Intentional-Coincidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$311

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

107

Trades

1,182

lifetime

Volume

$40.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 05-07 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-311

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772644500	1	$200	253	+253	open	—	03-04 17:19
btc updown 15m 1772645400	1	$200	255	+255	open	—	03-04 17:34
btc updown 15m 1772661600	1	$194	249	+249	open	—	03-04 22:04
eth updown 15m 1772648100	1	$170	213	+213	open	—	03-04 18:19
eth updown 15m 1772646300	1	$170	202	+202	open	—	03-04 17:48
eth updown 15m 1773831600	2	$169	230	+230	open	—	03-18 11:11
btc updown 15m 1772646300	1	$162	226	+226	open	—	03-04 17:48
eth updown 15m 1773636300	2	$158	222	+222	open	—	03-16 04:56
eth updown 15m 1772667000	1	$152	179	+179	open	—	03-04 23:33
eth updown 15m 1773688500	1	$150	189	+189	open	—	03-16 19:19
eth updown 15m 1774614600	1	$150	262	+262	open	—	03-27 12:29
eth updown 15m 1773685800	1	$150	200	+200	open	—	03-16 18:34
eth updown 15m 1773731700	1	$150	178	+178	open	—	03-17 07:19
eth updown 15m 1774602900	1	$150	271	+271	open	—	03-27 09:15
eth updown 15m 1774618200	1	$150	267	+267	open	—	03-27 13:29
eth updown 15m 1774600200	1	$150	264	+264	open	—	03-27 08:29
eth updown 15m 1774626300	1	$150	268	+268	open	—	03-27 15:44
eth updown 15m 1774649700	1	$150	268	+268	open	—	03-27 22:14
eth updown 15m 1774596600	1	$150	264	+264	open	—	03-27 07:29
eth updown 15m 1774625400	1	$150	268	+268	open	—	03-27 15:29
eth updown 15m 1773690300	1	$150	172	+172	open	—	03-16 19:49
eth updown 15m 1773727200	1	$150	176	+176	open	—	03-17 06:03
eth updown 15m 1774650600	1	$150	263	+263	open	—	03-27 22:29
eth updown 15m 1774588500	1	$150	268	+268	open	—	03-27 05:14
eth updown 15m 1773667800	1	$150	201	+201	open	—	03-16 13:33
eth updown 15m 1773666900	1	$150	179	+179	open	—	03-16 13:18
eth updown 15m 1773698400	1	$150	171	+171	open	—	03-16 22:04
eth updown 15m 1773641700	1	$150	174	+174	open	—	03-16 06:19
eth updown 15m 1773734400	1	$135	158	+158	open	—	03-17 08:03
eth updown 15m 1774357200	2	$130	983	+983	open	—	03-24 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 07:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x6d9df7…
05-07 06:55:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0xc19504…
05-07 05:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xd4118e…
05-07 05:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0xfab952…
05-07 05:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0xa8c4e3…
05-07 05:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x4eb079…
05-07 05:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x8c2992…
05-07 05:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x72b8cb…
05-07 04:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0xce5149…
05-07 04:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x90a3b4…
05-07 04:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x0fec55…
05-07 04:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x3b8e50…
05-07 04:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x025921…
05-07 03:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x69abbb…
05-07 03:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	59	68¢	$40	0x4225aa…
05-07 03:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xb576c1…
05-07 03:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xea4ddc…
05-07 01:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	70	58¢	$40	0xd1d9bf…
05-06 23:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x5292a8…
05-06 23:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xc71240…
05-06 23:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x74185d…
05-06 22:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x4e66fe…
05-06 22:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xdb93ae…
05-06 22:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x630bd4…
05-06 21:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0xa81100…
05-06 21:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0x77071a…
05-06 20:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x511b8a…
05-06 20:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	75	54¢	$40	0x762a00…
05-06 20:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0xd4e62b…
05-06 19:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	57	70¢	$40	0x9bf454…
05-06 17:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x4e76f8…
05-06 09:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x4b1901…
05-06 09:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x236d6c…
05-06 09:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xdec51a…
05-06 09:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0x839298…
05-06 08:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd46c84…
05-06 08:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7008f6…
05-06 07:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xec2283…
05-06 07:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2efed8…
05-06 07:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	73	68¢	$50	0x4a29c2…
05-06 07:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3a0aad…
05-06 06:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xa58aa0…
05-06 06:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x3bccfb…
05-06 06:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x48dec2…
05-06 06:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x78488d…
05-06 06:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3bdfa8…
05-06 06:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2cfdb9…
05-06 05:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xc2965d…
05-06 05:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6253da…
05-06 05:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x694058…
05-06 05:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xec1876…
05-06 05:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x8adaa9…
05-06 05:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5daa68…
05-06 05:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x64c549…
05-06 04:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0xdc244e…
05-06 04:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7d89c1…
05-06 04:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	87	59¢	$52	0x134f6c…
05-06 04:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x79406f…
05-06 04:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x32acdc…
05-06 04:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xfd9174…
05-06 04:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x1a75a9…
05-06 03:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x49f2e8…
05-06 03:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3b710b…
05-06 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x27dcc3…
05-06 02:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9a2ca7…
05-06 02:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfbb975…
05-06 02:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x284956…
05-06 01:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc70f25…
05-06 00:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x4c3733…
05-06 00:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x1bca46…
05-06 00:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x7975f3…
05-06 00:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x4c8918…
05-06 00:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xd0de68…
05-05 23:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	103	48¢	$50	0xa03fa0…
05-05 22:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x564596…
05-05 21:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x73783e…
05-05 21:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x9b4365…
05-05 21:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xfeb2e7…
05-05 21:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xa12e3c…
05-05 21:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	173	29¢	$50	0x641029…
05-05 21:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xfd9ae9…
05-05 21:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x506feb…
05-05 21:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x17a283…
05-05 21:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4a17e1…
05-05 20:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x440f56…
05-05 20:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xa5f715…
05-05 19:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x548ccc…
05-05 19:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x0e67d8…
05-05 19:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe4b408…
05-05 18:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xdd0eb2…
05-05 18:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xa7db68…
05-05 18:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0xd8777b…
05-05 18:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xaf32bc…
05-05 18:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x72bef7…
05-05 18:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x2f1d5b…
05-05 18:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x0c88e7…
05-05 17:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x880c33…
05-05 17:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x091119…
05-05 17:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x14541b…
05-05 16:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x26c7b8…