Defiant-Woodchuck — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

Trades

102

lifetime

Volume

$2.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-13 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 0% $-23

Crypto

39% 53% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ere goa her1 2026 02 11 total 3pt5	2	$258	190	190	+0	open	—	02-11 19:31
btc updown 15m 1770834600	4	$173	241	239	+2	open	—	02-11 18:43
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	2	$120	91	91	+0	open	—	02-11 18:29
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	2	$101	97	97	+0	open	—	02-11 21:29
epl ast bri 2026 02 11 total 3pt5	1	$100	323	0	+323	open	—	02-11 19:44
ere goa her1 2026 02 11 total 4pt5	1	$88	315	0	+315	open	—	02-11 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	7	$70	101	0	+101	Down	$-43	05-13 13:13
dfb bay rbl 2026 02 11 total 2pt5	1	$68	152	0	+152	open	—	02-11 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	7	$67	105	0	+105	Up	+$6	05-13 12:47
epl tot new 2026 02 10 btts	2	$67	42	42	+0	open	—	02-10 21:03
btc updown 15m 1770835500	1	$58	223	0	+223	open	—	02-11 18:47
lal vil esp 2026 02 09 total 4pt5	1	$57	357	0	+357	open	—	02-08 19:35
epl wes mun 2026 02 10 total 4pt5	1	$50	209	0	+209	open	—	02-10 20:10
elc bir wba 2026 02 10 total 3pt5	1	$50	238	0	+238	open	—	02-10 20:09
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	2	$49	43	43	+0	open	—	02-11 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$45	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 12:40
epl tot new 2026 02 10 total 4pt5	1	$42	167	0	+167	open	—	02-10 21:04
epl bre ars 2026 02 12 total 4pt5	1	$40	269	0	+269	open	—	02-12 19:49
es2 leo lpm 2026 03 01 total 2pt5	2	$39	29	29	+0	open	—	03-01 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$36	190	0	+190	Down	+$4	05-13 13:44
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$34	54	54	+0	No	$-16	02-12 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	6	$33	42	20	+23	Down	+$7	05-13 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$30	37	0	+37	Down	+$7	05-13 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$30	17	17	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$30	37	0	+37	Down	+$7	05-13 13:31
Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$28	100	100	+0	No	$-22	02-12 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	10	$26	172	0	+172	Up	+$37	05-13 12:13
epl tot new 2026 02 10 tot	1	$25	89	0	+89	open	—	02-10 19:45
itsb pes cat 2026 02 10 total 3pt5	1	$25	104	0	+104	open	—	02-10 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:19:59	SS Lazio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x99ea83…
05-13 15:14:09	FC Hradec Králové vs. FC Slovan Liberec: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x711848…
05-13 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x8259d1…
05-13 13:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0xbb1e7a…
05-13 13:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	150	4¢	$6	0xa81289…
05-13 13:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xd8ad55…
05-13 13:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x1ad958…
05-13 13:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x086cee…
05-13 13:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0xc09619…
05-13 13:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xff74e9…
05-13 13:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x79606a…
05-13 13:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x1e0007…
05-13 13:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd20b20…
05-13 13:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x68c42f…
05-13 13:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x167271…
05-13 13:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xe2e9da…
05-13 12:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x1a42e4…
05-13 12:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x94c398…
05-13 12:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xedaf85…
05-13 12:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x36eaf5…
05-13 12:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xded179…
05-13 12:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x89a5fb…
05-13 12:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xbfbc8a…
05-13 12:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x614dd1…
05-13 12:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x06140f…
05-13 12:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xa5507f…
05-13 12:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0x816b20…
05-13 12:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xd356c9…
05-13 12:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xd46ab5…
05-13 12:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xdbafef…
05-13 12:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa4f335…
05-13 12:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x368da2…
05-13 12:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa15c9b…
05-13 12:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa5b524…
05-13 12:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfa02d7…
05-13 12:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xadacd7…
05-13 12:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4a9e12…
05-13 12:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb0c84e…
