Spotless-Tissue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$130

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.3%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$42.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$210

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 05-15 19:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

72% 100% +$13

Other

23% 50% $-143

Sports

5% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$4.2K	3,497	3,497	+0	open	—	03-27 13:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$2.5K	2,281	2,281	+0	open	—	04-07 23:01
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	6	$2.2K	1,537	1,537	+0	open	—	03-26 12:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$2.0K	7,389	7,389	+0	open	—	03-25 14:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$2.0K	2,511	2,511	+0	open	—	04-07 23:06
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$1.9K	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	04-05 13:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$1.9K	21,784	21,784	+0	open	—	04-07 23:22
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	8	$1.8K	1,602	1,602	+0	open	—	03-27 23:13
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	3	$1.5K	6,111	5,859	+252	open	—	04-07 12:22
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$1.4K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	04-10 20:37
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	5	$1.4K	4,404	4,404	+0	open	—	04-09 12:34
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 29 2026 526	3	$1.1K	682	682	+0	open	—	03-30 21:16
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$1.1K	805	805	+0	open	—	04-16 00:32
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	3	$1.0K	699	699	+0	open	—	04-03 23:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	5	$959	1,084	1,084	+0	open	—	04-20 18:37
will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	2	$941	1,738	1,738	+0	open	—	04-09 12:28
Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	7	$933	7,136	6,813	+323	open	—	04-16 01:35
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$880	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-07 14:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$876	600	600	+0	open	—	04-04 12:28
mlb cle lad 2026 04 01	3	$809	700	685	+15	open	—	04-02 02:26
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	3	$796	1,032	1,032	+0	Yes	$-204	04-07 12:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	3	$747	535	535	+0	open	—	04-20 18:38
will the us invade iran by march 31	8	$735	2,107	2,107	+0	open	—	03-24 19:26
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$606	2,048	2,048	+0	open	—	04-08 12:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$603	1,162	606	+556	open	—	04-20 18:49
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$541	1,263	1,263	+0	open	—	04-08 01:17
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$480	6,126	526	+5,600	open	—	04-20 23:57
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$475	950	950	+0	open	—	04-21 23:51
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$450	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-14 00:54
mlb cle atl 2026 04 12	1	$400	900	0	+900	open	—	04-12 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 19:30:03	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	6¢	$8	0xa9edbb…
05-15 19:29:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	490	11¢	$54	0x850954…
04-28 00:23:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	40¢	$21	0x193b7e…
04-27 21:31:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	40¢	$19	0x6c6986…
04-27 21:31:04	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	39¢	$11	0x84ace8…
04-23 02:06:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,850	7¢	$137	0x81777b…
04-22 21:18:40	Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	Yes	BUY	105	9¢	$10	0xcf6e4f…
04-21 23:51:56	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	950	18¢	$171	0x8b2acc…
04-21 00:00:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	950	32¢	$304	0xc8458d…
04-20 23:59:30	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	84¢	$102	0x1c62d5…
04-20 23:59:20	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	120	83¢	$100	0x136dfe…
04-20 23:59:10	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	120	82¢	$98	0x3b12fc…
04-20 23:57:00	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	5,600	5¢	$280	0x5c0035…
04-20 23:56:20	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	119	85¢	$101	0x3c215a…
04-20 18:50:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	490	61¢	$300	0xbe4d18…
04-20 18:49:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0x6fd70f…
04-20 18:39:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x4b15e0…
04-20 18:39:00	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xf0d3d8…
04-20 18:38:52	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x6d1bac…
04-20 18:38:44	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xd5e45d…
04-20 18:38:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	535	77¢	$412	0xc6d906…
04-20 18:37:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,084	44¢	$479	0x518ed2…
04-20 18:21:18	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x9f3494…
04-20 02:45:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	479	63¢	$300	0xa845d5…
04-20 02:45:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xad3d22…
04-20 02:45:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	674	45¢	$300	0x50e99c…
04-20 02:45:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	381	44¢	$168	0x75ca07…
04-20 02:43:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	61¢	$34	0x9f8e9d…
04-20 02:43:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x48a38e…
04-20 01:54:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	606	33¢	$203	0xa811cf…
04-16 01:35:46	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	SELL	526	19¢	$100	0xd9c4eb…
04-16 01:35:22	Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5,822	1¢	$79	0x2cd7fc…
04-16 00:32:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	805	96¢	$774	0x13cc34…
