Insidious-Fright — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

158

lifetime

Volume

$850

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-14 06:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 62% +$4

Politics

48% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$406	306	306	+0	open	—	02-28 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	4	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	05-30 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	06-02 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	06-02 09:30
btc updown 15m 1781413200	3	$18	24	0	+24	open	—	06-14 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$18	17	15	+2	open	—	05-27 18:53
btc updown 15m 1780866900	2	$14	26	0	+26	open	—	06-07 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$12	20	0	+20	Down	+$8	05-13 18:30
btc updown 15m 1780694100	3	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	06-05 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-18 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$9	14	4	+10	Up	$-5	05-13 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	1	$9	16	0	+16	open	—	06-01 16:00
btc updown 15m 1781268300	3	$9	7	5	+2	open	—	06-12 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	06-02 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	06-02 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$8	5	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	05-30 05:45
btc updown 15m 1780866000	2	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	06-07 21:00
btc updown 15m 1780861500	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-07 19:45
btc updown 15m 1780693200	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	06-05 21:00
btc updown 15m 1781384400	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	06-13 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-03 08:06
btc updown 15m 1772565300	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	03-03 19:20
btc updown 15m 1772554500	2	$3	4	4	+0	open	—	03-03 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-17 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-02 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-18 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-17 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 06:13:52	btc updown 15m 1781417700	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xac14cf…
06-14 05:40:55	btc updown 15m 1781415900	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc904a5…
06-14 05:16:10	btc updown 15m 1781414100	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3d7f24…
06-14 05:14:49	btc updown 15m 1781413200	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x210596…
06-14 05:14:09	btc updown 15m 1781413200	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x6e506d…
06-14 05:13:21	btc updown 15m 1781413200	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd28059…
06-13 21:14:12	btc updown 15m 1781384400	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xef08b3…
06-13 15:44:00	btc updown 15m 1781364600	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1ce426…
06-13 15:29:13	btc updown 15m 1781363700	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xaa61c8…
06-12 12:53:36	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7ee908…
06-12 12:50:34	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x77df26…
06-12 12:45:09	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa2b4c8…
06-12 09:45:48	btc updown 15m 1781257500	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x6dfa83…
06-12 09:45:48	btc updown 15m 1781257500	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x519c71…
06-12 08:46:15	btc updown 15m 1781253900	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1a6244…
06-10 07:44:21	btc updown 15m 1781077500	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdfb304…
06-09 17:30:33	btc updown 15m 1781026200	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x94f4e7…
06-09 14:46:55	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x271b62…
06-07 21:46:43	btc updown 15m 1780868700	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x434c51…
06-07 21:15:40	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xac38d8…
06-07 21:15:13	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x1b61c1…
06-07 21:00:30	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf545d3…
06-07 21:00:10	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x84368b…
06-07 20:50:36	btc updown 15m 1780865100	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3b7d9b…
06-07 20:46:55	btc updown 15m 1780865100	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x85dc41…
06-07 19:45:09	btc updown 15m 1780861500	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4e4325…
06-07 19:30:45	btc updown 15m 1780860600	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x992479…
06-06 10:45:09	btc updown 15m 1780742700	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6b010a…
06-05 21:18:13	btc updown 15m 1780694100	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4d7f5e…
06-05 21:18:13	btc updown 15m 1780694100	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x3ecdff…
06-05 21:18:09	btc updown 15m 1780694100	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x84bb49…
06-05 21:00:19	btc updown 15m 1780693200	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xcb4942…
06-05 20:47:58	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8322ed…
06-03 09:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x74dbcf…
06-03 08:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x5a9b5d…
06-03 08:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x40c63d…
06-02 13:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc469e1…
06-02 12:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xb920df…
06-02 12:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xb0657e…
06-02 12:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x25293e…
06-02 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0dd260…
06-02 12:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x2b52ac…
06-02 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbe7871…
06-02 12:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x82bf9d…
06-02 09:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3e07fd…
06-02 09:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x8e4456…
06-02 09:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x66d8e9…
06-02 09:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5b91ad…
06-02 09:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x9a3613…
06-02 09:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x3ffb77…
06-02 09:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa1d63b…
06-02 08:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x38168a…
06-02 07:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb73e13…
06-01 16:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x774fe5…
06-01 15:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x847b2f…
06-01 14:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x4a9ccc…
06-01 10:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x71e122…
06-01 10:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbf8091…
06-01 09:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x560418…
06-01 08:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x41ac7f…
06-01 06:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xee77ab…
05-31 06:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x390370…
05-30 13:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x7cda14…
05-30 13:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x771edd…
05-30 11:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x80e948…
05-30 11:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x153547…
05-30 10:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x487a5c…
05-30 06:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x7605cd…
05-30 06:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x7a3b64…
05-30 06:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x20db2f…
05-30 06:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x5a4676…
05-30 05:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x204d06…
05-29 10:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xb4c20a…
05-29 05:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd083a2…
05-27 22:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xba3673…
05-27 18:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0x20c46a…
05-27 18:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x3da013…
05-27 18:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2833f1…
05-27 18:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x44901f…
05-27 13:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9aaad1…
05-27 13:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x359723…
05-26 08:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0791ab…
05-24 08:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x09f285…
05-24 08:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xef4756…
05-23 18:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe7f9a7…
05-23 15:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6b7aa9…
05-22 15:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xecb869…
05-22 06:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x73c67f…
05-22 06:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdbf47e…
05-21 20:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$5	0x7bc720…
05-21 20:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdc5616…
05-21 11:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc83a53…
05-21 10:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd11e05…
05-20 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x71d7d8…
05-20 12:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xee129f…
05-19 13:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0f4e24…
05-18 15:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7da6f2…
05-18 15:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x97ec08…
05-18 15:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x4cd800…
05-18 15:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x088365…