Magnificent-Impala — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-08 03:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 100% +$0

Other

29% — —

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	06-08 03:38
bitcoin above 78k on june 6 2026	1	$93	93	+93	open	—	06-04 09:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	1	$93	93	+93	No	+$0	05-12 08:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-08 09:39
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-10 10:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	05-06 08:49
elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 215 239	1	$92	92	+92	open	—	04-05 11:21
bitcoin above 64k on april 1	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	04-01 07:34
bitcoin above 84k on january 9	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	01-09 02:19
bitcoin above 84k on february 4	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	02-04 03:36
bitcoin above 60k on march 27	1	$90	91	+91	open	—	03-26 11:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	02-26 09:04
bitcoin above 80k on march 18	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	03-18 06:58
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	03-21 10:40
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 520 539	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	04-14 11:03
bitcoin above 86k on january 13	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	01-13 07:26
ethereum above 3100 on january 18	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	01-18 06:58
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	03-14 03:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	04-28 06:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	1	$89	89	+89	open	—	04-24 11:01
bitcoin above 78k on march 9	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	03-08 06:46
bitcoin above 98k on january 23	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	01-22 03:24
bitcoin above 90k on january 30	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	01-30 10:47
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 440 459	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	03-03 08:52
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	1	$87	87	+87	open	—	04-20 08:38
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 540 559	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	02-10 07:12
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 580 599	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	01-26 01:52
will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 28m and 31m	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	03-08 06:45
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-20 08:37
will grok 4pt20 be released on january 25 2026	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	01-26 01:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 03:38:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0xc422cc…
06-04 09:09:00	bitcoin above 78k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x17f92d…
05-12 08:46:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x60b37b…
05-08 09:39:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xfdbcb7…
05-06 08:49:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x59cc08…
04-28 06:55:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x2c308b…
04-24 11:01:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x4d506e…
04-24 11:01:34	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d1c03…
04-24 11:01:24	Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x70f277…
04-20 08:38:26	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 320 339	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x57615a…
04-20 08:38:10	will turbotax file your tax return be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 21	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb1bf2a…
04-20 08:37:52	Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x242088…
04-20 08:37:24	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbb44db…
04-20 08:37:08	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9891ba…
04-14 11:03:29	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 520 539	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x562575…
04-14 11:03:17	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on april 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4fac92…
04-14 11:02:53	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29bf17…
04-10 10:42:21	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x371702…
04-05 11:21:03	elon musk of tweets april 6 april 8 215 239	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x956917…
04-01 07:34:27	bitcoin above 64k on april 1	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x52b510…
03-26 11:04:55	bitcoin above 60k on march 27	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$90	0x3d294a…
03-21 10:40:05	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 80000 on march 22	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x14df27…
03-18 06:58:17	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xf9fe51…
03-14 03:30:09	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x4ff55a…
03-08 06:46:05	bitcoin above 78k on march 9	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x7dc78f…
03-08 06:45:49	will hoppers opening weekend box office be between 28m and 31m	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x02b88a…
03-08 06:45:37	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91e184…
03-03 08:52:51	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 440 459	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xb64287…
02-26 09:04:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x6fbd0c…
02-10 07:12:55	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 540 559	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x5ab66f…
02-10 07:12:45	ethereum above 2400 on february 10	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc04bf3…
02-10 07:12:21	will alibaba have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc03b9e…
02-10 07:09:55	elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 240plus	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0b170d…
02-10 07:09:29	bitcoin up or down on february 10	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x622559…
02-04 03:36:24	bitcoin above 84k on february 4	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xc2e2d6…
01-30 10:47:16	bitcoin above 90k on january 30	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x0af437…
01-30 10:47:08	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0x49139d…
01-26 01:52:42	will grok 4pt20 be released on january 25 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x10d45b…
01-26 01:52:24	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 580 599	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x5f8330…
01-26 01:52:12	ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x30f857…
01-22 03:24:32	bitcoin above 98k on january 23	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xf55f8b…
01-22 03:24:20	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x78dfce…
01-22 03:24:12	will the us next strike iran on january 20 2026 et 992	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x36d1d1…
01-18 06:58:14	ethereum above 3100 on january 18	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x503c2c…
01-18 06:57:42	will the us next strike iran on january 17 2026 et 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa79f47…
01-13 07:26:47	bitcoin above 86k on january 13	Yes	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x4c11af…
01-13 07:26:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on january 13	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ab9ca…
01-13 07:26:25	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ee8fb…
01-09 02:19:28	bitcoin above 84k on january 9	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xecaa0e…