Frayed-Entertainment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.7%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$146

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 05-30 06:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 25% $-0

Sports

24% — —

Crypto

23% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	6	$1.0K	526	526	+0	open	—	04-21 07:42
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	6	$1.0K	511	511	+0	open	—	03-30 12:00
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$790	395	395	+0	open	—	04-15 10:20
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	4	$758	380	380	+0	No	$-0	03-17 22:23
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	4	$648	325	325	+0	open	—	03-19 00:19
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$626	314	314	+0	open	—	03-25 00:23
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$622	312	312	+0	open	—	04-03 00:04
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$504	252	252	+0	open	—	04-10 15:42
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$462	317	146	+171	No	+$0	04-05 07:15
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$420	211	211	+0	open	—	03-12 05:18
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$414	207	207	+0	open	—	03-14 18:18
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$412	206	206	+0	open	—	02-27 01:02
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$412	206	206	+0	open	—	04-13 12:26
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$402	202	202	+0	open	—	04-22 13:52
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$394	198	198	+0	open	—	02-12 17:49
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$384	192	192	+0	open	—	02-27 22:54
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$376	188	188	+0	open	—	03-29 15:01
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$372	187	187	+0	open	—	03-28 21:37
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$370	187	187	+0	open	—	04-27 04:56
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$366	183	183	+0	No	$-0	04-06 20:07
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$364	183	183	+0	open	—	04-05 12:11
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$354	177	177	+0	open	—	04-15 03:35
Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$338	169	169	+0	open	—	02-12 01:55
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$330	165	165	+0	open	—	03-05 14:55
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	2	$330	165	165	+0	open	—	04-07 09:55
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$326	163	163	+0	open	—	04-15 17:58
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$320	160	160	+0	open	—	03-15 06:52
will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	2	$318	159	159	+0	open	—	03-26 14:07
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$302	151	151	+0	open	—	04-02 13:03
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$302	151	151	+0	open	—	04-06 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 06:56:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0xcb82e2…
04-27 04:56:32	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$185	0xaeea66…
04-26 20:08:42	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	187	99¢	$185	0x8c66c3…
04-22 13:52:28	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	202	99¢	$201	0x8a8e46…
04-22 09:09:02	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$201	0x6aed1f…
04-21 07:42:24	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x053620…
04-20 11:47:52	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x974446…
04-20 11:47:34	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x709550…
04-20 05:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xf4c0ec…
04-15 23:51:14	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	199	100¢	$198	0x946eee…
04-15 17:58:24	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$198	0xb4c583…
04-15 17:58:06	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x87afdb…
04-15 15:31:52	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	163	100¢	$163	0x40360e…
04-15 10:20:26	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x39e0de…
04-15 08:34:20	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0x9ce81c…
04-15 03:35:40	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	177	100¢	$177	0x83034d…
04-14 15:18:13	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xe15eef…
04-13 17:44:17	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0x26a64c…
04-13 12:26:35	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0xcf9493…
04-13 12:26:17	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x274989…
04-13 05:00:55	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x18ece7…
04-10 15:42:25	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xff2f5b…
04-10 10:48:47	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x3c8423…
04-07 09:55:03	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x0c6325…
04-07 05:52:45	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x30005f…
04-06 20:07:25	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x11f672…
04-06 16:46:45	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xab38f3…
04-06 05:53:17	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0x6eba44…
04-05 23:14:43	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x9dcb43…
04-05 12:11:13	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$182	0x0d5b64…
04-05 07:15:45	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x5f6256…
04-05 07:15:19	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0x6bb28d…
04-05 05:23:45	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0x1a0699…
04-03 00:04:27	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$160	0x86719c…
04-02 20:50:33	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$160	0x3a7849…
04-02 13:03:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xf93446…
04-02 09:59:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0x2c8b4e…
