Shallow-Daylight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

165

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 06-25 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-16

Politics

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$84	69	69	+0	open	—	05-03 11:19
btc updown 5m 1782398700	6	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 14:51
btc updown 5m 1782400800	2	$59	51	51	+0	open	—	06-25 15:20
btc updown 5m 1782401100	2	$56	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	6	$54	50	50	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$54	36	36	+0	Up	+$15	05-06 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$52	34	34	+0	open	—	05-03 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$48	44	44	+0	open	—	05-03 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$47	29	29	+0	open	—	05-03 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$44	30	30	+0	open	—	05-03 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$44	31	31	+0	open	—	05-03 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	7	$43	161	47	+114	Up	$-3	05-06 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	05-03 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$42	32	32	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 13:08
btc updown 5m 1782401400	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	06-25 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$38	31	30	+0	open	—	05-03 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$37	27	27	+0	open	—	05-03 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$37	35	35	+0	Up	$-3	05-06 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$31	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$30	64	0	+64	open	—	05-03 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$24	17	17	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$23	35	35	+0	Up	$-17	05-06 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 05:25
btc updown 5m 1782400200	3	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	06-25 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	05-03 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$19	13	13	+0	Down	$-1	05-05 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$17	16	16	+0	Down	$-3	05-05 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$16	23	23	+0	Down	$-4	05-05 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$15	26	26	+0	Up	$-5	05-05 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$14	9	9	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 15:31:23	btc updown 5m 1782401400	Down	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x246106…
06-25 15:29:35	btc updown 5m 1782401400	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xcfdd57…
06-25 15:25:31	btc updown 5m 1782401100	Down	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x96badb…
06-25 15:23:19	btc updown 5m 1782401100	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x913ffd…
06-25 15:20:34	btc updown 5m 1782400800	Down	SELL	51	67¢	$34	0x123c92…
06-25 15:18:08	btc updown 5m 1782400800	Down	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x79588f…
06-25 15:15:59	btc updown 5m 1782400500	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xb1e8eb…
06-25 15:12:53	btc updown 5m 1782400500	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd5b37d…
06-25 15:11:08	btc updown 5m 1782400200	Down	SELL	17	69¢	$12	0xb373fa…
06-25 15:10:17	btc updown 5m 1782400200	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xde1c38…
06-25 15:10:17	btc updown 5m 1782400200	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0e9f7f…
06-25 14:51:13	btc updown 5m 1782398700	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x2cddb3…
06-25 14:50:35	btc updown 5m 1782399000	Up	SELL	9	68¢	$6	0x5ef5c8…
06-25 14:50:10	btc updown 5m 1782399000	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbac039…
06-25 14:49:56	btc updown 5m 1782398700	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc6e828…
06-25 14:49:47	btc updown 5m 1782398700	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xd95dac…
06-25 14:49:47	btc updown 5m 1782398700	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x05195d…
06-25 14:46:22	btc updown 5m 1782398700	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x5800b7…
06-25 14:42:43	btc updown 5m 1782398700	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe858b9…
06-25 14:41:04	btc updown 5m 1782398400	Down	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0xb4912f…
06-25 14:40:07	btc updown 5m 1782398400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6bcb57…
06-25 14:36:43	btc updown 5m 1782398100	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x1fd847…
06-25 14:36:08	btc updown 5m 1782398100	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x1c42d3…
06-25 14:21:07	btc updown 5m 1782397200	Up	SELL	7	77¢	$6	0x4765d5…
06-25 14:20:22	btc updown 5m 1782397200	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb15b04…
05-06 15:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x07f1ea…
05-06 15:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x2e958b…
05-06 15:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	116	2¢	$2	0x33fdc4…
05-06 15:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0c681b…
05-06 15:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaaf23d…
05-06 15:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	29	36¢	$10	0xce328f…
05-06 15:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xfde482…
05-06 15:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0x00ea21…
05-06 15:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xc0ea82…
05-06 14:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x44e343…
05-06 14:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x600a1a…
05-06 14:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0x7dc3ce…
05-06 14:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x606a94…
05-06 14:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x3a6b63…
05-06 14:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb4f90a…
05-06 14:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x84d51f…
05-06 14:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x4763b4…
05-06 13:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xd1408e…
05-06 13:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7f4e28…
05-06 13:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0x082d5a…
05-06 13:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xeb8a64…
05-06 05:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x4f1ad5…
05-06 05:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x358515…
05-06 05:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	18	61¢	$11	0x46d80f…
05-06 05:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x55373b…
05-06 05:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0xdea7c2…
05-06 05:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x9f09a4…
05-06 05:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x2e1ff5…
05-06 05:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3e644c…
05-06 05:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	83¢	$16	0x270256…
05-06 05:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x2f8030…
05-06 05:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0xb3fe91…
05-06 05:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf0d256…
05-05 14:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xe834df…
05-05 14:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8a1734…
05-05 14:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf4fae3…
05-05 14:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x246ef5…
05-05 14:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0x51cca8…
05-05 14:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xfcba4e…
05-05 14:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x1c96fc…
05-05 14:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x231c09…
05-05 13:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	17	85¢	$14	0xda2ba7…
05-05 13:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc9b1f2…
05-05 13:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0x9bfc48…
05-05 13:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x5ad948…
05-05 13:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x34f432…
05-05 13:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x313ae7…
05-05 13:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x288bf7…
05-05 13:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x2f2aaf…
05-05 13:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xcb3cf7…
05-05 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x29f74c…
05-05 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x10e877…
05-05 13:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x56f1ea…
05-05 13:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xd0e47c…
05-05 13:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x646cbb…
05-05 13:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xe4477e…
05-05 13:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x51cbaf…
05-05 13:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0xf72e0d…
05-05 13:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8930ce…
05-03 14:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xd432fc…
05-03 14:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x07af4f…
05-03 14:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xb93ae3…
05-03 13:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	44	53¢	$23	0xbf8409…
05-03 13:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x999ede…
05-03 13:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x47e699…
05-03 12:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	30	78¢	$24	0x591c19…
05-03 12:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xc119f9…
05-03 12:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xba7a67…
05-03 12:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x7f8a78…
05-03 12:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x72f7cd…
05-03 12:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xad9efb…
05-03 11:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	31	76¢	$24	0x9e2772…
05-03 11:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x8d2eb0…
05-03 11:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x6eae23…
05-03 11:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xbfb781…