Wet-Camel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

33.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$46

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-29

last 07-01 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 25% $-4

Politics

17% 0% $-4

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		+27	$3	8¢	$2	$-1	06-22 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$4	3	2	+1	Down	+$1	05-05 10:00
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$3	27	0	+27	open	—	06-22 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-01 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 12:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 11:42
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-05 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-05 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 09:42
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?	1	$1	10	0	+10	Yes	$-1	05-05 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 11:56
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-29 08:40
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?	1	$1	12	0	+12	Yes	$-1	05-05 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 11:43
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	$-1	05-05 08:56
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 08:55
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?	1	$1	8	0	+8	Yes	$-1	05-05 08:45
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	1	$1	8	0	+8	Yes	$-1	05-05 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 12:35
btc updown 5m 1782889500	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	07-01 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-30 12:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 07:05:19	btc updown 5m 1782889500	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x5bb951…
06-22 15:01:53	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xb4ff64…
05-05 10:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfdfbca…
05-05 10:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x65f530…
05-05 09:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x5396f1…
05-05 09:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfd29ef…
05-05 09:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9dedff…
05-05 09:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf2fb31…
05-05 09:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0e7025…
05-05 09:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5cd68e…
05-05 09:13:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x52af91…
05-05 08:56:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x30d705…
05-05 08:55:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcd9b2c…
05-05 08:46:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe50ddf…
05-05 08:45:12	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9a1884…
05-05 08:44:52	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8b5907…
05-05 08:44:46	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd9cf92…
05-01 11:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf834a6…
05-01 11:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe704d9…
05-01 11:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf37622…
04-30 12:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0aed78…
04-30 12:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x812cb7…
04-30 12:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfce0c5…
04-30 12:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x81494b…
04-30 12:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb2d324…
04-30 12:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xea31cb…
04-30 12:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb2a2a9…
04-30 12:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x92199f…
04-30 12:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x069368…
04-30 12:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd7080a…
04-30 12:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$1	0x09abdd…
04-30 12:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3e6185…
04-30 11:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfb6161…
04-30 11:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xffeb0a…
04-30 11:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x23add7…
04-30 11:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe536a3…
04-30 11:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xcfec91…
04-30 11:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x34f439…
04-30 11:38:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xfc0d42…
04-29 08:40:08	Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1ee042…
04-29 08:39:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x186847…