03-31 13:24:49	Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x53d5c5…
03-31 08:58:31	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x404642…
03-30 12:00:36	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	154	99¢	$153	0x761e04…
03-30 07:52:20	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$153	0xd556ea…
03-29 15:01:36	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	188	100¢	$188	0x13658f…
03-29 10:52:30	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0xada38e…
03-28 21:37:04	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0xadcb29…
03-28 16:58:53	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$186	0x53ed21…
03-28 16:58:35	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xd5bb95…
03-28 13:04:05	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	151	100¢	$151	0xe5b9ce…
03-26 14:07:31	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x94a1c6…
03-26 08:24:59	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0xd673e6…
03-26 02:07:17	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x2aa882…
03-25 21:17:07	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$143	0xf8224a…
03-25 13:07:17	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$170	0xc97cc1…
03-25 00:23:27	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x90aa17…
03-24 17:58:45	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xc7162f…
03-20 22:03:55	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	170	100¢	$169	0xd20f74…
03-20 15:31:21	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$169	0x88ed54…
03-19 19:38:21	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xc02e8c…
03-19 13:14:35	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xac7630…
03-19 00:19:07	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	169	100¢	$169	0x4a1546…
03-18 17:49:45	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	169	100¢	$169	0x0fbbdc…
03-18 17:49:27	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0x53f01a…
03-18 11:17:11	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xcd4325…
03-17 22:23:41	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0x10de0c…
03-17 16:01:13	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	187	100¢	$187	0x4408e9…
03-17 16:00:55	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x0d97a4…
03-17 09:42:45	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x0f4763…
03-15 06:52:17	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x84041c…
03-15 00:38:17	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x9c6b17…
03-14 18:18:13	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	207	100¢	$207	0x663f62…
03-14 12:01:07	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	207	100¢	$207	0xa78087…
03-12 12:58:51	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0x609586…
03-12 05:18:53	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x65aaea…
03-12 05:18:37	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$210	0x49fb4e…
03-11 23:00:55	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$210	0xb9d712…
03-11 16:39:47	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	SELL	155	100¢	$155	0x081e4c…
03-11 10:19:03	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0x00dcbf…
03-09 00:34:41	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Hornets	BUY	46	64¢	$29	0xa55b56…
03-09 00:34:13	nba chi sac 2026 03 08	Bulls	BUY	42	63¢	$26	0xb32402…
03-07 11:08:31	will ethereum reach 2600 march 2 8	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x5db618…
03-06 06:38:29	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xa5dbe5…
03-05 23:04:21	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xf3b0fe…
03-05 14:57:07	nba tor min 2026 03 05	Timberwolves	BUY	51	68¢	$35	0x23a33e…
03-05 14:56:39	nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	Warriors	BUY	45	25¢	$11	0x4d8300…
03-05 14:56:07	nba chi phx 2026 03 05	Bulls	BUY	46	18¢	$8	0x5b08a8…
03-05 14:55:47	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x3ca764…
03-05 07:44:45	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0x16463c…
03-03 22:41:05	nba bkn mia 2026 03 03	Nets	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x288126…
03-03 13:39:19	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Bulls	BUY	36	21¢	$8	0x513d27…
03-03 13:38:47	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Pelicans	BUY	34	24¢	$8	0x5987e5…
03-03 04:48:17	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	146	100¢	$146	0xcfaad5…
03-02 21:54:33	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	146	100¢	$146	0xc37b69…
03-02 08:10:25	nba hou was 2026 03 02	Rockets	BUY	34	90¢	$31	0xf4429e…
03-02 08:09:51	nba lac gsw 2026 03 02	Warriors	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xeaf759…
02-28 08:05:59	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x3b4e69…
02-28 08:05:37	ethereum above 2100 on february 28	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd3fdea…
02-27 22:54:21	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0x411829…
02-27 16:06:01	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x8fe33e…
02-27 01:02:54	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0xcb05d8…
02-26 19:25:16	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xf0d7ff…
02-24 18:47:52	bitcoin above 72k on february 25	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x300a8f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	40	$7.23K	8,369	04-27 02:24
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	35	$126.8K	1,087	03-09 10:16
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	34	$26.3K	603	05-10 16:58
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	30	$713.4K	41,740	04-21 23:40
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	30	$37.2K	1,066	05-23 20:20
Spirited-Motion 0x70b6…aa2f	30	$936	1,166	04-12 06:28
Hideous-Register 0x458c…c504	29	$29.5K	1,207	05-23 06:55
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	28	$3.07M	58,336	04-28 09:54