Muffled-Tulip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$3.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-07 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on march 14 2026 10c	2	$86	43	43	+0	open	—	03-14 04:09
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 6 2026 25corhigher	2	$56	32	32	+0	open	—	03-06 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 27?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-27 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 27?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-27 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or higher on April 26?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-26 15:44
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 25?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-25 06:11
highest temperature in wellington on march 29 2026 22c	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-29 05:58
highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 22c	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-28 06:20
highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 16corhigher	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-24 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 26?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-26 02:50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 28?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-28 05:10
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 4 2026 34c	2	$45	40	40	+0	open	—	03-05 04:22
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-21 05:44
highest temperature in munich on april 22 2026 17corhigher	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-22 16:14
highest temperature in ankara on march 26 2026 11c	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-26 16:15
highest temperature in seoul on march 27 2026 16corhigher	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-27 06:58
highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 13c	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-27 18:29
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 16corhigher	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-22 05:37
highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 23corhigher	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-24 03:58
highest temperature in wellington on march 26 2026 19c	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-26 05:41
highest temperature in munich on march 23 2026 13c	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-23 16:55
highest temperature in wellington on march 23 2026 20c	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-23 06:46
highest temperature in wellington on april 5 2026 20c	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-05 04:51
highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 14c	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	03-29 17:19
highest temperature in wellington on march 30 2026 22corhigher	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	03-30 04:40
highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 20c	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-07 06:39
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 14c	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-20 07:35
highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 13c	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	03-18 08:39
highest temperature in chengdu on april 6 2026 24c	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-06 07:36
highest temperature in wellington on march 17 2026 21c	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	03-17 05:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 16:25:26	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x268deb…
05-05 16:03:56	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x674493…
05-02 16:45:34	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5fad21…
05-01 17:12:50	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x116f61…
04-28 05:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x32ac61…
04-27 15:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 27?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x3749ef…
04-27 05:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 27?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xe6a73a…
04-26 15:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xae4b14…
04-26 02:50:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 26?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa5f55f…
04-25 06:11:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 25?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xafdef6…
04-24 15:17:14	highest temperature in ankara on april 24 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf3150e…
04-24 02:41:42	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 19corhigher	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd7c5a2…
04-23 15:46:18	highest temperature in ankara on april 23 2026 10c	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x377d12…
04-23 10:56:48	highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x157fea…
04-23 05:24:54	highest temperature in wellington on april 23 2026 16c	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5f07a9…
04-22 16:14:52	highest temperature in munich on april 22 2026 17corhigher	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x28e539…
04-22 05:37:46	highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xf89fd9…
04-21 15:27:26	highest temperature in munich on april 21 2026 12c	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x14820b…
04-21 05:44:28	highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x32e901…
04-20 17:49:24	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 spread home 6pt5	Hawks	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x3b4a2d…
04-20 17:48:42	highest temperature in ankara on april 20 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x2d7f16…
04-20 07:35:34	highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x87908d…
04-17 17:13:06	highest temperature in munich on april 17 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x90d5aa…
04-17 17:05:16	nba cha orl 2026 04 17 spread away 3pt5	Magic	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdad2dd…
04-17 05:32:56	highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x99f473…
04-16 05:50:48	highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xa5fabe…
04-15 15:26:28	nba orl phi 2026 04 15	76ers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x45018c…
04-15 15:25:56	highest temperature in ankara on april 15 2026 22c	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x3ff40b…
04-15 04:00:32	highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xe000bf…
04-14 15:37:05	nba por phx 2026 04 14	Suns	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xe7ac00…
04-14 15:36:13	highest temperature in paris on april 14 2026 21c	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xa29bdf…
04-14 04:16:35	highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 21corhigher	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x7aac5b…
04-13 16:11:45	highest temperature in london on april 13 2026 15c	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x9d74f6…
04-13 05:25:03	highest temperature in wellington on april 13 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xebb9b7…
04-12 17:38:31	highest temperature in munich on april 12 2026 14c	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x39f71c…
04-12 06:58:39	highest temperature in wellington on april 12 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x89eb4a…
