Imaginative-Overexertion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$86

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

249

Trades

891

lifetime

Volume

$1.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-12 06:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 26% $-86

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 200 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	5	$38	100	100	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	6	$33	40	40	+0	Up	+$21	05-08 03:24
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	2	$32	34	34	+0	open	—	02-13 14:42
bitcoin up or down march 10 9pm et	2	$30	76	0	+76	open	—	03-11 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	11	$29	40	40	+0	Down	+$24	05-09 03:24
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	2	$28	54	54	+0	open	—	01-30 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$24	40	40	+0	Up	+$12	05-08 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	5	$22	50	50	+0	Up	+$8	05-08 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$18	40	40	+0	Down	+$13	05-09 04:17
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 380 399	7	$17	75	80	-5	open	—	02-04 01:50
bitcoin up or down march 10 10pm et	3	$16	40	0	+40	open	—	03-11 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	7	$16	110	110	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 00:19
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 300 319	3	$15	54	54	+0	open	—	01-28 08:36
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	4	$14	35	35	+0	open	—	02-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$13	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$13	100	0	+100	Up	$-13	05-08 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	12	$13	80	40	+40	Down	+$6	05-09 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	12	$13	150	150	+0	Down	+$4	05-08 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$12	60	0	+60	Down	+$18	05-07 03:19
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 320 339	1	$12	54	0	+54	open	—	01-28 03:52
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 340 359	2	$11	40	40	+0	open	—	02-04 08:10
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 340 359	2	$11	54	54	+0	open	—	01-30 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$11	40	40	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	5	$10	50	0	+50	Up	$-10	05-09 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$9	60	0	+60	Down	+$21	05-08 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$9	50	50	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	9	$9	80	30	+50	Up	+$9	05-09 02:49
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 380 399	2	$8	40	40	+0	open	—	02-04 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	12	$8	54	0	+54	Up	$-8	05-08 03:16
bitcoin up or down march 5 12am et	2	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	03-05 05:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 06:16:07	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x6d8c30…
06-12 05:08:06	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x12908e…
06-12 05:08:04	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x44d27d…
06-12 04:16:22	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x47f914…
06-12 03:18:00	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x09db3c…
06-12 03:17:48	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x64af9e…
06-12 03:17:46	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7b6d8d…
06-12 02:09:16	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xc1ea2c…
06-12 02:09:16	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	18	20¢	$4	0x66d3f3…
06-12 01:12:21	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x1c5fbf…
06-12 01:11:43	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x238b73…
06-12 00:07:49	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe1b31a…
06-12 00:00:34	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x22d9c0…
06-11 12:21:15	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xaeaca9…
06-11 12:21:15	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x3a0a2e…
06-11 12:21:13	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x546e36…
06-11 09:14:21	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x071a0c…
06-11 09:14:18	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x962319…
06-11 08:13:42	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x65a7b7…
06-11 07:38:40	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x411b69…
06-11 07:38:39	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xc4e1fc…
06-11 07:13:25	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xbca90e…
06-11 07:13:25	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x870097…
06-11 06:20:22	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x9cd1d6…
06-11 05:00:58	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfd754b…
06-11 04:49:10	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xffcfb7…
06-11 04:33:57	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0x2d8b95…
06-11 04:33:55	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x2924ae…
06-11 03:32:37	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 11pm et	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xb6a58b…
06-11 02:24:33	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x472e21…
06-11 02:24:12	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xaf6ce3…
06-11 02:22:55	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x55e085…
06-11 01:13:43	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xb14e9e…
06-11 01:13:43	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x0b50de…
06-11 00:15:46	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x51cfab…
05-15 05:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x44389b…
05-15 05:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xb2d522…
05-15 05:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x95ffe2…
05-15 05:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x8f8949…
05-15 05:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd6a97d…
05-15 04:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x5a2889…
05-15 04:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x28b652…
05-15 04:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8c7e88…
05-15 04:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xb7d655…
05-15 03:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0eb745…
05-15 03:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x465f6c…
05-15 03:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x26cb23…
05-15 03:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfb855b…
05-15 03:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8ced76…
05-15 03:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6cc2f9…
05-15 03:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xad35a0…
05-15 03:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0xac1498…
05-15 02:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3b8f37…
05-15 02:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfee868…
05-15 02:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa7063e…
05-15 02:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xeb2129…
05-15 02:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3db618…
05-15 02:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xfc98b5…
05-15 02:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x94c9db…
05-15 02:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x839917…
05-15 02:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xac9077…
05-15 01:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdb4eeb…
05-14 12:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xa3978a…
05-14 12:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x1becc1…
05-14 12:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x44c06c…
05-14 12:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xc42656…
05-14 11:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x46cf2c…
05-14 11:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x427595…
05-14 11:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x0148e5…
05-14 11:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x696a38…
05-14 11:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x9df815…
05-14 11:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x97c8a8…
05-14 11:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xa8ff83…
05-14 11:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x56d27f…
05-14 11:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x0edcbd…
05-14 11:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xe4f2fe…
05-14 11:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2f6e6b…
05-14 11:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x506724…
05-14 10:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xce1a37…
05-14 10:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x75548d…
05-14 10:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xb0e104…
05-14 10:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2fc26c…
05-14 10:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xc9ea17…
05-14 10:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xc4d56b…
05-14 10:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xdfdda6…
05-14 10:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xea663f…
05-14 09:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe04216…
05-14 09:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x733f33…
05-14 09:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x84e5f4…
05-14 09:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf64fc3…
05-14 08:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3d9b11…
05-14 08:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xeb8ea8…
05-14 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5a8ccd…
05-14 08:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5a9362…
05-14 08:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xa9e5d7…
05-14 08:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x836a69…
05-14 04:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf5c725…
05-14 04:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe94144…
05-14 04:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xadd2b8…
05-14 04:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x3433a6…