Qualified-Blow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$884

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-04 02:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

68% — —

Other

28% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	1	$201	203	0	+203	open	—	03-22 21:40
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$163	107	107	+0	open	—	03-05 22:07
will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	04-06 15:16
will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	1	$100	106	0	+106	open	—	04-13 00:00
will peoples party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	1	$50	55	0	+55	open	—	03-25 02:00
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	01-31 23:05
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	3	$33	243	143	+100	open	—	02-11 14:25
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$30	51	0	+51	open	—	04-11 01:26
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	5	$27	113	86	+28	open	—	02-12 18:27
Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$16	35	35	+0	No	$-4	03-22 21:34
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	3	$15	28	15	+13	open	—	02-12 18:27
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$15	42	42	+0	open	—	04-13 07:08
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$10	27	27	+0	open	—	03-22 21:32
will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	04-13 00:00
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	02-21 05:47
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	2	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	03-22 21:33
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	01-25 03:39
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	04-08 00:51
will iraq qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	03-30 13:55
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	01-25 03:54
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-16 07:23
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$2	26	0	+26	No	$-2	04-12 00:14
will sanseit win the third most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	1	$2	17	0	+17	open	—	01-25 03:50
will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	02-08 23:17
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	1	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	01-25 03:48
will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-09 07:08
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-13 04:49
Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	1	$1	73	0	+73	open	—	05-10 06:30
will partido popular win 28 30 seats in the 2026 aragon regional election	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-06 08:24
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1	143	0	+143	open	—	04-12 00:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 02:11:23	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	Paraguay	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd10483…
07-02 06:43:31	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Austria	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb4b045…
07-02 06:42:53	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Croatia	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x59131a…
05-10 06:30:19	Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x5c258f…
04-23 04:19:28	will the all india anna dravida munnetra kazhagam admk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x03b9c5…
04-20 22:27:52	Will Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc02cf2…
04-20 22:27:44	Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x329222…
04-13 07:08:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x7850ce…
04-13 00:00:37	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xb104f8…
04-13 00:00:25	will progressive bulgaria pb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xc00270…
04-12 00:14:29	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xf900ba…
04-12 00:14:23	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x954434…
04-12 00:14:23	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	26	8¢	$2	0x564dff…
04-11 01:26:07	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x05cc73…
04-09 07:08:41	will tatiana auguste win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xe05c12…
04-08 00:51:13	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x879d1d…
04-08 00:50:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x73e710…
04-06 15:16:11	will clayton fuller win the ga 14 special election	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x423d39…
03-30 13:57:11	will bosnia and herzegovina qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x62fa3f…
03-30 13:55:37	will iraq qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x707170…
03-30 13:55:13	will jamaica qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdb2978…
03-30 13:54:51	will czechia qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x93cbf0…
03-30 13:54:09	will poland qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x43a4bb…
03-30 13:53:49	will kosovo qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x96f18c…
03-25 02:00:01	will peoples party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xf9ddda…
03-22 21:40:03	will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	Yes	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0x55de78…
03-22 21:34:01	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	35	16¢	$6	0x5056c8…
03-22 21:33:01	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x29cf2b…
03-22 21:32:45	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x74d554…
03-22 12:33:29	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8d1847…
03-21 04:13:19	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x2a84e5…
03-21 04:13:01	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf2c15f…
03-16 07:23:11	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x283be1…
03-16 07:21:37	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaae72c…
03-14 06:32:49	will partido socialista obrero espaol psoe win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 415	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x62b1f1…
03-13 04:49:55	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb55cef…
03-05 22:07:09	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	107	59¢	$63	0xeeddc8…
02-21 05:47:44	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xec9ee7…
02-21 05:47:26	Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfe31f8…
02-12 18:27:29	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xc6a141…
02-12 18:27:11	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x6672c7…
02-12 18:24:41	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	SELL	15	37¢	$5	0x2fdad9…
02-12 18:24:35	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	SELL	36	16¢	$6	0x01b6ea…
02-11 14:25:41	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x086c83…
02-11 14:23:23	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	SELL	143	9¢	$13	0x977898…
02-10 07:14:07	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x50c9f7…
02-10 07:10:53	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x550a40…
02-08 23:21:27	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xaf092e…
02-08 23:21:09	will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xbf9879…
02-08 23:17:21	will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2271c9…
02-08 20:03:33	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xca18ea…
02-08 19:49:05	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xe76f56…
02-06 08:24:55	will partido popular win 28 30 seats in the 2026 aragon regional election	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x54362a…
02-02 06:43:28	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0xef1b87…
01-31 23:05:28	will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	Yes	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xc08b63…
01-25 20:41:14	arg boc rie 2026 01 25 spread home 1pt5	CD Riestra	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3155b9…
01-25 06:07:08	epl ars mun 2026 01 25 draw	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6b63d1…
01-25 03:54:12	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x296124…
01-25 03:50:12	will sanseit win the third most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x06cf45…
01-25 03:49:40	will sanseit win the second most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x1b10a5…
01-25 03:48:10	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc15295…
01-25 03:47:46	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1520	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x78a90a…
01-25 03:47:38	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1015	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0799e3…
01-25 03:39:42	US strike on Mexico by January 31?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc12ed1…