05-13 12:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbb1bf9…
05-13 12:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x8d2156…
05-13 11:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xabb580…
05-13 11:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x721294…
05-13 11:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x7e4305…
05-13 11:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xe592bb…
05-13 11:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x3cc98d…
05-13 11:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0x308a3d…
05-13 11:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5136a1…
05-13 11:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xdf32a7…
05-13 11:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x022114…
05-13 11:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x419c1e…
05-13 11:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xe9ed7b…
05-13 11:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x65502a…
05-13 11:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x0146cb…
05-13 11:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4ccee4…
05-13 11:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0x021bd6…
05-13 11:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x20657d…
05-13 11:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xca6236…
05-13 11:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x16f233…
05-13 10:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x049bc2…
05-13 10:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd60722…
05-13 10:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x302392…
05-13 10:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x74fbc4…
05-13 10:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x01022a…
05-13 10:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	97¢	$13	0xaad90b…
05-13 10:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd89e82…
03-01 19:39:49	bun hsv lei 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0xd32f1e…
03-01 19:25:57	lal bet sev 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0x96a1d8…
03-01 19:24:45	es2 leo lpm 2026 03 01 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x3c4528…
03-01 19:08:31	es2 leo lpm 2026 03 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0x1a5a9e…
03-01 18:53:03	tur ant fen 2026 03 01 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	41	32¢	$13	0xd30265…
03-01 18:52:43	tur sam gfk 2026 03 01 sam	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x99b300…
02-12 21:48:25	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	58	20¢	$12	0x12481f…
02-12 21:48:05	Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	54	16¢	$9	0x3a3f46…
02-12 21:47:59	Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x83bc81…
02-12 19:49:45	epl bre ars 2026 02 12 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	269	15¢	$40	0x985b7e…
02-12 19:17:09	spl haz okh 2026 02 12 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0x808b84…
02-11 21:33:43	dfb bay rbl 2026 02 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	152	45¢	$68	0xbf6ff4…
02-11 21:30:05	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	Yes	SELL	43	56¢	$24	0xea6a40…
02-11 21:29:59	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	No	SELL	97	46¢	$44	0x736ac3…
02-11 19:44:27	epl ast bri 2026 02 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x7d2495…
02-11 19:33:43	ere goa her1 2026 02 11 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	315	28¢	$88	0xe5f73c…
02-11 19:31:19	ere goa her1 2026 02 11 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	190	99¢	$188	0x8d71be…
02-11 19:06:57	ere goa her1 2026 02 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	190	37¢	$70	0xf3c8bc…
02-11 18:47:33	btc updown 15m 1770835500	Down	BUY	223	26¢	$58	0x8d5db1…
02-11 18:43:37	btc updown 15m 1770834600	Down	SELL	138	20¢	$28	0x8e1fa6…
02-11 18:40:43	btc updown 15m 1770834600	Down	BUY	138	13¢	$18	0xa8e1e4…
02-11 18:39:53	btc updown 15m 1770834600	Up	SELL	101	87¢	$88	0x6951bd…
02-11 18:35:43	btc updown 15m 1770834600	Up	BUY	103	38¢	$39	0xc08e93…
02-11 18:29:21	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	No	SELL	91	77¢	$70	0xe42ad1…
02-10 21:04:19	epl tot new 2026 02 10 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	167	25¢	$42	0x0e24fc…
02-10 21:03:45	epl tot new 2026 02 10 btts	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x67e923…
02-10 20:10:35	epl wes mun 2026 02 10 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	209	24¢	$50	0x4deec5…
02-10 20:09:39	elc bir wba 2026 02 10 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xdf538f…
02-10 19:49:33	itsb pes cat 2026 02 10 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x799cb0…
02-10 19:45:53	epl tot new 2026 02 10 tot	Yes	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x1ceee5…
02-10 19:45:17	epl tot new 2026 02 10 btts	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x7706da…
02-10 15:12:57	Espresso FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x6443b2…
02-10 15:12:35	Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xbcb7b7…
02-10 10:40:27	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x3d4c52…
02-10 08:35:33	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x803efc…