Infantile-Moat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$2.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% $-40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$267	173	145	+28	Down	$-13	05-11 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$265	154	134	+20	Up	+$6	05-11 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$120	142	35	+106	Down	$-13	05-11 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$112	70	70	+0	Up	+$13	05-12 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$110	74	74	+0	Down	+$10	05-12 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$109	64	64	+0	Up	+$9	05-13 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$107	106	52	+54	Down	+$11	05-12 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	Down	+$11	05-11 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$89	135	49	+85	Down	$-55	05-13 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	7	$76	59	46	+13	Up	+$9	05-11 20:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$75	80	0	+80	Down	+$5	05-12 05:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	6	$66	47	47	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$64	40	40	+0	Up	+$14	05-13 09:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$59	35	35	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$56	51	51	+0	Up	+$6	05-12 18:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$50	56	43	+13	Down	+$3	05-11 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$50	54	0	+54	Up	+$4	05-11 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$50	70	0	+70	Down	+$20	05-12 17:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$50	70	0	+70	Up	$-50	05-12 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$50	54	0	+54	Down	+$4	05-12 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$50	65	0	+65	Down	$-21	05-12 18:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$50	53	0	+53	Down	+$3	05-12 05:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$46	57	35	+22	Down	$-14	05-11 19:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$41	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 18:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$37	33	33	+0	Up	$-3	05-11 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$31	25	14	+11	Down	+$2	05-11 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$31	49	49	+0	Up	$-19	05-12 18:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$31	30	14	+16	Down	$-9	05-11 15:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$30	33	20	+13	Down	+$2	05-11 20:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$25	47	0	+47	Up	+$22	05-13 09:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 17:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x97666b…
05-14 17:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x072420…
05-13 11:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x192b96…
05-13 11:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x572a5f…
05-13 10:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x72d3af…
05-13 09:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xb87c0d…
05-13 09:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0x8f2934…
05-13 09:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x2a62fc…
05-13 09:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	49	35¢	$17	0x9422e5…
05-13 09:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x17e6ba…
05-13 09:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0xa4c866…
05-13 09:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x788fa8…
05-13 09:19:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x8ea5ab…
05-13 09:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x2d63e4…
05-13 08:49:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x5ec41c…
05-13 08:49:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x57be5b…
05-13 07:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x5d4a5a…
05-13 07:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x60e183…
05-13 07:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0xb195a7…
05-13 07:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x8c400c…
05-13 06:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x239142…
05-13 06:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x1a55c2…
05-12 18:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x4bf6e3…
05-12 18:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	51	60¢	$31	0x54562f…
05-12 18:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0xe57f7d…
05-12 18:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x28d32a…
05-12 18:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x4c4bf5…
05-12 18:14:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x1ab808…
05-12 18:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe40cde…
05-12 18:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	49	12¢	$6	0xfa3a14…
05-12 18:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc49859…
05-12 18:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xfd9a5e…
05-12 18:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x0cd453…
05-12 18:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	52	61¢	$32	0x982ebc…
05-12 18:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x09bc86…
05-12 17:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xb85ed6…
05-12 17:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x8ea570…
05-12 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	32	98¢	$32	0x84fbdb…
05-12 17:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xd7341d…
05-12 17:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0x093b77…
05-12 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	65¢	$24	0x431d3d…
05-12 11:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	95¢	$27	0x0f8711…
05-12 11:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x33c6cc…
05-12 11:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	45	72¢	$33	0x25fd71…
05-12 11:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x984b31…
05-12 11:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x46536f…
05-12 11:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x58cfc7…
05-12 05:53:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x635314…
05-12 05:53:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x3aa1ea…
05-12 05:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xc32221…
05-12 05:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x7dbc1c…
05-12 05:34:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x562c42…
05-11 21:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd24233…
05-11 21:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6eb236…
05-11 20:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x32e5e3…
05-11 20:54:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x928426…
05-11 20:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x020051…
05-11 20:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x9cd4e8…
05-11 20:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x454adc…
05-11 20:47:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x7a1417…
05-11 20:46:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd8745f…
05-11 20:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x5b0003…
05-11 20:45:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x32b793…
05-11 20:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x68a566…
05-11 20:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1edbf3…
05-11 20:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0xb0a93b…
05-11 20:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4106db…
05-11 20:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xddf1d8…
05-11 20:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	69¢	$11	0x81b444…
05-11 20:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf8e972…
05-11 20:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x06c50f…
05-11 20:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x88d628…
05-11 20:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	18	85¢	$15	0x7a4799…
05-11 20:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe2c48f…
05-11 20:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe40317…
05-11 19:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd85652…
05-11 19:13:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x15682f…
05-11 19:11:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8750be…
05-11 19:11:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0xd7fb71…
05-11 19:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x08e6cb…
05-11 18:23:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	23	93¢	$21	0x039096…
05-11 18:22:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x591ae9…
05-11 17:59:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf7540a…
05-11 17:53:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x5bc80a…
05-11 17:52:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x56c35c…
05-11 17:49:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xb460b1…
05-11 17:47:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x23173f…
05-11 17:47:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x455241…
05-11 17:46:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x578f00…
05-11 17:45:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	25	48¢	$12	0xe03dc4…
05-11 17:44:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xda3342…
05-11 17:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xb71f74…
05-11 17:41:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x19c833…
05-11 17:41:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x684013…
05-11 17:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x94b6e7…
05-11 17:41:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	23	63¢	$14	0x9a422d…
05-11 17:39:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xcd0dc6…
05-11 17:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x753e7a…
05-11 17:29:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x5943c2…
05-11 17:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe4e1ee…