Supportive-Mink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$6.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-10 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 43% $-19

Politics

25% — —

Other

6% 50% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+39	$25	66¢	$26	+$1	06-10 19:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$429	433	306	+127	open	—	05-04 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$344	337	227	+109	open	—	05-04 14:44
btc updown 5m 1776615000	2	$277	333	317	+17	open	—	04-19 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$273	200	200	+0	open	—	05-04 08:56
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 5, 2026?	2	$273	146	146	+0	open	—	04-05 15:17
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	2	$242	128	128	+0	open	—	04-03 14:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	2	$240	208	208	+0	open	—	05-06 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	4	$227	128	128	+0	open	—	05-03 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$218	167	167	+0	Up	$-2	05-06 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$211	128	128	+0	open	—	05-04 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$208	112	112	+0	open	—	04-29 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$206	208	137	+71	open	—	05-04 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$202	152	152	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 09:47
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$174	163	163	+0	open	—	04-08 14:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	3	$170	649	649	+0	open	—	05-25 10:07
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 7, 2026?	1	$140	159	0	+159	open	—	04-05 15:24
btc updown 5m 1776758700	3	$128	94	59	+35	open	—	04-21 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$125	147	19	+128	open	—	05-03 14:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$124	336	336	+0	open	—	05-12 06:13
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$113	185	185	+0	open	—	03-08 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$110	148	0	+148	open	—	04-26 20:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$100	213	0	+213	open	—	03-09 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-05 09:45
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$100	130	0	+130	Yes	+$30	05-06 07:34
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	03-30 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	04-28 09:08
btc updown 5m 1775821800	4	$93	94	90	+4	open	—	04-10 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$80	103	0	+103	open	—	04-26 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$76	73	50	+22	open	—	05-26 09:07
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$71	55	55	+0	open	—	03-21 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 19:00:07	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0x9a0a7d…
06-10 18:59:18	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0xaef28b…
06-07 20:17:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xe27feb…
05-26 09:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0x5bcd6b…
05-26 09:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x01526d…
05-26 09:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0xc137a3…
05-26 09:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1b29a3…
05-26 09:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xfe96d7…
05-26 09:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	31	83¢	$26	0xa8d151…
05-26 09:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x356cab…
05-26 09:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x73c833…
05-26 09:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3cb6f3…
05-26 09:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	15	85¢	$12	0xb45197…
05-26 09:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xc5e5eb…
05-26 09:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	68¢	$13	0xee3c70…
05-26 09:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x8cb1c6…
05-25 15:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xc59f37…
05-25 15:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe5a511…
05-25 15:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe6bdff…
05-25 10:07:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0x226a7b…
05-25 10:07:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	SELL	649	3¢	$20	0xcc7ba1…
05-22 18:16:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	524	19¢	$100	0x6b9f10…
05-20 14:56:42	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa93310…
05-20 11:28:53	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	No	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x8d31e0…
05-12 06:13:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	336	7¢	$24	0xa9e747…
05-10 18:56:01	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xf53d76…
05-07 21:32:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	336	30¢	$100	0x8e68af…
05-06 14:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	147	65¢	$95	0x9c6ed2…
05-06 14:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xf3c5e8…
05-06 14:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	20	62¢	$13	0x697a5e…
05-06 14:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x73d0c4…
05-06 14:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	77¢	$10	0xefb59c…
05-06 14:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x2621be…
05-06 14:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x0b80a2…
05-06 14:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x4f6f3a…
05-06 14:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x2993ab…
05-06 07:34:40	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x4773ed…
05-06 07:33:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	208	43¢	$90	0x37e9d9…
05-05 16:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1a8f43…
05-05 09:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	152	67¢	$102	0x6de332…
05-05 09:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x8fb03e…
05-05 09:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x88cfb5…
05-04 22:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x38ca8e…
05-04 18:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	128	87¢	$111	0x64f17d…
05-04 18:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x49e0fa…
05-04 18:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	153	62¢	$94	0x8e82e7…
05-04 18:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	153	66¢	$100	0x61ae32…
05-04 18:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x5375b2…
05-04 18:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	154	23¢	$35	0x5bc522…
05-04 18:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x80f05c…
05-04 17:01:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0x835e3f…
05-04 14:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x96ffe5…
05-04 14:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x50776d…
05-04 14:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	227	64¢	$144	0xbe740d…
05-04 14:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0xa7e790…
05-04 14:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xa0c3cf…
05-04 14:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xd52248…
05-04 14:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	137	74¢	$101	0xbdf39c…
05-04 14:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xcccf67…
05-04 09:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x76ad03…
05-04 08:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x86beb9…
05-04 08:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	200	87¢	$173	0x2b00d5…
05-04 08:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc68659…
05-04 08:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xe28a50…
05-04 08:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0xf6c92d…
05-04 08:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xddda0f…
05-04 08:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa4964b…
05-04 08:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x917027…
05-04 08:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x311ae4…
05-04 08:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xa9c865…
05-04 08:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x42cbc7…
05-04 08:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x9f616f…
05-04 08:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0xc35675…
05-04 08:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xfbfaef…
05-03 19:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x071342…
05-03 19:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x77c08c…
05-03 19:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0x9221ae…
05-03 19:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4ec79c…
05-03 19:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x531f13…
05-03 17:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x473b94…
05-03 17:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x91cfaf…
05-03 17:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x1cc0ab…
05-03 17:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x3eedd2…
05-03 17:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	114	92¢	$105	0x2e3ab2…
05-03 17:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x737b98…
05-03 17:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x90836e…
05-03 17:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1b7495…
05-03 17:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	71	3¢	$2	0x6ea261…
05-03 17:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x430466…
05-03 16:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xcc0fb1…
05-03 16:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0xe23b2b…
05-03 16:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x17a9d8…
05-03 16:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x765b79…
05-03 16:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x379553…
05-03 14:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x2d1ade…
05-03 14:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x105293…
05-03 14:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xaa6573…
05-03 14:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0x64d8b3…
05-03 14:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x649583…
05-03 13:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x98f78d…