Pessimistic-Fannypack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

282

Trades

1,376

lifetime

Volume

$2.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 05-21 08:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-7

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	6	$45	25	25	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$35	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$33	26	26	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	8	$26	30	30	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	6	$25	36	36	+0	Down	+$3	05-10 12:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	05-14 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$24	22	22	+0	Up	+$4	05-10 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	8	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-11 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$22	21	11	+9	Down	+$0	05-12 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$22	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	7	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	05-16 14:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$21	32	32	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$21	25	25	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	4	$21	22	14	+8	Up	$-5	05-12 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$20	23	23	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$20	21	0	+21	Down	+$1	05-11 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	5	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 06:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	5	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 17:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	05-14 19:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	05-15 05:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$17	14	12	+2	open	—	05-14 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$17	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 16:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	5	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$16	26	7	+19	Up	$-4	05-10 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$15	22	9	+13	Up	$-5	05-10 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$15	25	25	+0	Up	+$7	05-12 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$15	18	7	+11	Up	$-1	05-11 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	7	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 08:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0x73bf20…
05-21 08:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x28b333…
05-21 07:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2c1bd9…
05-21 07:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xec1cf6…
05-21 07:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x46189a…
05-20 11:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5207de…
05-20 11:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5b329f…
05-20 11:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3f38ca…
05-20 11:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf9dc3b…
05-20 10:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3c343c…
05-20 10:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbad48d…
05-20 10:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x7f46eb…
05-20 10:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0xe6a3b7…
05-20 10:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc2f0f4…
05-20 10:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9c0384…
05-20 10:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x180686…
05-20 10:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd71e66…
05-20 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa7237c…
05-20 09:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa3cf40…
05-20 07:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa885cd…
05-20 07:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$1	0x05adca…
05-20 07:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9a5360…
05-20 06:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xccc48d…
05-20 06:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xa28c0a…
05-20 06:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x713610…
05-20 05:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8517b3…
05-20 05:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xc0162d…
05-19 15:17:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x83cf30…
05-19 15:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x53fec0…
05-19 15:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd89c4a…
05-19 15:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x100c22…
05-19 14:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xceb0bc…
05-19 14:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9712d7…
05-19 14:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x8106b9…
05-19 14:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x448b8c…
05-19 14:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x03248b…
05-19 14:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8184ba…
05-19 14:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0x710f9f…
05-19 14:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x12f254…
05-19 13:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3f2ca4…
05-19 12:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x431ab8…
05-19 12:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd4db2d…
05-19 12:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x11d32f…
05-19 12:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe1132e…
05-19 12:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x55286a…
05-19 12:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xfe973f…
05-19 12:38:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	38¢	$1	0xdd7323…
05-19 12:36:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xb11e54…
05-19 12:34:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x07f733…
05-19 12:32:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x101fff…
05-19 12:28:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xd298ab…
05-19 12:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xb012ba…
05-19 12:27:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9a9b7e…
05-19 12:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0b7c5a…
05-19 12:08:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa2797b…
05-19 11:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf47721…
05-19 11:54:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x4617ce…
05-19 11:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8f36ae…
05-19 11:52:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$0	0x35fadf…
05-19 11:50:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x584a67…
05-19 11:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xa93725…
05-19 11:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9f27c4…
05-19 11:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x5959a2…
05-19 11:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdbfe4e…
05-19 10:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6b0b62…
05-19 10:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5b15c6…
05-19 10:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x6a4e4b…
05-19 10:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x00adf6…
05-19 10:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0xa2a4c3…
05-19 10:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xadd967…
05-19 10:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x2b1405…
05-19 10:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xd08834…
05-19 10:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x29e8ca…
05-19 09:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5a595a…
05-19 09:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6af1dd…
05-19 09:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xdeb840…
05-19 09:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x9005a1…
05-19 09:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1891be…
05-19 09:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x183790…
05-19 09:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xcf5dcf…
05-19 09:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x05494c…
05-19 09:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2b0d7a…
05-19 09:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x2d7f17…
05-19 09:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x011f24…
05-19 09:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x0c737e…
05-19 09:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xccc5ad…
05-19 09:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x057aa3…
05-19 09:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6cc3ba…
05-19 09:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb24a4c…
05-19 09:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x481919…
05-19 09:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x06aaca…
05-19 08:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x49582a…
05-19 08:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xac82b9…
05-19 08:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf9200d…
05-19 08:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x01acd7…
05-19 08:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x533b54…
05-19 08:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x3c817e…
05-19 08:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x701c91…
05-19 08:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x23fe4f…
05-19 08:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xe32226…