Previous-Departure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

Trades

176

lifetime

Volume

$1.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-12 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% — —

Politics

35% — —

Crypto

11% 57% $-7

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	6	$542	347	347	+0	open	—	03-17 18:51
will israel strike gaza on february 10 2026	13	$149	154	154	+0	open	—	02-12 23:42
will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	2	$130	91	91	+0	open	—	03-17 18:51
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	2	$114	66	66	+0	open	—	02-23 14:39
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	5	$112	114	114	+0	open	—	02-09 20:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	03-17 20:10
will israel strike gaza on february 13 2026	12	$57	155	155	+0	open	—	02-14 06:53
trump approval up or down this week 714	2	$50	39	39	+0	open	—	02-11 13:32
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$49	31	31	+0	open	—	02-09 17:45
will russia strike kyiv on february 13 2026	13	$42	724	724	+0	open	—	02-14 10:31
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	2	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	02-12 17:30
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	2	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	02-23 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$28	27	15	+12	Down	$-2	05-11 12:34
will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	8	$28	75	75	+0	open	—	02-22 22:48
iran strike on us military by february 28	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	02-24 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$22	111	11	+100	Up	$-0	05-11 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 12:03
will israel strike gaza on february 17 2026	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	02-17 10:12
will iran strike israel on march 10	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-12 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$16	14	8	+6	Down	$-4	05-11 15:31
will russia strike kyiv on february 17 2026	1	$15	0	204	-204	open	—	02-17 11:24
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$15	119	119	+0	open	—	03-10 11:32
btc updown 5m 1773780000	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-17 20:45
will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	03-08 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 12:23
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$11	33	33	+0	open	—	02-22 22:52
us strike on somalia by february 14	4	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	02-14 07:35
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$10	24	24	+0	open	—	02-15 09:52
btc updown 5m 1773677700	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	03-16 16:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 08:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x91bf3d…
05-12 08:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5510e7…
05-11 15:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xeff814…
05-11 15:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xd9468b…
05-11 15:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x25a415…
05-11 15:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x889d80…
05-11 15:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x22bea0…
05-11 15:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7c65ad…
05-11 15:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x2a9656…
05-11 15:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4568d5…
05-11 15:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8bcdb5…
05-11 15:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x900e1f…
05-11 15:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$3	0xc20032…
05-11 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x45ad9e…
05-11 14:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x84afdf…
05-11 14:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x1ef2ee…
05-11 14:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa63d08…
05-11 14:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb8b208…
05-11 12:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x825707…
05-11 12:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xcf78c1…
05-11 12:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3637ab…
05-11 12:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xbf1537…
05-11 12:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x849f19…
05-11 12:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x88adfb…
05-11 12:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0x34343f…
05-11 12:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1fe18b…
05-11 12:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd8d41f…
05-11 12:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x13d481…
05-11 12:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0x032dfd…
05-11 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xfc5eda…
05-11 12:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcfcaec…
05-11 12:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x45e1f6…
05-11 12:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x10a0a9…
05-11 12:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe6a8ff…
05-11 12:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x1c6897…
05-11 12:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x0b7ca1…
05-11 12:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x5727cd…
05-11 12:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x331e30…
05-11 12:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x330140…
05-11 12:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4548b6…
05-11 12:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0xdb160d…
05-11 12:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7b4bb0…
05-11 12:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0xd84be5…
05-11 12:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x81a1e1…
05-11 12:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x7f3556…
05-11 12:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x3557e0…
05-11 11:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x416a6c…
05-11 11:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x0b0597…
03-17 21:46:03	btc updown 5m 1773783900	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6a64aa…
03-17 21:43:17	btc updown 5m 1773783600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xebd83d…
03-17 20:45:43	btc updown 5m 1773780000	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbbf5c7…
03-17 20:43:13	btc updown 5m 1773780000	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xccd5bc…
03-17 20:10:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x64e16c…
03-17 18:51:23	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	SELL	347	94¢	$327	0xc2fac7…
03-17 18:51:11	will russia capture kostyantynivka by march 31 872 578	No	SELL	91	88¢	$80	0x859d86…
03-16 16:24:09	eth updown 5m 1773678000	Up	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0xc41b9b…
03-16 16:21:31	eth updown 5m 1773678000	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbad3e5…
03-16 16:16:51	btc updown 5m 1773677700	Up	SELL	9	59¢	$5	0x1fd770…
03-16 16:15:55	btc updown 5m 1773677700	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x25162c…
03-13 10:44:23	will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x15f265…
03-12 16:12:59	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	SELL	15	96¢	$15	0x0cef23…
03-12 13:02:11	will iran strike israel on march 10	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x699136…
03-10 11:32:05	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	119	4¢	$5	0xa12e25…
03-08 13:37:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xc12c54…
03-08 13:36:15	will russia capture all of vovchansk by march 31	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0x1b9310…
03-08 13:35:31	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x8e0313…
03-08 13:34:47	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0x6af28e…
03-08 13:34:21	will russia enter orikhiv by march 31	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xbf0300…
02-28 18:39:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb0b78f…
02-28 10:11:15	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x29aa04…
02-27 22:04:33	will russia strike kyiv on february 26 2026	Yes	SELL	28	0¢	$0	0xeea267…
02-24 19:06:52	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x0bd570…
02-23 14:46:34	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0bec3c…
02-23 14:44:38	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0xfebcb1…
02-23 14:43:12	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x90f833…
02-23 14:39:16	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	No	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0xdcec87…
02-23 14:39:02	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	66	97¢	$64	0x2a5892…
02-22 22:52:44	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x7f1f60…
02-22 22:51:46	will israel strike gaza on february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x34d041…
02-22 22:50:56	will gta 6 cost 100	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x7b6ccb…
02-22 22:48:02	will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x9d4365…
02-22 14:28:04	will gta 6 cost 100	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x4a4091…
02-22 12:59:46	will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x59a02d…
02-22 10:37:42	will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x244480…
02-22 10:11:58	will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xe51143…
02-22 10:11:32	will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	No	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0xbc8956…
02-22 07:10:38	will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe4af3a…
02-22 07:09:32	will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0x6518cf…
02-22 02:01:18	will russia strike kyiv on february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x5ec545…
02-18 17:43:50	iran strike on us military by february 28	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa4faf0…
02-18 17:40:22	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x943023…
02-18 17:02:36	will israel strike lebanon on february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xb6440b…
02-18 17:01:10	will israel strike gaza on february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x6a2392…
02-17 19:40:11	will israel strike gaza on february 16 2026	Yes	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0xa11722…
02-17 17:10:01	will israel strike lebanon on february 17 2026	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x253127…
02-17 16:35:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x5545bb…
02-17 11:24:45	will russia strike kyiv on february 17 2026	Yes	SELL	204	7¢	$15	0x839138…
02-17 10:12:01	will israel strike gaza on february 17 2026	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe442f9…
02-17 09:52:13	will israel strike gaza on february 17 2026	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe06b46…
02-15 17:22:49	will israel strike gaza on february 15 2026	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8c2435…