Concerned-Astrolabe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$45

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.6%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$63

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-12 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 62% +$45

Tech

35% — —

Politics

14% — —

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	8	$3.6K	7,407	7,407	+0	open	—	06-12 18:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$1.5K	844	844	+0	open	—	04-22 17:21
btc updown 5m 1776349800	4	$566	552	41	+511	open	—	04-16 14:34
btc updown 5m 1776386100	1	$480	485	0	+485	open	—	04-17 00:39
btc updown 5m 1776352800	5	$340	735	0	+735	open	—	04-16 15:24
Will Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model be released by April 30, 2026?	3	$299	1,560	0	+1,560	open	—	04-16 13:38
btc updown 5m 1776350400	3	$251	130	129	+0	open	—	04-16 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	6	$240	419	0	+419	Up	$-22	05-09 17:59
btc updown 5m 1776357000	2	$200	372	0	+372	open	—	04-16 16:33
btc updown 5m 1776397200	2	$200	390	0	+390	open	—	04-17 03:45
btc updown 5m 1776508200	2	$200	208	0	+208	open	—	04-18 10:34
btc updown 5m 1776401100	2	$200	208	0	+208	open	—	04-17 04:49
btc updown 5m 1776347400	4	$184	605	0	+605	open	—	04-16 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	8	$170	218	0	+218	Down	+$24	05-10 01:59
btc updown 5m 1776390000	4	$130	139	0	+139	open	—	04-17 01:44
btc updown 5m 1776359700	2	$120	167	0	+167	open	—	04-16 17:16
btc updown 5m 1776358500	2	$120	279	0	+279	open	—	04-16 16:58
btc updown 5m 1776348000	3	$120	137	0	+137	open	—	04-16 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$120	148	0	+148	Down	+$28	05-09 05:54
btc updown 5m 1776357900	2	$110	164	0	+164	open	—	04-16 16:46
btc updown 5m 1776357600	2	$104	257	0	+257	open	—	04-16 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$103	266	0	+266	Up	+$13	05-09 17:39
btc updown 5m 1776357300	2	$102	330	0	+330	open	—	04-16 16:39
btc updown 5m 1776358200	3	$102	339	0	+339	open	—	04-16 16:54
btc updown 5m 1776351000	2	$101	218	0	+218	open	—	04-16 14:55
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	1	$100	2,565	0	+2,565	open	—	06-12 03:34
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	1	$100	5,911	0	+5,911	open	—	06-12 03:34
btc updown 5m 1776344400	1	$100	263	0	+263	open	—	04-16 13:04
btc updown 5m 1776345900	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-16 13:29
btc updown 5m 1776385800	1	$100	120	0	+120	open	—	04-17 00:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 18:20:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	3,704	4¢	$148	0x03a963…
06-12 10:36:31	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x42dd9c…
06-12 10:17:43	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa92dfa…
06-12 10:13:04	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbfb166…
06-12 09:57:36	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xd9e821…
06-12 09:55:16	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4bf10d…
06-12 09:51:30	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x568872…
06-12 08:21:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	2,626	40¢	$1,050	0xdfd618…
06-12 08:04:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	109	40¢	$44	0xe4e5f4…
06-12 08:02:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x35e19b…
06-12 07:49:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	500	40¢	$200	0xf34243…
06-12 07:48:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	SELL	462	40¢	$187	0x0bdd2b…
06-12 04:47:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	3,704	27¢	$1,000	0x358177…
06-12 04:24:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	3,704	27¢	$1,000	0x31c88e…
06-12 03:34:51	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	Yes	BUY	5,911	2¢	$100	0x384668…
06-12 03:34:03	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt4t	Yes	BUY	2,565	4¢	$100	0x2551a3…
05-10 03:01:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe85a30…
05-10 01:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5b3d9b…
05-10 01:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdd6be5…
05-10 01:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	120	84¢	$100	0x89f7c8…
05-10 01:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe7ee48…
05-10 01:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe876d7…
05-10 01:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x8cc747…
05-10 01:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x1e989a…
05-10 01:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf9d05a…
05-09 18:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xb4a255…
05-09 18:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf42ee7…
05-09 18:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x209444…
05-09 18:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x5a7907…
05-09 18:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x130e3c…
05-09 18:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2a4fa1…
05-09 18:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2f2c2f…
05-09 18:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x000dd1…
05-09 18:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x765ece…
05-09 18:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf09db2…
