Shallow-Incarnation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

575

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 05-09 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 30% $-27

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 147 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	17	$35	45	30	+15	Down	$-8	05-09 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	15	$35	35	35	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	18	$35	44	35	+9	Down	+$0	05-09 09:09
btc updown 5m 1776087900	3	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-13 13:49
btc updown 5m 1776088500	3	$29	20	19	+1	open	—	04-13 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	10	$26	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-08 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	11	$25	51	0	+51	Down	+$0	05-08 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	6	$21	25	10	+15	Up	$-1	05-09 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	6	$19	20	10	+10	Up	$-1	05-09 08:54
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	7	$18	30	0	+30	Up	+$2	05-08 19:28
btc updown 5m 1776064200	2	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	04-13 07:15
btc updown 5m 1776071100	2	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	04-13 09:09
btc updown 5m 1775932500	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	04-11 18:36
btc updown 5m 1776061200	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	04-13 06:24
btc updown 5m 1776064800	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	04-13 07:22
btc updown 5m 1775932200	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	04-11 18:34
btc updown 5m 1776069000	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	04-13 08:34
btc updown 5m 1776060000	2	$15	11	10	+0	open	—	04-13 06:03
btc updown 5m 1776067200	4	$15	42	36	+7	open	—	04-13 08:04
btc updown 5m 1776060600	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 06:15
btc updown 5m 1776063600	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 07:05
btc updown 5m 1776090000	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 14:24
btc updown 5m 1776067500	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 08:08
btc updown 5m 1776076500	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 10:38
btc updown 5m 1776090600	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 14:34
btc updown 5m 1776063000	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-13 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$14	33	0	+33	Up	$-4	05-08 19:40
btc updown 5m 1776074700	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-13 10:09
btc updown 5m 1776070800	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-13 09:02
btc updown 5m 1776060900	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-13 06:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 09:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa4d146…
05-09 09:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xda2285…
05-09 09:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xa52b66…
05-09 09:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0xa177d4…
05-09 09:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8a2885…
05-09 09:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4a87be…
05-09 09:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfbcf5e…
05-09 09:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x06e24e…
05-09 09:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x6cc362…
05-09 09:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xabd6bb…
05-09 09:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x916aef…
05-09 09:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xe48620…
05-09 09:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfacde5…
05-09 09:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x55ac0d…
05-09 09:07:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x22840c…
05-09 09:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x607435…
05-09 09:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xddda95…
05-09 09:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xc92e5b…
05-09 09:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0xa9a2f6…
05-09 09:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xe8d7ad…
05-09 09:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xccb4a9…
05-09 09:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2dc210…
05-09 09:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xf4b6cf…
05-09 09:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x701d6e…
05-09 09:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x847e8b…
05-09 09:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe4e256…
05-09 09:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x7048cc…
05-09 09:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x352b3c…
05-09 09:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9d25f6…
05-09 09:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x203f90…
05-09 09:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd2380b…
05-09 09:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xefce11…
05-09 09:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfe2fa6…
05-09 09:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0xc7d1d9…
05-09 09:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7cc5cc…
05-09 09:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x25db0f…
05-09 09:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa153b0…
05-09 09:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x2cbc2a…
05-09 09:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xbfbdf1…
05-09 09:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xbd501d…
05-09 09:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x5f361b…
05-09 09:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa54a36…
05-09 09:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x89d578…
05-09 09:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4e1660…
05-09 09:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x53f93c…
05-09 09:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x650268…
05-09 09:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5a4180…
05-09 09:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0e70b5…
05-09 09:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x830bca…
05-09 09:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x6d9979…
05-09 09:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8eb4d0…
05-09 09:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcc488a…
05-09 08:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xe204ad…
05-09 08:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc1d98a…
05-09 08:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x3e3bdc…
05-09 08:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x882a1a…
05-09 08:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x445579…
05-09 08:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2f404d…
05-09 08:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8526d2…
05-09 08:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x24fea5…
05-09 08:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7ede33…
05-09 08:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xaf0616…
05-09 08:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x4460fe…
05-09 08:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x117d97…
05-09 08:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc4fb46…
05-09 08:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x8f395e…
05-09 08:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x40e127…
05-09 08:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x21235b…
05-09 08:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf639f8…
05-09 08:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xda10fc…
05-09 08:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc999bb…
05-09 08:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3ecdff…
05-09 08:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0e3850…
05-09 07:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xad8529…
05-09 07:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x2c44f3…
05-09 07:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa806f4…
05-09 07:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe9b28f…
05-09 07:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x99bbb2…
05-09 07:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x82b4f4…
05-09 07:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9ccf2a…
05-09 07:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x7f206a…
05-09 07:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x681097…
05-09 07:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8cb89b…
05-09 07:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7aad1a…
05-09 07:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x02aecf…
05-09 06:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfea77a…
05-09 06:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x214773…
05-09 06:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x7831ee…
05-09 06:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa07e4a…
05-09 06:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5cc700…
05-09 06:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6c3b0a…
05-08 20:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4f6679…
05-08 20:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x9f8ef0…
05-08 20:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x48960f…
05-08 20:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xce8595…
05-08 20:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6ce5f6…
05-08 20:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6ad17b…
05-08 19:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xbeacf7…
05-08 19:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x9c4bad…
05-08 19:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xfa33b6…