Threadbare-Tin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$139

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 04-28 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 0% $-1

Crypto

15% — —

Sports

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	8	$1.3K	629	629	+0	open	—	04-07 06:26
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$666	333	333	+0	open	—	04-26 19:34
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$458	229	229	+0	No	$-0	03-18 07:53
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$450	225	225	+0	open	—	03-24 16:11
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$448	224	224	+0	open	—	03-22 05:47
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$438	220	220	+0	open	—	04-03 04:30
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$426	214	214	+0	open	—	04-08 20:28
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$422	211	211	+0	open	—	04-08 10:09
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$406	203	203	+0	No	$-0	03-22 22:00
will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$404	203	203	+0	open	—	03-26 12:13
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	03-27 15:19
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$390	196	196	+0	open	—	04-08 02:34
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$380	190	190	+0	open	—	04-18 18:56
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$360	181	181	+0	open	—	04-02 14:03
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$356	178	178	+0	open	—	03-01 22:50
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$354	178	178	+0	No	$-0	03-26 17:45
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$345	173	173	+0	open	—	03-22 11:17
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$330	165	165	+0	open	—	03-02 22:35
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$324	162	162	+0	No	$-0	03-25 08:18
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$320	160	160	+0	open	—	03-27 04:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$308	154	154	+0	open	—	04-11 23:58
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$284	142	142	+0	No	$-0	03-29 06:00
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 9 15	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	03-14 16:35
nba uta phi 2026 03 04	1	$37	48	0	+48	open	—	03-04 21:35
nba por mem 2026 03 04	1	$34	42	0	+42	open	—	03-04 21:36
nba was lal 2026 03 30	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	03-30 23:36
nba was uta 2026 03 25	1	$27	45	0	+45	open	—	03-25 23:50
nba sac cha 2026 03 24	1	$27	29	0	+29	open	—	03-24 20:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-28 21:18
nba bkn por 2026 03 23	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	03-23 17:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 21:18:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcce337…
04-26 19:34:16	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0x1ad100…
04-26 12:58:08	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0xfcae97…
04-19 02:05:54	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0x4eb9c0…
04-18 22:25:20	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x722052…
04-18 18:56:22	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x1babe8…
04-18 12:13:44	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x50ccc5…
04-11 23:58:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xeefd01…
04-10 16:54:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0x8b86ef…
04-08 20:28:23	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$213	0x1fbe1a…
04-08 16:33:49	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0x97b8c0…
04-08 10:09:57	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x3e0c7b…
04-08 06:02:23	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0xdfdd47…
04-08 02:34:13	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	196	100¢	$195	0xff5078…
04-08 00:18:43	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	196	100¢	$195	0x78da72…
04-07 06:26:15	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0x43f867…
04-06 22:14:57	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x0f9766…
04-06 03:22:17	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0xd2bfd2…
04-05 20:02:39	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x8d08dc…
04-03 04:30:49	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	220	99¢	$219	0x49d1ce…
04-02 22:08:35	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0xa3faf7…
04-02 14:03:59	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	99¢	$180	0xa00957…
04-02 10:41:03	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0x029aaf…
03-31 21:11:19	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Rockets	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x062d1a…
03-31 15:36:07	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	148	99¢	$147	0x39573d…
03-31 11:19:25	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0x4e540c…
03-30 23:36:29	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Lakers	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xbace23…
03-29 09:58:48	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	148	100¢	$148	0xd42539…
03-29 06:00:54	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$148	0x5dd1e3…
03-29 06:00:36	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	142	100¢	$142	0x5df7d0…
03-29 01:17:30	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	142	100¢	$142	0x9d6150…
03-27 18:39:59	nba uta den 2026 03 27	Jazz	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xeea89f…
03-27 18:39:31	nba bkn lal 2026 03 27	Nets	BUY	49	9¢	$4	0xa49039…
03-27 18:38:59	nba atl bos 2026 03 27	Hawks	BUY	28	34¢	$9	0xafec85…
03-27 15:19:53	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$200	0x3b4a4d…
03-27 09:57:45	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x267751…
03-27 04:32:03	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xba6465…
03-26 23:08:37	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x9e2f3a…
03-26 17:45:09	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0x46eab5…
03-26 12:13:21	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	178	100¢	$177	0xf81988…
03-26 12:13:03	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0x545da3…
03-26 06:34:13	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x14c559…
03-25 23:50:31	nba was uta 2026 03 25	Jazz	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0xd80f41…
03-25 08:18:11	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x5b6ff0…
03-25 02:50:05	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	162	100¢	$162	0xc110cc…
03-24 20:18:33	nba orl cle 2026 03 24	Magic	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x10c2cc…
03-24 20:18:05	nba sac cha 2026 03 24	Hornets	BUY	29	93¢	$27	0xdea21c…
03-24 20:17:33	nba nop nyk 2026 03 24	Pelicans	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x33f1a1…
03-24 16:11:53	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0xd745e5…
03-24 10:35:15	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x032bed…
03-23 17:54:19	nba lal det 2026 03 23	Pistons	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x7b00bc…
03-23 17:53:49	nba bkn por 2026 03 23	Trail Blazers	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x603b79…
03-22 22:00:07	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$203	0x2b1ee5…
03-22 16:39:15	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$203	0x6833ab…
03-22 11:17:39	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	173	100¢	$172	0x9d0264…
03-22 11:09:21	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	173	100¢	$172	0x1d9b2d…
03-22 05:47:43	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x53bde1…
03-22 00:10:27	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x08815a…
03-18 07:53:31	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	229	100¢	$229	0xc5c00d…
03-17 12:36:51	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x484c7a…
03-14 16:35:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 9 15	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe80164…
03-04 21:36:17	nba por mem 2026 03 04	Trail Blazers	BUY	42	80¢	$34	0x5857ed…
03-04 21:35:51	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	48	77¢	$37	0xa144ce…
03-04 21:35:19	nba ind lac 2026 03 04	Pacers	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x2367f0…
03-02 22:35:57	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0x5ae8c3…
03-01 22:50:21	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xa193a9…
03-01 22:50:05	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	178	100¢	$178	0x69b5dd…
02-28 02:10:15	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	178	100¢	$178	0x818da7…
02-25 21:15:32	nba bos den 2026 02 25	Celtics	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x795815…
02-25 21:15:04	nba cle mil 2026 02 25	Bucks	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0x8a2767…
02-25 21:14:36	nba sac hou 2026 02 25	Kings	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xdca528…