05-09 18:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1e8cb7…
05-09 18:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x7b75fa…
05-09 18:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xd22f87…
05-09 18:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x57cee4…
05-09 18:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x17b0a1…
05-09 18:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1f09f5…
05-09 18:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x6c58fc…
05-09 18:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa9d421…
05-09 18:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0xfeb14f…
05-09 18:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x22fd3a…
05-09 18:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	84	20¢	$17	0x4e73e6…
05-09 18:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x1b1642…
05-09 18:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x5d3b75…
05-09 17:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	154	7¢	$10	0xacedaa…
05-09 17:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x1923d8…
05-09 17:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xafa6d8…
05-09 17:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x37b23a…
05-09 17:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xd1c77b…
05-09 17:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xe4a23e…
05-09 17:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb45ef3…
05-09 17:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x155e19…
05-09 17:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xe682fc…
05-09 17:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbfa563…
05-09 17:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xd5efee…
05-09 17:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x09bcf2…
05-09 17:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa23add…
05-09 17:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x510ba2…
05-09 17:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x500e4f…
05-09 17:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8e8ef7…
05-09 17:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xab2185…
05-09 17:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x9d06c2…
05-09 17:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd9325e…
05-09 17:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	23	82¢	$19	0xd8600e…
05-09 17:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xe18f38…
05-09 17:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb9cd02…
05-09 08:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc73982…
05-09 05:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xdec32d…
05-09 05:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x140c15…
05-09 05:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x9eaabc…
05-09 05:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4c09d4…
05-09 05:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xc5f571…
05-09 05:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x1db6f8…
04-22 17:26:04	btc updown 5m 1776878700	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xf78467…
04-22 17:23:26	btc updown 5m 1776878400	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x7fac27…
04-22 17:21:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	844	100¢	$841	0x653b20…
04-19 05:01:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	844	82¢	$692	0x3341b0…
04-18 10:34:28	btc updown 5m 1776508200	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xfa9025…
04-18 10:34:12	btc updown 5m 1776508200	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x892229…
04-18 06:42:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xdf770a…
04-18 06:40:28	btc updown 5m 1776494400	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x24974c…
04-17 04:49:46	btc updown 5m 1776401100	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x59a264…
04-17 04:49:36	btc updown 5m 1776401100	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xa79949…
04-17 04:34:20	btc updown 5m 1776400200	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7af0d2…
04-17 04:34:08	btc updown 5m 1776400200	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xb08738…
04-17 04:33:56	btc updown 5m 1776400200	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x31eab6…
04-17 03:45:00	btc updown 5m 1776397200	Down	BUY	285	35¢	$100	0x7ee918…
04-17 03:44:12	btc updown 5m 1776397200	Down	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x19cbcd…
04-17 02:59:58	btc updown 5m 1776394500	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf8e47c…
04-17 02:58:54	btc updown 5m 1776394500	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb5fa1b…
04-17 01:44:32	btc updown 5m 1776390000	Down	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xe4f51d…
04-17 01:44:18	btc updown 5m 1776390000	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbecb8b…
04-17 01:44:02	btc updown 5m 1776390000	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7d62cb…
04-17 01:40:46	btc updown 5m 1776390000	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x355828…
04-17 01:30:30	btc updown 5m 1776389400	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x3d66a4…
04-17 01:25:26	btc updown 5m 1776389100	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf2f42d…