Knowing-Employee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$683

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-05 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 29% $-2

Sports

35% 100% +$7

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	8	$157	187	187	+0	No	+$7	04-15 21:16
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	3	$122	88	88	+0	open	—	04-17 12:54
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	3	$97	52	51	+0	open	—	04-15 18:01
mlb cle stl 2026 04 15	6	$81	124	36	+88	open	—	04-15 21:16
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	8	$59	67	67	+0	open	—	04-15 21:16
btc updown 5m 1776430500	2	$34	38	36	+2	open	—	04-17 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	13	$34	25	25	+0	open	—	05-02 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$20	36	0	+36	Down	+$16	05-05 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	7	$11	128	3	+125	Down	$-1	05-05 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$6	12	0	+12	Down	$-6	05-05 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$6	11	0	+11	Down	+$5	05-05 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-02 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	05-02 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$5	11	2	+9	Down	$-3	05-05 07:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 19:40
btc updown 5m 1776442500	3	$4	85	0	+85	open	—	04-17 16:19
btc updown 5m 1776442800	2	$4	133	0	+133	open	—	04-17 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$3	300	0	+300	Up	$-3	05-05 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$3	125	0	+125	Up	$-3	05-05 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$3	19	0	+19	Up	$-3	05-05 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$3	41	0	+41	Down	$-3	05-05 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 09:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-05 19:46
btc updown 5m 1776430800	2	$2	112	0	+112	open	—	04-17 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$2	38	0	+38	Down	$-2	05-05 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-02 09:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-05 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-02 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x97b260…
05-05 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6a533c…
05-05 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x641966…
05-05 20:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8425ef…
05-05 20:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc6a507…
05-05 20:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8ae146…
05-05 20:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x365803…
05-05 20:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xb782c9…
05-05 20:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0c2394…
05-05 20:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8ed9cf…
05-05 20:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x53ba4b…
05-05 20:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x85accb…
05-05 20:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa6939f…
05-05 20:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa52608…
05-05 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2b4119…
05-05 19:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x61a731…
05-05 19:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x644e8c…
05-05 19:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe08ec4…
05-05 19:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x14fa9a…
05-05 19:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe355fc…
05-05 19:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x94d208…
05-05 19:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x66d114…
05-05 19:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x36388c…
05-05 19:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6252d5…
05-05 19:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x740bf1…
05-05 19:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9abff2…
05-05 19:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x739db5…
05-05 19:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xf29da6…
05-05 07:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf526f2…
05-05 07:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xae80e2…
05-05 07:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x3448c6…
05-05 07:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x843c26…
05-05 07:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b255f…
05-02 11:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x997acb…
05-02 10:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd5c70b…
05-02 10:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xde170e…
05-02 10:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x57535c…
05-02 10:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x254fd5…
05-02 10:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x142cc3…
05-02 09:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xe8cb3e…
05-02 09:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1b0d00…
05-02 09:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd045f7…
05-02 09:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x878745…
05-02 09:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x694a75…
05-02 09:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4dd3e3…
05-02 09:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8e0a7e…
05-02 09:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5b232d…
05-02 09:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x9ff291…
05-02 09:33:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x32008a…
05-02 09:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0x0c900b…
05-02 09:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3570b0…
05-02 09:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x05d358…
05-02 09:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x984e52…
05-02 09:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa45de5…
05-02 09:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9af1a1…
05-02 09:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x7c0b5b…
04-20 18:18:28	btc updown 5m 1776708900	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb8ee33…
04-17 16:24:04	btc updown 5m 1776442800	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdf2cd3…
04-17 16:21:38	btc updown 5m 1776442800	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x7f625c…
04-17 16:19:32	btc updown 5m 1776442500	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbabc6f…
04-17 16:19:14	btc updown 5m 1776442500	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x52d5ab…
04-17 16:19:02	btc updown 5m 1776442500	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb1ac92…
04-17 13:05:02	btc updown 5m 1776430800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x00e405…
04-17 13:04:26	btc updown 5m 1776430800	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb2ecf2…
04-17 12:59:24	btc updown 5m 1776430500	Up	SELL	36	67¢	$24	0xf872b1…
04-17 12:55:58	btc updown 5m 1776430500	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xc5e625…
04-17 12:54:46	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	88	70¢	$62	0xad7d88…
04-17 06:37:04	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xb9d5c8…
04-17 06:36:58	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0x2e4b1d…
04-15 21:16:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	23	67¢	$15	0xdd1189…
04-15 21:16:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	44	32¢	$14	0x33c3dc…
04-15 21:16:14	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	61	66¢	$40	0xa47d56…
04-15 21:16:08	mlb cle stl 2026 04 15	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xc8b896…
04-15 21:15:58	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	125	33¢	$41	0x19aeab…
04-15 19:53:24	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xc929c8…
04-15 19:52:26	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x76e61f…
04-15 19:51:32	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xa14b75…
04-15 19:50:46	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$13	0xe6e00c…
04-15 19:50:36	mlb cle stl 2026 04 15	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x6188a0…
04-15 19:49:24	mlb cle stl 2026 04 15	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	86	17¢	$15	0x06cc5a…
04-15 19:49:20	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf5d5b1…
04-15 19:49:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xfc20ca…
04-15 19:49:08	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xcf39f7…
04-15 19:48:12	mlb cle stl 2026 04 15	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x4b788f…
04-15 19:47:58	mlb cle stl 2026 04 15	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	16	80¢	$12	0xaa7a40…
04-15 19:47:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xc14e53…
04-15 19:47:12	mlb cle stl 2026 04 15	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x8bdbc8…
04-15 19:39:20	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xbda2e7…
04-15 19:37:12	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$11	0x2dc541…
04-15 19:36:24	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x93b087…
04-15 19:36:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x9882bf…
04-15 18:01:00	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0xb2b92b…
04-15 13:52:14	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x39f8cc…
04-15 13:50:26	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x529049…