Nautical-Icon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved

Trades

355

lifetime

Volume

$1.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 06-01 17:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Crypto

32% 51% +$11

Politics

8% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	3	$566	287	287	+0	open	—	04-12 19:22
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	3	$247	149	149	+0	open	—	03-29 19:14
will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	3	$227	122	122	+0	open	—	03-27 01:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	2	$101	116	0	+116	open	—	03-25 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	8	$101	141	7	+134	Up	+$10	05-11 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	5	$30	26	13	+13	Up	+$3	05-11 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	4	$25	19	19	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 09:10
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$21	26	0	+26	open	—	03-05 04:43
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$20	30	0	+30	open	—	01-30 04:38
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	02-14 04:55
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$10	50	0	+50	open	—	03-05 04:44
Will Sherrod Brown be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Ohio?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	01-16 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-11 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-11 08:54
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	03-25 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-26 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-29 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-26 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-29 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-23 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-27 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-25 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-28 06:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-29 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-27 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	06-01 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-29 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-26 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-27 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-26 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 17:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x244c15…
06-01 17:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xde89e9…
06-01 16:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x92bd53…
06-01 16:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x830d20…
06-01 16:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7ba621…
06-01 16:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x32cbc0…
06-01 16:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xe7257a…
06-01 15:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe254f0…
06-01 15:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xccf7f8…
06-01 14:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x533cc3…
06-01 14:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5806e4…
06-01 13:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa3ab3e…
06-01 13:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xae6576…
06-01 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc57b38…
06-01 12:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x384302…
06-01 12:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x0f3bd0…
06-01 12:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x592eaa…
06-01 11:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x3872c9…
06-01 09:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0c5c1a…
06-01 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xd43785…
06-01 08:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3b8ce9…
06-01 07:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbba4e8…
06-01 07:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5daf87…
06-01 06:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1fa022…
06-01 04:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x233ea7…
06-01 04:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfb7f3c…
06-01 03:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x03a54d…
06-01 03:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4c3e2c…
06-01 03:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xde30a3…
06-01 02:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd6f0a9…
06-01 02:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xa3f385…
06-01 01:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeae9fb…
06-01 01:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8bc4bd…
06-01 01:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x883915…
06-01 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x43f715…
06-01 00:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x512777…
06-01 00:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x2ab70b…
05-31 22:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb5c6ec…
05-31 22:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x98680a…
05-31 18:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x36d5c1…
05-31 14:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7196d5…
05-31 12:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf09b59…
05-31 02:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x958632…
05-31 01:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x0fd57e…
05-30 23:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x52e26e…
05-30 23:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x8b5fc3…
05-30 18:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0a18fa…
05-30 17:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x633b84…
05-30 15:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x234d4d…
05-30 05:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xacadc2…
05-30 04:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x9fb390…
05-30 02:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x6a932f…
05-30 00:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x121118…
05-29 22:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xffe58b…
05-29 21:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeca7a7…
05-29 20:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x541f3b…
05-29 19:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x087e90…
05-29 19:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbe2c03…
05-29 19:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x29b7e8…
05-29 19:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x17fc7c…
05-29 17:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7cb5eb…
05-29 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x39c4a5…
05-29 17:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb2ebb3…
05-29 16:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x64f760…
05-29 15:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x5837d6…
05-29 15:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x52b8d4…
05-29 15:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xd5e0e7…
05-29 15:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x2dfd23…
05-29 15:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xcea36a…
05-29 15:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x61c284…
05-29 14:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb871ad…
05-29 14:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xbefda5…
05-29 14:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x042ec5…
05-29 14:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9bd5c7…
05-29 14:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3fea40…
05-29 14:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x88ce66…
05-29 13:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf48389…
05-29 13:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc4d416…
05-29 10:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xf11bca…
05-29 09:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbeacad…
05-29 08:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x901103…
05-29 08:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xbdf0e6…
05-29 07:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xed87f8…
05-29 07:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xa83084…
05-29 05:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x757b86…
05-29 03:26:21	Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO5) - ESL Challenger League North America Finals Playoffs	M80	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9f4db1…
05-29 03:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x06771b…
05-29 03:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x910fe2…
05-29 02:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb4bd0f…
05-29 01:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x49d7e9…
05-29 01:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x32154f…
05-29 00:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xd000c5…
05-28 23:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf8fa86…
05-28 23:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4fc251…
05-28 23:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xe6344d…
05-28 21:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xade535…
05-28 21:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xea2a77…
05-28 20:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x7fad0b…
05-28 20:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x03df0c…
05-28 20:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x36bcb1…