Clumsy-Safe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$376

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-25 08:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$14

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	1	$2.1K	2,077	0	+2,077	No	+$4	05-08 01:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?	1	$2.1K	2,068	0	+2,068	No	+$4	05-07 01:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	1	$2.1K	2,066	0	+2,066	Yes	+$4	05-06 06:50
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	1	$2.1K	2,062	0	+2,062	No	+$6	05-06 01:54
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 9	1	$1.1K	1,073	0	+1,073	open	—	01-09 03:43
ethereum above 2500 on january 8	1	$1.1K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	01-08 02:52
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-07 03:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 5	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-05 02:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 6	1	$1.1K	1,069	0	+1,069	open	—	01-06 02:46
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	1	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	01-04 02:36
ethereum above 3300 on january 2	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	open	—	01-02 01:49
ethereum above 3400 on january 1	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	01-01 02:46
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	05-20 08:09
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-26 05:26
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	06-09 08:13
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-12 02:20
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:42
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-07 13:31
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-23 09:32
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	4	$8	4,243	0	+4,243	open	—	01-22 02:16
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	06-25 08:49
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	02-25 01:53
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	06-21 05:36
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	1	$4	2,093	0	+2,093	open	—	05-01 07:00
will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	3	$4	2,100	0	+2,100	open	—	04-22 01:57
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 16?	1	$4	2,085	0	+2,085	open	—	05-16 12:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?	1	$4	2,081	0	+2,081	No	$-4	05-13 02:06
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	1	$4	2,066	0	+2,066	open	—	04-27 01:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 16?	1	$4	1,778	0	+1,778	open	—	05-17 01:28
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-06 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 08:49:20	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x58dc12…
06-21 05:36:50	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeff912…
06-09 08:13:06	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x93d3d3…
05-20 08:09:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x393bc2…
05-17 01:28:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	1,778	0¢	$4	0x8a66b8…
05-16 12:44:45	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 16?	No	BUY	2,085	0¢	$4	0x31dfe5…
05-13 02:06:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	2,081	0¢	$4	0x9eec9b…
05-08 01:44:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	2,077	100¢	$2,073	0x7e4648…
05-07 01:28:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	2,068	100¢	$2,064	0x257c7d…
05-06 06:50:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,066	100¢	$2,062	0x4128d5…
05-06 01:54:04	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	No	BUY	2,062	100¢	$2,056	0x438559…
05-01 07:00:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,093	0¢	$4	0x13249e…
04-27 01:52:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	2,066	0¢	$4	0x5c57d4…
04-22 01:57:04	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x6b31a3…
04-22 01:52:42	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xc598a5…
04-22 01:51:42	will bitcoin reach 79k on april 21	Yes	BUY	2,080	0¢	$4	0xf8b8a3…
04-17 02:25:44	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x547ea5…
03-26 05:26:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x491855…
03-12 02:20:05	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xd07265…
03-07 13:31:35	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 2 8	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x16af0d…
02-25 01:53:14	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xef6b83…
02-11 03:20:07	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0xce5c4a…
02-06 07:25:33	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfbc47d…
02-02 12:34:42	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x003590…
01-31 08:14:12	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1eb163…
01-30 09:27:52	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbec614…
01-30 03:02:52	will the price of xrp be between 2pt30 2pt40 on january 30	Yes	BUY	1,077	0¢	$1	0x4061b1…
01-29 07:34:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 29	Yes	BUY	1,101	0¢	$1	0x1c90d9…
01-27 09:42:45	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd0f821…
01-26 12:26:01	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x92d756…
01-26 02:50:16	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 26	Yes	BUY	1,072	0¢	$2	0x8b43f0…
01-23 09:32:30	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd95182…
01-22 02:16:44	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	Yes	BUY	1,063	0¢	$2	0x8d35d7…
01-22 02:15:36	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	Yes	BUY	1,064	0¢	$2	0xe0c8b7…
01-22 02:14:14	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$2	0x2b5774…
01-22 02:12:42	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 22	Yes	BUY	1,053	0¢	$2	0x7931e7…
01-19 13:03:16	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x65f3d4…
01-09 03:43:28	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 9	No	BUY	1,073	100¢	$1,072	0x138c1c…
01-08 02:52:45	ethereum above 2500 on january 8	Yes	BUY	1,072	100¢	$1,071	0xb18fcd…
01-07 03:16:25	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 7	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0xf748ef…
01-06 02:46:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 6	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,067	0x8fb86c…
01-05 02:53:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 5	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0xa50241…
01-04 02:36:01	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on january 4	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,066	0xdba60c…
01-02 01:49:31	ethereum above 3300 on january 2	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,064	0xf45197…
01-01 02:46:53	ethereum above 3400 on january 1	No	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,062	0x00c26a…