c9…
07-22 23:17:51	bx quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 1pt33	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x1fdb50…
07-22 14:29:33	txn quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 22 2026 1pt92	Yes	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x6e4f42…
07-22 14:29:19	ibm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 3pt02	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x12eb33…
07-22 14:28:37	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 22 2026 0pt5	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc73cc3…
07-15 02:01:07	ms quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 15 2026 2pt81	Yes	BUY	34	95¢	$32	0x630fc2…
05-15 07:20:29	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xeaf253…
05-15 07:20:18	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5d1e16…
05-15 07:20:11	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb78424…
05-15 07:19:43	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x8b7fbe…
05-15 07:19:35	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x10d4d7…
05-15 07:19:22	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x0b9737…
05-09 03:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x32d905…
05-09 03:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xdf283c…
05-09 03:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x88d828…
05-09 03:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdbec8a…
05-09 03:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x529b75…
05-09 03:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x07183f…
05-09 03:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2cc3db…
05-09 03:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x844ad6…
05-09 03:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xca4144…
05-09 03:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd91373…
05-09 03:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x1de91d…
05-09 03:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x010644…
05-09 03:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc6c83f…
05-09 03:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x087629…
05-09 03:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x26a90e…
05-09 03:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1393f1…
05-09 03:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x066523…
05-09 03:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xf5391d…
05-09 03:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xf1111d…
05-09 03:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4b2eaa…
05-09 03:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2248a7…
05-09 02:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbd1d47…
05-09 02:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfa7cb1…
05-09 02:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7e0065…
05-09 02:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb87f41…
05-09 02:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x37b1b0…
05-09 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd00ef0…
05-07 07:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xad1ee9…
05-07 06:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1e2394…
05-07 06:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa467e6…
05-07 06:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x789984…
05-07 05:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x904508…
05-07 05:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xee6981…
05-07 04:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x92f639…
05-07 03:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe7a2fb…
05-07 03:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xcaf500…
05-06 23:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9ddeb6…
05-06 23:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc1d5ab…
05-06 23:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfcaf42…
05-06 06:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x1e10f2…
05-06 06:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x40e158…
05-06 06:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x60d38f…
05-06 06:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb9957c…
05-06 05:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x932ffd…
05-06 05:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x6c7f65…
05-03 23:54:48	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xed9c86…
02-05 20:17:49	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0xa51b25…
02-05 16:18:17	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xdd3fea…
02-05 16:17:41	amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	Yes	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x5f3524…
02-03 16:27:02	bitcoin above 80k on february 3	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0xa33657…