Sophisticated-Outrun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$178

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 05-12 01:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 60% +$6

Sports

15% 0% $-10

Politics

12% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$31	21	21	+0	Up	+$11	05-06 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-07 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	05-03 10:15
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$18	79	79	+0	open	—	04-17 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	$-10	05-08 01:45
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$10	77	0	+77	Thunder	$-10	05-07 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	$-10	05-07 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	Up	+$6	05-12 01:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-28 14:45
us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	1	$3	143	0	+143	open	—	04-15 08:16
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$3	83	83	+0	open	—	04-25 01:29
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	1	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	04-25 01:34
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$2	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-15 08:30
Celtics vs. 76ers	1	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	04-25 01:36
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-15 08:18
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$2	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-15 08:30
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	286	0	+286	open	—	04-15 08:32
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-25 01:33
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$2	154	0	+154	open	—	04-15 08:30
Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-15 08:30
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$1	25	0	+25	open	—	04-15 08:31
will google be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	1	$1	41	0	+41	open	—	04-15 08:24
NBA: Co-Rookie of the Year winners?	1	$1	14	0	+14	open	—	04-15 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 01:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x515cd6…
05-08 01:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe211c8…
05-07 06:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x398d09…
05-07 06:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5da005…
05-07 06:19:21	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x498cf0…
05-07 06:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x995d23…
05-06 22:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x450653…
05-06 22:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9d5526…
05-03 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x3e57e0…
05-03 10:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb3f5c8…
04-28 14:45:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0xe3361a…
04-25 01:36:36	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xed8f7e…
04-25 01:34:10	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xb244dd…
04-25 01:33:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x703d14…
04-25 01:33:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x844dab…
04-25 01:29:46	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x4c9e9b…
04-17 14:28:38	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	79	18¢	$14	0x8620fb…
04-15 08:32:18	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x8db495…
04-15 08:31:32	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x37d737…
04-15 08:31:04	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x4aa5bf…
04-15 08:30:44	Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc3abcd…
04-15 08:30:26	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x8b8341…
04-15 08:30:20	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x514610…
04-15 08:30:08	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x9135d5…
04-15 08:24:42	will google be 2 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x05d79b…
04-15 08:23:44	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	79	5¢	$4	0xf53567…
04-15 08:22:28	NBA: Co-Rookie of the Year winners?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x77090d…
04-15 08:18:50	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xcaefa9…
04-15 08:16:42	us forces seize another oil tanker by april 15	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x5c9c5e…