Stark-Degree-Posterior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$326

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-19 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	3	$14	85	64	+21	open	—	05-02 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	05-02 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$11	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 02:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-06 04:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$10	52	0	+52	open	—	05-02 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	05-02 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$10	181	0	+181	Down	$-10	05-05 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$9	29	29	+0	Up	$-1	05-04 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$8	76	0	+76	open	—	05-18 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-02 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Down	$-5	05-06 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-06 03:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-06 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Up	+$12	05-06 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-06 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-02 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	+$11	05-05 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 03:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-06 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	05-02 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	$-5	05-06 03:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-02 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-05 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Down	$-5	05-05 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-04 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-05 03:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 12:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc86276…
05-19 12:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x3c12b7…
05-19 12:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xbee0a1…
05-19 11:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x978384…
05-19 11:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x03be06…
05-19 11:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa0caeb…
05-19 11:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x930904…
05-19 10:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x143a6f…
05-19 09:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x694954…
05-19 09:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3a3cb9…
05-19 09:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x030df1…
05-19 09:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xb96c52…
05-19 09:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdb3b25…
05-19 08:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x44b746…
05-19 08:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x2208bd…
05-19 08:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x04ffeb…
05-19 08:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x8ddeb0…
05-19 08:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x9dc28e…
05-19 08:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x0418b0…
05-19 08:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x39cde5…
05-19 08:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x37469c…
05-19 08:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc40b57…
05-19 08:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x298091…
05-19 07:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x20f2ef…
05-19 07:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa0a700…
05-19 05:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa7cec7…
05-19 04:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	17¢	$0	0xaa30e1…
05-19 04:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x2dea7a…
05-19 04:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xdb2d1a…
05-19 04:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4f5d17…
05-19 04:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x83aa3e…
05-19 04:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5877a6…
05-19 03:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf62f50…
05-19 03:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb55ae3…
05-19 03:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdbf630…
05-19 03:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xec6499…
05-19 03:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc4b9a0…
05-19 03:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5564ce…
05-19 02:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x219ddd…
05-19 02:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe5f87f…
05-19 02:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfad02c…
05-19 02:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x959a1d…
05-19 01:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8cc5f0…
05-19 01:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x164006…
05-18 23:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x92f4b7…
05-18 22:34:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x681b4e…
05-18 22:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xa3d201…
05-18 22:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xb25aca…
05-18 17:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9b797f…
05-18 16:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xe033f0…
05-18 16:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x10b4d4…
05-18 16:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x9e8e4b…
05-18 16:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x992b6f…
05-18 15:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xddd105…
05-18 07:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4f4162…
05-18 07:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5456d8…
05-18 07:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x223c7e…
05-18 07:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xeeccdb…
05-18 07:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xb93836…
05-18 07:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x324e3c…
05-18 06:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4ee3bb…
05-18 06:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x80588d…
05-18 06:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb78278…
05-18 06:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xa2698d…
05-18 06:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x567fb3…
05-18 06:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x371a93…
05-18 06:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xab30cd…
05-18 06:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5770b2…
05-18 06:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa60108…
05-18 06:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x4fb7b7…
05-18 06:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf25361…
05-18 06:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdaa84e…
05-18 05:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe3b1ae…
05-18 05:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf8add7…
05-18 05:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x59e617…
05-18 05:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf32841…
05-18 05:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd66923…
05-18 05:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x7190a7…
05-18 05:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc5c7ac…
05-18 05:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x27eea5…
05-18 05:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xe4dcb1…
05-18 05:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x957ad1…
05-18 05:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0x829ddd…
05-18 05:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x014a8b…
05-18 05:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x1c6601…
05-18 05:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7c33a4…
05-18 04:57:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x1dfd22…
05-18 04:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3b2e8b…
05-18 04:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x11ebaf…
05-18 04:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x086562…
05-18 04:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x89e186…
05-18 04:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc72afa…
05-18 04:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe892a3…
05-18 04:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x341ed0…
05-18 04:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1ce4e6…
05-18 04:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc6ad83…
05-18 04:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x64b8dc…
05-18 04:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7a069e…
05-18 03:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	11¢	$1	0x1b782f…
05-18 03:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x81426c…