Whispered-Axis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$132

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-29 13:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 67% +$0

Other

29% — —

Politics

15% 0% $-1

Sports

2% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-29 13:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-05 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-02 19:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-02 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	5	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	05-15 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 21:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-24 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	06-02 14:29
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	9	0	+9	No	$-3	04-17 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$2	05-04 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 21:39
lib boc bar 2026 04 14 total 2pt5	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	05-15 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 14:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-06 19:50
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-20 18:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-20 14:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 21:16
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-17 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 21:08
btc updown 5m 1776703200	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-20 16:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 21:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$1	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 20:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	$-1	05-04 19:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 22:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 13:40:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1d135b…
06-02 20:01:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x46029c…
06-02 19:53:49	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x663106…
06-02 19:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x22ae1b…
06-02 19:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd00537…
06-02 14:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5961d5…
06-02 14:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xce28fe…
06-02 14:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x94363a…
06-02 14:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x46e9cd…
06-02 14:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfeb52b…
05-22 20:28:44	FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdc2b6c…
05-15 22:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x007295…
05-15 22:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x276b13…
05-15 22:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xee58f2…
05-15 22:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x315d79…
05-15 22:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x016241…
05-15 21:56:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xaa071e…
05-15 21:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x390c92…
05-15 21:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x28038c…
05-15 21:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac8300…
05-15 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x8ff05e…
05-15 21:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2478c3…
05-15 21:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x415219…
05-15 21:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1ebb70…
05-15 21:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x81b4f9…
05-15 21:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf0f202…
05-15 21:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xb3d9d9…
05-15 21:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xa22936…
05-15 21:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xee0120…
05-15 21:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xdd4b4f…
05-15 21:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xcdbea9…
05-15 21:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x02c652…
05-15 21:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x0ec4bd…
05-15 21:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x253b1e…
05-15 21:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x607ae8…
05-15 21:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfabd59…
05-14 21:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4bd96a…
05-14 20:14:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xb70631…
05-07 19:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe244de…
05-07 14:20:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8a10f4…
05-07 13:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4dd60d…
05-07 13:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf151a1…
05-06 19:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfb782c…
05-06 19:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4cbc50…
05-05 20:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xdfebba…
05-05 20:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4af37f…
05-05 19:18:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7584a2…
05-04 20:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9afeb4…
05-04 20:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xac8a96…
05-04 20:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3b3d67…
05-04 19:07:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1f93c7…
05-04 19:07:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbab3b0…
04-24 14:45:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9c122f…
04-20 18:53:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x07f634…
04-20 16:41:58	btc updown 5m 1776703200	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x110f79…
04-20 14:13:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xb4d307…
04-17 21:16:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9e454f…
04-17 20:23:58	btc updown 5m 1776457200	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfcec10…
04-17 20:20:00	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xf2ac83…
04-17 20:11:40	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x0caafe…
04-17 20:11:06	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7aaa94…
04-17 20:10:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x94bf0d…
04-14 21:39:34	lib boc bar 2026 04 14 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0d9d2e…