Insidious-Fright — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

211

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-21 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 62% +$4

Politics

40% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	2	$406	306	306	+0	open	—	02-28 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	4	$59	39	39	+0	open	—	05-30 06:10
btc updown 15m 1781610300	4	$32	51	10	+41	open	—	06-16 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$21	39	0	+39	open	—	06-02 12:45
btc updown 15m 1782045900	3	$21	19	17	+2	open	—	06-21 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	4	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	06-02 09:30
btc updown 15m 1781413200	3	$18	24	0	+24	open	—	06-14 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$18	17	15	+2	open	—	05-27 18:53
btc updown 15m 1782040500	2	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	06-21 11:13
btc updown 15m 1780866900	2	$14	26	0	+26	open	—	06-07 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	1	$12	20	0	+20	Down	+$8	05-13 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-18 15:06
btc updown 15m 1780694100	3	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	06-05 21:18
btc updown 15m 1782039600	4	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	06-21 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$9	14	4	+10	Up	$-5	05-13 18:15
btc updown 15m 1782045000	4	$9	14	0	+14	open	—	06-21 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	1	$9	16	0	+16	open	—	06-01 16:00
btc updown 15m 1781268300	3	$9	7	5	+2	open	—	06-12 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	06-02 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	06-02 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$8	5	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$7	12	0	+12	open	—	05-30 05:45
btc updown 15m 1780866000	2	$7	13	0	+13	open	—	06-07 21:00
btc updown 15m 1781946000	4	$7	11	0	+11	open	—	06-20 09:00
btc updown 15m 1781775000	1	$6	12	0	+12	open	—	06-18 09:30
btc updown 15m 1780861500	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-07 19:45
btc updown 15m 1780693200	1	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	06-05 21:00
btc updown 15m 1781384400	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	06-13 21:14
btc updown 15m 1781790300	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-18 13:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 12:56:59	btc updown 15m 1782046800	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa954aa…
06-21 12:50:29	btc updown 15m 1782045900	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd85d57…
06-21 12:42:16	btc updown 15m 1782045000	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x099bcd…
06-21 12:41:22	btc updown 15m 1782045900	Up	SELL	17	57¢	$10	0x564503…
06-21 12:40:35	btc updown 15m 1782045900	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x3ec5ac…
06-21 12:28:35	btc updown 15m 1782045000	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xea8663…
06-21 12:27:56	btc updown 15m 1782045000	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5c2aa4…
06-21 12:27:47	btc updown 15m 1782045000	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x451b91…
06-21 12:15:29	btc updown 15m 1782044100	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x98858f…
06-21 12:12:53	btc updown 15m 1782044100	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x055017…
06-21 11:13:56	btc updown 15m 1782040500	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa93e7f…
06-21 11:13:32	btc updown 15m 1782040500	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x6dcf82…
06-21 11:02:14	btc updown 15m 1782039600	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x80e20b…
06-21 11:01:32	btc updown 15m 1782039600	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9b57aa…
06-21 11:01:23	btc updown 15m 1782039600	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x159be7…
06-21 11:01:19	btc updown 15m 1782039600	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x798f9c…
06-20 09:00:32	btc updown 15m 1781946000	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xcdd4f1…
06-20 09:00:25	btc updown 15m 1781946000	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbb9323…
06-20 09:00:17	btc updown 15m 1781946000	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5f669f…
06-20 09:00:08	btc updown 15m 1781946000	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe5faff…
06-20 08:50:52	btc updown 15m 1781945100	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9a7a8d…
06-20 08:48:13	btc updown 15m 1781945100	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0a8f56…
06-20 08:47:52	btc updown 15m 1781945100	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x687ca6…
06-19 09:30:08	btc updown 15m 1781861400	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4d25bf…
06-19 09:21:49	btc updown 15m 1781860500	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6cffc4…
06-19 09:20:35	btc updown 15m 1781860500	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5ae7c1…
06-18 20:46:32	eth updown 15m 1781815500	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x69ad95…
06-18 20:34:43	eth updown 15m 1781814600	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x642e85…
06-18 16:00:46	btc updown 15m 1781798400	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x631e1e…
06-18 16:00:28	btc updown 15m 1781798400	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x277079…
06-18 15:51:01	btc updown 15m 1781797500	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbbd4f7…
06-18 13:42:25	btc updown 15m 1781790300	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x888838…
06-18 13:40:22	btc updown 15m 1781790300	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x99ce9e…
06-18 10:30:08	btc updown 15m 1781778600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7fa9af…
06-18 09:30:10	btc updown 15m 1781775000	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x2aac3e…
06-18 09:15:10	btc updown 15m 1781774100	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xc595fb…
