Ugly-Sheath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$176

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-12 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 30% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	1	$41	0	41	-41	open	—	04-26 16:01
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	2	$16	900	900	+0	open	—	05-04 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	05-12 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-12 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$9	29	27	+2	open	—	04-26 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	04-26 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$6	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-26 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$4	20	0	+20	Down	$-4	05-12 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$4	16	0	+16	Down	$-4	05-06 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$4	8	2	+6	open	—	04-26 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	04-26 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$3	7	4	+4	open	—	04-26 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	4	$3	28	26	+2	open	—	04-26 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$3	6	3	+3	Down	+$4	05-06 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-09 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$2	8	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-06 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$2	6	4	+1	Down	+$0	05-09 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$2	5	4	+0	open	—	04-26 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-26 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$2	29	0	+29	open	—	04-26 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-26 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$2	15	0	+15	Down	$-2	05-06 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-06 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$2	9	0	+9	Up	$-2	05-12 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$1	2	1	+1	Up	$-1	05-06 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$1	6	3	+3	Up	$-1	05-09 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-06 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 13:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x35678c…
05-12 13:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xe3a503…
05-12 12:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xeaf003…
05-12 12:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x234484…
05-12 12:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfb79aa…
05-12 12:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x468226…
05-12 12:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3c6e41…
05-10 21:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6d9023…
05-09 12:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x78c5e2…
05-09 12:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4abcae…
05-09 12:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa11376…
05-09 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$1	0x633f58…
05-09 12:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0x674be2…
05-09 12:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xcf8443…
05-09 12:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x4bc497…
05-09 12:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf4d537…
05-09 11:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe3fb04…
05-06 21:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x994374…
05-06 21:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9b6b0a…
05-06 21:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xe024e2…
05-06 21:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcc2867…
05-06 20:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe77619…
05-06 20:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xfa70d3…
05-06 20:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8957ad…
05-06 20:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0x530480…
05-06 20:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5503d1…
05-06 20:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xe381aa…
05-06 20:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xddf49d…
05-06 20:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc501ac…
05-06 20:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x9d260d…
05-06 20:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd4cfb8…
05-04 15:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x21cfe8…
05-04 15:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	900	1¢	$7	0xa2f0cf…
05-04 15:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	900	1¢	$9	0x621dff…
04-26 16:01:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0xe24cb1…
04-26 11:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x20903b…
04-26 11:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x2d9766…
04-26 11:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x28d132…
04-26 11:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xdc9bcd…
04-26 11:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x73f0f4…
04-26 11:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	27	28¢	$7	0x56234f…
04-26 11:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd9110e…
04-26 11:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x663f3c…
04-26 11:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5bf0ab…
04-26 11:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x11bda5…
04-26 11:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x79f9c1…
04-26 10:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6b5ef6…
04-26 10:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x0a2a11…
04-26 10:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf4fe00…
04-26 10:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x721b85…
04-26 10:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x324e62…
04-26 10:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x123c3e…
04-26 10:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x88c221…
04-26 10:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe17c60…
04-26 10:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xbf914f…
04-26 10:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc51303…
04-26 10:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x9d7b7e…
04-26 10:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x73492e…
04-26 09:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xabac76…
04-26 09:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd9b127…