Alarming-Leg 0xcaf592…9841ab
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$48
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
52.1%
Resolved
85
Trades
4,221
lifetime
Volume
$15.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$105
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-27
last 06-11 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Other
57% 42% $-38
Politics
23% 0% $-13
Sports
12% 100% +$4
Crypto
7% — —
Tech
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 212 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +69 $8 22¢ $15 +$8 06-07 00:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +43 $5 33¢ $14 +$10 06-10 20:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? Yes +23 $8 62¢ $14 +$6 06-10 20:56
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +16 $8 64¢ $10 +$2 06-11 19:13
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +21 $7 46¢ $10 +$3 06-01 14:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +44 $8 20¢ $9 +$1 06-11 19:15
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +9 $8 96¢ $8 +$1 06-08 03:13
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? Yes +47 $8 17¢ $8 +$0 06-07 01:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +7 $6 76¢ $5 $-1 05-30 14:54
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes +32 $8 16¢ $5 $-3 06-11 16:32
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +124 $7 3¢ $3 $-4 06-03 10:23
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026? Yes +7 $3 19¢ $1 $-2 06-03 11:33
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 $-0 05-31 16:46