Stale-Exterior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-24 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 100% +$1

Politics

20% — —

Other

7% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	3	$377	252	126	+126	open	—	04-13 13:18
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	3	$315	212	107	+105	open	—	02-27 04:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	3	$254	127	127	+0	Yes	+$0	05-08 00:56
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	2	$250	125	125	+0	open	—	05-19 14:23
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	2	$230	116	116	+0	open	—	03-15 23:47
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$227	115	115	+0	open	—	03-14 09:17
nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	2	$215	114	114	+0	open	—	03-01 01:34
Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	02-27 23:31
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$209	109	109	+0	open	—	02-28 23:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$127	127	0	+127	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$127	127	0	+127	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:27
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$126	127	0	+127	open	—	04-30 14:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$126	127	0	+127	open	—	04-27 13:00
bitcoin above 70k on april 24	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	04-23 15:54
bitcoin above 66k on april 20	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	04-18 06:48
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	04-16 04:59
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	04-14 04:49
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	04-10 03:29
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	1	$125	126	0	+126	open	—	04-07 23:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	05-19 14:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	1	$125	0	125	-125	open	—	05-23 14:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	05-24 15:46
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	04-06 07:54
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	04-01 05:00
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	03-31 05:03
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	03-30 05:10
dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game1	1	$121	125	0	+125	open	—	03-28 16:21
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$121	121	0	+121	open	—	03-27 13:40
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$120	121	0	+121	open	—	03-26 13:19
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	03-24 11:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:46:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x3eab32…
05-23 14:41:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xc48f5e…
05-19 14:56:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x11a2c8…
05-19 14:23:37	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0x019272…
05-19 13:31:19	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x2cbcd7…
05-11 01:45:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x00aa3c…
05-08 00:56:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x21e54c…
05-08 00:55:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xa592ed…
05-07 00:40:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xda2884…
05-05 06:27:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xbfded8…
04-30 14:39:04	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0xdaae0f…
04-27 13:00:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0x42111f…
04-23 15:54:06	bitcoin above 70k on april 24	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xcf69d6…
04-18 06:48:12	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x37b226…
04-16 04:59:00	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x06737f…
04-14 04:49:31	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x78175f…
04-13 13:18:37	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x0795a8…
04-13 04:26:49	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x090368…
04-11 23:51:59	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x5571d9…
04-10 03:29:31	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x087b34…
04-07 23:51:43	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x989fe1…
04-06 07:54:19	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xeb617c…
04-01 05:00:33	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xe19be4…
03-31 05:03:11	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xef70b0…
03-30 05:10:10	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xd0b1e7…
03-28 16:21:11	dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game1	Tundra Esports	BUY	125	97¢	$121	0xb649bd…
03-27 13:40:31	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xda92b5…
03-26 13:19:45	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xee4de9…
03-24 11:13:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x7a354f…
03-21 07:23:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x376934…
03-20 18:29:27	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x9fa2d4…
03-20 04:19:15	cbb kenest gnzg 2026 03 19	Gonzaga Bulldogs	BUY	120	99¢	$118	0x1758ca…
03-19 01:00:25	cbb kentst illst 2026 03 18	Illinois State Redbirds	BUY	118	98¢	$116	0x4ef9d4…
03-18 04:34:05	nhl tb sea 2026 03 17	Lightning	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xbd72dc…
03-16 02:07:31	bitcoin above 64k on march 17	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x5382c4…
03-15 23:47:23	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0x8c86c5…
03-14 09:18:21	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	116	99¢	$114	0x73c308…
03-14 09:17:09	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$114	0x0c78c1…
03-12 14:15:35	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0xa16284…
03-10 05:11:15	bitcoin above 84k on march 11	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x7bf08d…
03-09 05:28:13	ethereum above 1600 on march 9	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0xc12d21…
03-07 12:09:45	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 7th	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x06772a…
03-06 03:55:09	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xb36199…
03-04 01:39:57	bitcoin above 56k on march 5	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xe6b12a…
03-02 14:20:17	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x87f251…
03-02 02:17:01	will bitcoin dip to 60k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xaa058e…
03-01 01:34:13	nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	Sabres	SELL	114	98¢	$112	0x5f6012…
03-01 00:43:51	nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	Sabres	BUY	114	91¢	$103	0x577a70…
02-28 23:47:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	109	94¢	$103	0xb2ff0b…
02-28 22:35:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	109	97¢	$106	0x29c35b…
02-28 03:29:17	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xacee61…
02-27 23:31:57	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x513d5f…
02-27 10:38:03	Fabric FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x80c4b3…
02-27 04:13:48	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc123d3…
02-26 10:34:02	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0x14561d…
02-26 04:35:54	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0xedc1b7…
02-25 12:29:16	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xa4781e…