04-15 15:58:24	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0x343f2c…
04-15 14:58:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	805	37¢	$300	0x28bae9…
04-13 14:26:05	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	12¢	$120	0x4e3bec…
04-13 13:20:49	Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6,102	8¢	$500	0x53d393…
04-12 23:24:29	mlb cle atl 2026 04 12	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	900	44¢	$400	0x0d8b6f…
04-11 01:05:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	606	33¢	$200	0x2f2939…
04-11 00:57:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	600	17¢	$102	0x64c16d…
04-10 23:56:35	mlb cle atl 2026 04 10	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xec348a…
04-10 23:54:51	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 11 335	No	BUY	337	15¢	$50	0x9503e8…
04-10 23:01:23	mlb cle atl 2026 04 10	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	700	44¢	$308	0x1d5cdf…
04-10 20:37:47	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	191	53¢	$102	0x30591e…
04-10 20:37:21	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,409	57¢	$806	0xc6a96f…
04-10 20:36:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	400	16¢	$64	0xa89bd2…
04-09 13:15:33	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	34¢	$25	0x7e488a…
04-09 13:15:33	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	377	34¢	$127	0x277296…
04-09 13:13:35	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	34¢	$25	0x877657…
04-09 13:12:59	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	34¢	$51	0x3b913e…
04-09 13:10:41	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	34¢	$33	0xaac3e3…
04-09 13:10:37	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	34¢	$75	0x3ff6f0…
04-09 13:07:33	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$67	0xd53b01…
04-09 13:07:33	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	34¢	$134	0x737233…
04-09 12:49:53	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	396	14¢	$56	0xb0704c…
04-09 12:49:15	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x2d2dca…
04-09 12:43:41	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x74ca14…
04-09 12:41:05	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x9e1402…
04-09 12:41:03	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	75	22¢	$16	0x95a1d1…
04-09 12:34:49	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,445	9¢	$131	0xf9bae4…
04-09 12:28:55	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	SELL	1,738	25¢	$441	0x1606d4…
04-08 19:33:41	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,445	35¢	$500	0x931540…
04-08 12:58:21	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	498	13¢	$67	0x2ea4f6…
04-08 12:57:47	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,179	14¢	$162	0xf67e4d…
04-08 12:53:33	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	41	18¢	$7	0xd3877b…
04-08 12:53:25	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	70	18¢	$13	0x42c964…
04-08 12:53:15	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	26	18¢	$5	0x0e26e7…
04-08 12:52:55	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x69f7f7…
04-08 12:52:49	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	95	20¢	$19	0x474c78…
04-08 12:52:49	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 12 2026	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x3df888…
04-08 12:40:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,429	8¢	$114	0xd53059…
04-08 02:39:23	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x988040…
04-08 02:38:11	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	745	13¢	$100	0x1fd45f…
04-08 02:37:43	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 12 and 15 on april 12 2026	Yes	BUY	537	19¢	$100	0x0be4c6…
04-08 02:08:31	will 60 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	No	BUY	1,738	29¢	$500	0xfe0d7c…
04-08 02:00:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,179	8¢	$100	0x3e11a5…
04-08 01:17:59	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,263	19¢	$241	0xadea88…
04-08 01:17:15	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,263	24¢	$300	0x2914e0…
04-07 23:22:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	9,068	2¢	$175	0x89142e…
04-07 23:22:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x28fc1d…
04-07 23:21:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	9,098	2¢	$200	0x8912bb…
04-07 23:06:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	2,015	39¢	$785	0xad8c6d…
04-07 23:03:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2,015	50¢	$1,000	0x82b8fb…
04-07 23:01:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	1,981	95¢	$1,884	0x3338d1…
04-07 19:57:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	3,460	10¢	$348	0xf2df66…
04-07 19:51:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,481	27¢	$400	0x951410…
04-07 19:51:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	3,460	14¢	$500	0xf2f6d8…
04-07 14:28:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	3,216	4¢	$130	0x45f2aa…
04-07 14:27:45	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	4,000	12¢	$480	0x352d7d…
04-07 12:22:49	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	4,000	10¢	$400	0xe99b40…
04-07 12:22:29	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5,859	8¢	$466	0x9fa4a6…
04-07 12:22:13	Will gas hit (High) $4.75 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	992	18¢	$178	0x99a479…
04-07 12:22:01	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	268	26¢	$68	0x0e9bcd…
04-06 14:15:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	3,216	5¢	$150	0x1fadb5…
04-06 01:18:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	6,009	3¢	$170	0xbbcb97…
04-05 20:51:41	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	531	14¢	$75	0xed1fae…
04-05 19:15:55	mlb chc cle 2026 04 05	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	480	48¢	$230	0x312cac…
04-05 19:15:31	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	No	SELL	763	30¢	$227	0x25346b…
04-05 19:14:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x492f26…
04-05 15:12:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2,969	3¢	$100	0xb88f22…