04-11 16:36:55	highest temperature in lagos on april 11 2026 36c	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xbe493d…
04-11 06:19:19	highest temperature in wellington on april 11 2026 22c	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xfd7cc7…
04-10 14:46:25	highest temperature in ankara on april 10 2026 9c	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xc25673…
04-10 06:37:15	highest temperature in wellington on april 10 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x68de4b…
04-09 15:20:35	highest temperature in london on april 9 2026 24c	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x7c4147…
04-09 03:53:27	highest temperature in wellington on april 9 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x88345f…
04-08 16:47:01	highest temperature in paris on april 8 2026 28corhigher	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x770f13…
04-08 16:42:45	nba okc lac 2026 04 08 spread away 7pt5	Clippers	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x8d9e63…
04-08 05:39:09	highest temperature in wellington on april 8 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x95d043…
04-07 16:09:17	highest temperature in ankara on april 7 2026 20c	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x7fd5ac…
04-07 16:08:23	nba okc lal 2026 04 07 spread away 13pt5	Thunder	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xb9e40a…
04-07 06:39:33	highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x6c3802…
04-06 07:36:13	highest temperature in chengdu on april 6 2026 24c	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xd83fda…
04-05 16:07:09	highest temperature in ankara on april 5 2026 17corhigher	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x324ad1…
04-05 04:51:21	highest temperature in wellington on april 5 2026 20c	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc86106…
04-04 07:03:55	highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 24corhigher	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x75f61a…
04-03 15:36:19	highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xed2ef3…
04-03 15:35:03	highest temperature in ankara on april 3 2026 14c	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xea3ad5…
04-03 07:56:57	highest temperature in wellington on april 3 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x162188…
04-02 06:35:41	highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x1de5bb…
04-01 06:06:05	highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x4a7e43…
03-31 14:28:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x45a256…
03-30 04:40:54	highest temperature in wellington on march 30 2026 22corhigher	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x69c90b…
03-29 17:19:54	highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 14c	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xe519e0…
03-29 17:18:32	nba hou nop 2026 03 29 spread away 6pt5	Pelicans	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x01cfb4…
03-29 17:16:42	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Hornets	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x62ffda…
03-29 05:58:20	highest temperature in wellington on march 29 2026 22c	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xfddfe5…
03-28 06:20:39	highest temperature in wellington on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xc1f225…
03-27 18:29:07	highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 13c	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x333644…
03-27 06:58:05	highest temperature in seoul on march 27 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x74ae48…
03-26 16:15:39	highest temperature in ankara on march 26 2026 11c	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x26513c…
03-26 16:13:57	nba nop det 2026 03 26 spread home 5pt5	Pelicans	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc88379…
03-26 05:41:09	highest temperature in wellington on march 26 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xfad158…
03-25 16:45:09	nba lal ind 2026 03 25 spread away 12pt5	Pacers	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb4173b…
03-25 03:53:19	highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 22c	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x2beae4…
03-24 20:09:57	nba sac cha 2026 03 24 total 229pt5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe01b4b…
03-24 20:09:31	nba sac cha 2026 03 24 total 230pt5	Under	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xb5cfbb…
03-24 16:45:43	nba den phx 2026 03 24	Nuggets	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x40453f…
03-24 16:45:37	nba sac cha 2026 03 24 total 230pt5	Under	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x23e37d…
03-24 14:21:21	highest temperature in beijing on march 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x9205d9…
03-24 03:58:05	highest temperature in wellington on march 24 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xa53978…
03-23 16:55:33	highest temperature in munich on march 23 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xfcca06…
03-23 06:46:49	highest temperature in wellington on march 23 2026 20c	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x82f1f9…
03-22 07:15:39	highest temperature in tokyo on march 22 2026 17c	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc25837…
03-21 15:09:47	highest temperature in ankara on march 21 2026 12c	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xba98a5…
03-21 05:23:15	highest temperature in wellington on march 21 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x542ad5…
03-20 08:06:49	highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xed1be6…
03-19 07:19:57	highest temperature in seoul on march 19 2026 9c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xc92007…
03-18 08:39:47	highest temperature in shanghai on march 18 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x1251fe…
03-17 05:37:17	highest temperature in wellington on march 17 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x2c945f…
03-16 15:47:07	highest temperature in ankara on march 16 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x5adadd…
03-16 06:42:27	highest temperature in wellington on march 16 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x9b1866…
03-15 07:50:33	highest temperature in seoul on march 15 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xf68f18…
03-14 05:44:39	highest temperature in wellington on march 14 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xbff9d5…
03-14 04:09:39	highest temperature in seoul on march 14 2026 10c	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xe419ea…
03-14 04:04:53	highest temperature in seoul on march 14 2026 10c	No	BUY	43	99¢	$43	0x8b0746…
03-13 07:53:23	highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x6ff908…
03-12 07:47:51	highest temperature in tokyo on march 12 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x98473f…
03-09 05:14:07	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	36	74¢	$27	0xc1f3d4…
03-09 05:13:27	will global temperature increase by between 1pt15c and 1pt19c in february 2026 838	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x61b571…
03-09 05:12:49	will global temperature increase by more than 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x85549b…
03-09 05:11:49	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xf79d73…
03-09 05:11:49	will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x81c80a…
03-08 06:44:21	highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 4c	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xc36c27…