Average-Deduce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$363

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-12 21:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 27% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776897900	2	$49	42	39	+2	open	—	04-22 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776897600	2	$45	37	35	+2	open	—	04-22 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$30	19	19	+0	Up	+$8	05-09 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	6	$28	119	0	+119	Down	$-28	05-12 05:59
btc updown 5m 1776898800	2	$20	227	0	+227	open	—	04-22 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Up	+$10	05-09 21:00
btc updown 15m 1777054500	3	$19	131	29	+102	open	—	04-24 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$15	68	0	+68	Down	$-15	05-09 22:03
will bitcoin reach 80k on april 22	1	$14	441	0	+441	open	—	04-22 23:08
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	192	0	+192	open	—	05-12 05:12
btc updown 5m 1776898500	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-22 22:57
btc updown 5m 1776899400	1	$10	38	0	+38	open	—	04-22 23:11
btc updown 5m 1776898200	1	$10	167	0	+167	open	—	04-22 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$10	99	0	+99	Up	+$89	05-11 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$10	43	0	+43	Down	$-10	05-09 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$8	16	0	+16	Down	$-8	05-09 22:28
solana above 90 on march 11	1	$7	179	0	+179	open	—	03-11 10:51
btc updown 15m 1777055400	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	04-24 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-11 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	$-5	05-12 05:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	83	0	+83	Up	$-5	05-09 20:53
btc updown 5m 1773225900	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	03-11 10:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$5	83	0	+83	Up	$-5	05-12 08:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Up	+$10	05-09 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	Up	$-5	05-12 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$4	25	0	+25	Down	$-4	05-12 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$4	42	0	+42	Down	$-4	05-12 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 21:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xddb025…
05-12 19:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0xc6525c…
05-12 08:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf473ec…
05-12 06:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x914db4…
05-12 05:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x639a64…
05-12 05:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xdf6bc2…
05-12 05:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x4283ca…
05-12 05:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa6c156…
05-12 05:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0xb20658…
05-12 05:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x1ed5d5…
05-12 05:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xde38bd…
05-12 05:12:50	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	192	5¢	$10	0x14672b…
05-11 21:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x5e2648…
05-11 21:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x9a8c63…
05-11 21:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x12334b…
05-09 22:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x12dd34…
05-09 22:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb6c9df…
05-09 22:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0eb153…
05-09 22:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xc8cb3b…
05-09 22:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0xd1e64f…
05-09 22:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7309d9…
05-09 22:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2603df…
05-09 22:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xeb5ece…
05-09 21:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x82514e…
05-09 20:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4163f6…
05-09 20:53:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xacc2a2…
05-09 20:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd36dfd…
04-24 18:36:42	btc updown 15m 1777055400	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xde017d…
04-24 18:29:42	btc updown 15m 1777054500	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3b3727…
04-24 18:24:52	btc updown 15m 1777054500	Up	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0x3f0ed4…
04-24 18:17:40	btc updown 15m 1777054500	Up	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xc438e4…
04-22 23:11:22	btc updown 5m 1776899400	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x330e91…
04-22 23:08:12	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 22	Yes	BUY	441	3¢	$14	0x4dcc49…
04-22 23:02:04	btc updown 5m 1776898800	Up	BUY	188	5¢	$10	0x189e76…
04-22 23:01:12	btc updown 5m 1776898800	Up	BUY	39	25¢	$10	0x454081…
04-22 22:57:24	btc updown 5m 1776898500	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb56360…
04-22 22:52:58	btc updown 5m 1776898200	Down	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x7ba05f…
04-22 22:50:16	btc updown 5m 1776897900	Down	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x12d965…
04-22 22:47:02	btc updown 5m 1776897900	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xf6902a…
04-22 22:45:46	btc updown 5m 1776897600	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x0b3b43…
04-22 22:42:38	btc updown 5m 1776897600	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xd711b3…
03-11 10:51:47	solana above 90 on march 11	Yes	BUY	179	4¢	$7	0x78a6ab…
03-11 10:46:45	btc updown 5m 1773225900	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x852867…