Lively-Output — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$89

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

Trades

337

lifetime

Volume

$2.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-18 07:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% +$89

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?	4	$510	300	300	+0	Yes	+$60	05-12 16:46
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?	1	$456	500	0	+500	open	—	05-14 08:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 18?	1	$435	500	0	+500	open	—	05-18 07:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	1	$172	200	0	+200	open	—	05-17 12:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?	2	$154	200	0	+200	open	—	05-17 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	12	$57	56	56	+0	open	—	05-01 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	12	$51	34	34	+0	Down	+$15	05-05 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$44	58	29	+29	open	—	04-30 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$38	47	47	+0	open	—	05-01 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	7	$28	50	0	+50	open	—	04-30 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$26	37	36	+0	open	—	05-01 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	4	$22	23	23	+0	open	—	05-01 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$22	33	22	+11	open	—	05-01 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	7	$22	21	21	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$20	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$20	27	27	+0	open	—	05-01 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$20	31	15	+16	open	—	05-01 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-01 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	13	$19	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$18	30	0	+30	open	—	04-30 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$17	13	13	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	3	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	4	$16	30	30	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$16	30	30	+0	open	—	05-01 12:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$16	22	10	+12	Up	$-6	05-11 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	04-30 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-30 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$15	32	0	+32	open	—	04-30 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-30 12:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 07:52:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x75fe5d…
05-17 12:56:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	198	77¢	$152	0x5576ff…
05-17 12:29:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xd43c8b…
05-17 12:29:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xa97025…
05-17 09:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x5eb138…
05-17 09:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8acc18…
05-16 20:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0xe189b9…
05-16 20:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x479ec1…
05-16 20:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x6c6e29…
05-16 20:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x023ab3…
05-14 08:56:25	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	500	91¢	$456	0xc2b2b2…
05-12 16:46:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0xc71dd9…
05-12 16:28:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x28d279…
05-12 16:27:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x1c0737…
05-12 16:26:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb07f53…
05-12 09:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb3d8e3…
05-12 09:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9a7a28…
05-12 09:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x6380da…
05-12 09:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc58c56…
05-12 09:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc7d1b4…
05-12 09:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x9a88d9…
05-12 09:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb90876…
05-12 09:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x54e231…
05-12 09:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf9947c…
05-12 09:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf134c8…
05-12 09:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x8ee86f…
05-12 08:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6b2514…
05-12 08:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfa236b…
05-12 08:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xac7786…
05-12 08:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xa59822…
05-12 08:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x842e0e…
05-12 08:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb51831…
05-12 08:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x77ccda…
05-12 07:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfa3651…
05-12 07:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x960ec1…
05-12 07:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xf997df…
05-12 07:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x7a1567…
05-12 07:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x57da67…
05-12 07:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x283b99…
05-12 07:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x22868f…
05-12 07:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xa2868b…
05-12 06:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x9eb489…
05-12 06:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x52c871…
05-12 06:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x87eeed…
05-12 06:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4cb9e9…
05-12 06:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4cd48f…
05-12 06:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3a748d…
05-12 06:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd771ee…
05-12 06:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x8bedc2…
05-12 06:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0x7d2c0a…
05-12 06:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x67ec32…
05-12 06:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xb2091d…
05-12 06:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x30679a…
05-12 06:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x296c5c…
05-12 06:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xfb3e3a…
05-12 06:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x069cea…
05-12 05:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa91784…
05-11 22:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xe2a892…
05-11 20:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x858a4d…
05-11 18:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x10bfa7…
05-11 18:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x569012…
05-11 18:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x463f8c…
05-11 18:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x11d97d…
05-11 18:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x2c01da…
05-11 18:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6e4e07…
05-11 18:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x555e3a…
05-11 18:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1f55b7…
05-11 18:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x512278…
05-11 18:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x513a7b…
05-11 18:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1f4e6b…
05-11 18:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb9eb98…
05-11 17:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xd3fe57…
05-11 17:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x937cc4…
05-11 17:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x642c59…
05-11 17:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x5ce81e…
05-11 17:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcff96e…
05-11 17:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xab1114…
05-11 17:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x40b1de…
05-11 17:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa65d8e…
05-11 17:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x4989ed…
05-11 17:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8ccd8b…
05-11 17:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x147c87…
05-11 17:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x7f36c3…
05-11 17:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x288c5d…
05-11 17:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xed94b9…
05-11 17:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5d90e5…
05-11 16:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x931e08…
05-11 16:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x35813e…
05-11 16:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x0a89d2…
05-11 16:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6e52fa…
05-11 16:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3e7542…
05-11 15:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x182322…
05-11 15:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x1149f8…
05-11 15:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xc32426…
05-11 14:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd7d1cb…
05-11 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x76270e…
05-11 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x1874c4…
05-11 14:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfb8641…
05-11 14:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xd661af…
05-11 14:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x000a4b…