Arid-Musician — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$209

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-29 15:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 0% $-4

Tech

3% — —

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$19	55	+55	open	—	05-02 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	04-30 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$10	16	+16	open	—	04-26 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$7	26	+26	open	—	05-04 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	04-26 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-26 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	04-26 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	05-02 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	18	+18	open	—	04-26 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	14	+14	open	—	04-27 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	05-04 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$5	12	+12	open	—	04-30 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-30 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	22	+22	open	—	05-02 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	04-26 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$5	11	+11	open	—	04-30 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	open	—	04-30 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	open	—	04-28 18:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-25 06:56
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	04-26 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	26	+26	open	—	05-02 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$3	12	+12	open	—	05-04 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$2	20	+20	open	—	05-02 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$2	25	+25	open	—	05-02 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$2	150	+150	open	—	05-01 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$2	33	+33	open	—	05-02 16:53
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	open	—	04-24 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$2	57	+57	open	—	05-04 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	30	+30	open	—	05-04 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$2	7	+7	open	—	04-27 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 15:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31ee11…
05-29 15:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1a161a…
05-19 11:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x032b30…
05-19 11:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xccf2f9…
05-19 11:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xff1dbd…
05-19 11:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x923cd6…
05-14 09:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6b5ea4…
05-11 11:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe3ce4a…
05-11 11:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xea1773…
05-11 11:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x55bcf0…
05-08 00:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd8fa42…
05-06 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xd0c5bb…
05-06 21:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1cb517…
05-04 17:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x72746f…
05-04 16:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x208fdf…
05-04 15:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x9770da…
05-04 15:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x4e4450…
05-04 13:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9cff52…
05-04 13:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x90b2f5…
05-04 13:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7d873f…
05-04 13:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe8a961…
05-04 13:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5d71dc…
05-04 13:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbe9477…
05-04 12:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xec5977…
05-04 12:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5da7b0…
05-04 12:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd2b26d…
05-04 12:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfc18b7…
05-04 12:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x5a3db8…
05-04 10:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x679986…
05-04 10:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x09059c…
05-04 09:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x279c42…
05-04 09:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x293e85…
05-04 09:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5f7bff…
05-03 14:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd5f7e4…
05-03 11:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x727d93…
05-03 11:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x191924…
05-03 11:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xca283a…
05-02 23:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x841bcd…
05-02 23:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1d74ec…
05-02 22:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x537135…
05-02 17:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	36	40¢	$14	0xce9a93…
05-02 17:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x63bed9…
05-02 17:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8f63eb…
05-02 16:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x995c55…
05-02 16:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x9f374c…
05-02 16:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x28c427…
05-02 16:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa4a5bc…
05-02 16:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf5dec3…
05-02 16:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x06959b…
05-01 13:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x80e8ba…
05-01 13:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7e873c…
05-01 13:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6599fe…
04-30 18:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf1a5db…
04-30 12:18:52	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x81d3de…
04-30 12:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0xd94b61…
04-30 12:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x793e71…
04-30 11:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x78a6b1…
04-30 11:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4e7d71…
04-30 10:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa92439…
04-30 09:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0477c2…
04-29 14:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xa50bbf…
04-29 11:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xadfc4f…
04-29 11:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x36e0ea…
04-29 10:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6d32d5…
04-29 07:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc8b125…
04-29 07:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdfcb4a…
04-29 06:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd0250a…
04-28 19:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1e0a00…
04-28 18:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdedc9b…
04-28 18:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2aa7f9…
04-28 18:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb445b9…
04-28 18:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc130c8…
04-28 13:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x41038d…
04-27 18:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9b52ae…
04-27 09:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaddb44…
04-27 08:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7862ba…
04-27 08:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5c0e10…
04-26 20:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x110f8d…
04-26 20:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc6e8fa…
04-26 20:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf9d767…
04-26 19:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xae2908…
04-26 19:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x002bb6…
04-26 18:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2b8d7e…
04-26 17:55:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc4b17…
04-26 16:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1162ee…
04-26 16:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x49971e…
04-26 16:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf22311…
04-26 13:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0681d9…
04-26 13:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8e3516…
04-26 13:01:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd5e02a…
04-26 11:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5faa23…
04-25 06:56:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda653a…
04-24 15:10:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x08720e…
04-24 14:16:26	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9db38b…