Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
12.6%
Resolved
7
Trades
188
lifetime
Volume
$629
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$114
10 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 06-11 06:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
43% 0% $-0
Crypto
23%
Other
23% 0% $-7
Sports
11% 100% +$3
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +193 $98 51¢ $98 $-0 06-10 18:36
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 06-10 11:52
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 05-30 10:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 22:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -2 $-1 64¢ $-1 +$0 06-10 02:33
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 06-09 18:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1 $1 56¢ $1 $-0 06-05 04:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +1 $1 52¢ $1 $-0 06-03 05:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -20 $0 $-0 $-0 06-02 02:15
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-05 11:26