06-17 16:19:07	eth updown 15m 1781712900	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x0892f9…
06-16 19:17:49	btc updown 15m 1781637300	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x758363…
06-16 13:57:05	btc updown 15m 1781617500	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdd06ab…
06-16 13:33:13	btc updown 15m 1781616600	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x71f8cb…
06-16 11:57:13	btc updown 15m 1781610300	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xde245a…
06-16 11:57:13	btc updown 15m 1781610300	Up	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x3dfa1f…
06-16 11:48:24	btc updown 15m 1781610300	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x246842…
06-16 11:45:10	btc updown 15m 1781610300	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xa0191a…
06-16 11:29:22	btc updown 15m 1781609400	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x399277…
06-16 11:16:55	btc updown 15m 1781608500	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xafdc10…
06-16 10:54:19	btc updown 15m 1781606700	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x7f9910…
06-16 07:51:24	btc updown 15m 1781595900	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc1850f…
06-15 14:17:13	btc updown 15m 1781532900	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xcf29a4…
06-15 13:29:36	btc updown 15m 1781530200	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe9d430…
06-15 13:29:27	btc updown 15m 1781530200	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8f9535…
06-15 13:13:51	btc updown 15m 1781529300	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8e0be4…
06-14 11:55:30	btc updown 15m 1781437500	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x31f67b…
06-14 06:13:52	btc updown 15m 1781417700	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xac14cf…
06-14 05:40:55	btc updown 15m 1781415900	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc904a5…
06-14 05:16:10	btc updown 15m 1781414100	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3d7f24…
06-14 05:14:49	btc updown 15m 1781413200	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x210596…
06-14 05:14:09	btc updown 15m 1781413200	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x6e506d…
06-14 05:13:21	btc updown 15m 1781413200	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xd28059…
06-13 21:14:12	btc updown 15m 1781384400	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xef08b3…
06-13 15:44:00	btc updown 15m 1781364600	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1ce426…
06-13 15:29:13	btc updown 15m 1781363700	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xaa61c8…
06-12 12:53:36	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7ee908…
06-12 12:50:34	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x77df26…
06-12 12:45:09	btc updown 15m 1781268300	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa2b4c8…
06-12 09:45:48	btc updown 15m 1781257500	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$1	0x6dfa83…
06-12 09:45:48	btc updown 15m 1781257500	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x519c71…
06-12 08:46:15	btc updown 15m 1781253900	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1a6244…
06-10 07:44:21	btc updown 15m 1781077500	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xdfb304…
06-09 17:30:33	btc updown 15m 1781026200	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x94f4e7…
06-09 14:46:55	btc updown 15m 1781016300	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x271b62…
06-07 21:46:43	btc updown 15m 1780868700	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x434c51…
06-07 21:15:40	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xac38d8…
06-07 21:15:13	btc updown 15m 1780866900	Down	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x1b61c1…
06-07 21:00:30	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf545d3…
06-07 21:00:10	btc updown 15m 1780866000	Down	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x84368b…
06-07 20:50:36	btc updown 15m 1780865100	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3b7d9b…
06-07 20:46:55	btc updown 15m 1780865100	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x85dc41…
06-07 19:45:09	btc updown 15m 1780861500	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4e4325…
06-07 19:30:45	btc updown 15m 1780860600	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x992479…
06-06 10:45:09	btc updown 15m 1780742700	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6b010a…
06-05 21:18:13	btc updown 15m 1780694100	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4d7f5e…
06-05 21:18:13	btc updown 15m 1780694100	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x3ecdff…
06-05 21:18:09	btc updown 15m 1780694100	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x84bb49…
06-05 21:00:19	btc updown 15m 1780693200	Down	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xcb4942…
06-05 20:47:58	btc updown 15m 1780692300	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8322ed…
06-03 09:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x74dbcf…
06-03 08:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x5a9b5d…
06-03 08:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x40c63d…
06-02 13:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc469e1…
06-02 12:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xb920df…
06-02 12:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xb0657e…
06-02 12:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x25293e…
06-02 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x0dd260…
06-02 12:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x2b52ac…
06-02 12:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbe7871…
06-02 12:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x82bf9d…
06-02 09:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3e07fd…
06-02 09:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x8e4456…
06-02 09:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x66d8e9…