Creepy-Hail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.8%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$155

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-17 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$14	14	14	+0	Up	+$12	05-11 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$4	14	0	+14	Down	$-4	05-12 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$4	7	3	+4	Down	+$2	05-11 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$3	17	0	+17	Down	$-1	05-10 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	3	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	05-02 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-17 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$2	35	0	+35	open	—	05-15 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$2	28	0	+28	open	—	05-16 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$2	23	0	+23	Up	$-2	05-11 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-02 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-02 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$2	102	0	+102	open	—	05-03 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-02 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	05-17 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-04 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-02 02:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$2	36	0	+36	open	—	05-16 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$2	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-08 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$2	19	0	+19	open	—	05-16 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	$-2	05-08 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-08 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	$-1	05-08 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	7	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-03 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 03:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7e1ce4…
05-17 03:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb40c22…
05-17 03:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc44990…
05-17 03:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2e2377…
05-17 02:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x80089a…
05-17 02:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf2fd57…
05-16 22:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcc4380…
05-16 22:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8f1472…
05-16 21:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0xc4fd9c…
05-16 21:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4b37bf…
05-16 21:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x92e200…
05-16 06:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9204bf…
05-16 06:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x08f59b…
05-16 06:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x023082…
05-16 06:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1a3b4e…
05-16 05:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xf1814a…
05-16 05:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc030ae…
05-16 05:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x697ce2…
05-16 05:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfc6067…
05-16 04:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc70775…
05-16 03:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x002a73…
05-16 03:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xee309a…
05-16 02:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe4698d…
05-16 00:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcbb416…
05-15 23:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfbcc25…
05-15 23:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7048a9…
05-15 23:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe9989e…
05-15 23:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2ddab2…
05-15 03:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8e1f97…
05-14 07:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc3d9a1…
05-13 05:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb6bd7d…
05-13 05:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x919339…
05-13 05:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaeef43…
05-13 04:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x258924…
05-13 01:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xee4775…
05-12 06:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xaba30e…
05-12 06:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9c7a2c…
05-12 06:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8d9ad9…
05-12 06:22:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x70e3f9…
05-12 06:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8bfcde…
05-12 05:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb609f7…
05-12 05:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3a5f92…
05-12 05:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2d63d1…
05-12 04:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa3c8ce…
05-12 04:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x567e3d…
05-12 04:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbf9039…
05-12 04:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5528f3…
05-12 04:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xb9549d…
05-12 04:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xea1e91…
05-12 02:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0d8f27…
05-12 01:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x05a90e…
05-12 00:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd158c2…
05-12 00:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x28c324…
05-11 07:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x04dce6…
05-11 07:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8db471…
05-11 07:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x78dab9…
05-11 07:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	88¢	$13	0x611484…
05-11 07:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1d1ef5…
05-11 07:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x232a35…
05-11 06:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x76f163…
05-11 06:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb25cf3…
05-11 06:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xfba8ad…
05-11 06:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x46e732…
05-11 06:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6b65dd…
05-11 06:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x6a1674…
05-11 06:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3ea5dc…
05-11 06:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xc617ce…
05-11 06:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1e61c0…
05-11 06:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf450de…
05-11 06:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x698012…
05-11 05:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf99123…
05-11 04:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x91aeb6…
05-11 04:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x74b1f0…
05-11 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8ba236…
05-11 00:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe4774b…
05-10 14:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4caf10…
05-10 02:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1261be…
05-10 02:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7df3c3…
05-10 02:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x464172…
05-10 01:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x07f91b…
05-10 01:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4f99a4…
05-10 01:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf4f8e2…
05-10 01:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbe59d2…
05-10 01:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x71b6f2…
05-10 01:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xca02b0…
05-10 01:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfb3d27…
05-09 21:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2233bd…
05-09 20:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5e016e…
05-09 02:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb9f72d…
05-09 02:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xebe520…
05-08 02:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf19b8b…
05-08 02:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x5f5e0d…
05-08 02:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb83ae1…
05-08 01:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdc521a…
05-08 01:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4d7dfb…
05-08 01:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x9bf098…
05-08 01:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x0982f2…
05-08 01:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc5063e…
05-08 00:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3b77b3…
05-08 00:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf21263…