Belated-Welcome-Roundabout — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

16.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$82

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-06 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-1

Crypto

44% 13% $-15

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No		+5	$1	6¢	$0	$-1	06-06 12:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$32	574	412	+161	open	—	05-09 05:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	05-11 08:23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?	2	$2	1,250	0	+1,250	Yes	$-2	05-09 18:18
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	05-11 17:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$2	48	0	+48	Down	$-2	05-11 13:48
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$2	54	0	+54	open	—	05-08 18:32
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	2	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	05-08 18:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	1	$1	250	0	+250	Yes	$-1	05-09 05:19
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$1	24	0	+24	Up	$-1	05-11 15:26
Will Solana reach $95 on May 8?	1	$1	7	0	+7	No	$-1	05-08 18:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Down	+$5	05-11 13:53
dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game1	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	06-06 12:12
Will Solana reach $110 on May 8?	1	$1	100	0	+100	No	$-1	05-08 18:20
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-11 15:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	1	$1	71	0	+71	Yes	$-1	05-08 18:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?	1	$1	237	0	+237	Yes	$-1	05-08 18:22
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-11 16:13
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	06-06 12:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-11 14:03
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-08 18:25
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-11 08:29
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$1	98	0	+98	Up	$-1	05-11 08:39
Solana Up or Down on May 9?	1	$1	10	0	+10	Up	$-1	05-08 18:27
dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game2	1	$1	12	0	+12	open	—	06-06 12:12
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-11 16:37
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 8?	1	$1	20	0	+20	No	$-1	05-08 18:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Up	$-1	05-11 13:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	1	$1	91	0	+91	No	$-1	05-08 18:33
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-11 17:47
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-14 18:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 12:41:40	eth updown 5m 1780749600	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xfaf13a…
06-06 12:34:58	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc4253e…
06-06 12:12:33	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa63668…
06-06 12:12:21	dota2 ty bb4 2026 06 06 game2	BetBoom Team	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb1fc6e…
05-14 18:33:05	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x614afc…
05-14 18:32:49	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb75c80…
05-11 17:47:56	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x24a89d…
05-11 17:47:02	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xe0f92b…
05-11 16:37:23	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x31f8f0…
05-11 16:13:03	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb95f99…
05-11 16:06:28	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x166b42…
05-11 15:47:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x2e0075…
05-11 15:42:42	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x085e4d…
05-11 15:37:42	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x65c739…
05-11 15:31:45	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xba3104…
05-11 15:26:20	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xe18227…
05-11 14:03:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x35bf50…
05-11 13:58:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7cb2dc…
05-11 13:53:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd5d25c…
05-11 13:48:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbd292c…
05-11 13:48:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x61cfad…
05-11 13:42:07	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x10217c…
05-11 08:39:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0xea8f3e…
05-11 08:34:18	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xbb6b1d…
05-11 08:29:03	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1b22dc…
05-11 08:23:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x32e608…
05-11 08:22:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7168c3…
05-11 08:21:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5280e6…
05-09 18:18:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x834482…
05-09 05:19:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb61512…
05-09 05:18:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	161	2¢	$4	0x8b69a7…
05-08 19:49:41	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	108	3¢	$4	0xbf0fc0…
05-08 18:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf4fbf6…
05-08 18:50:37	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0bee35…
05-08 18:49:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x7c1c68…
05-08 18:41:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$5	0xf193bc…
05-08 18:38:31	Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xaef990…
05-08 18:33:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x9821bf…
05-08 18:32:52	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x61ede8…
05-08 18:32:48	Gemini 3.2 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa5faa9…
05-08 18:29:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	574	3¢	$20	0xd4514c…
05-08 18:27:37	Solana Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x227a38…
05-08 18:25:34	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xfa1fc7…
05-08 18:24:47	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x312665…
05-08 18:24:08	Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xf00841…
05-08 18:23:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x01797a…
05-08 18:22:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x40aa7e…
05-08 18:22:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	237	0¢	$1	0x593adb…
05-08 18:21:38	Will Solana reach $95 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x4f196d…
05-08 18:20:21	Will Solana reach $110 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd1b257…
05-08 18:20:14	Will Solana reach $105 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0x84c412…