Same-Arrest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-11 16:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$1

Politics

34% 0% $-3

Other

17% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$6	7	1	+6	Down	+$1	05-11 16:27
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	2	$2	20	0	+20	open	—	05-11 11:08
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-11 16:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$1	125	0	+125	open	—	05-11 16:38
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	05-11 11:01
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-11 11:06
Will Trump say "Asylum" this week?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	$-1	05-11 11:05
Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-11 11:06
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	$-1	05-11 11:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-11 16:36
Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	$-1	05-11 11:05
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	1	$1	13	0	+13	open	—	05-11 11:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 16:38:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x2bdef7…
05-11 16:36:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x1312df…
05-11 16:35:27	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x981515…
05-11 16:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xa1b0f0…
05-11 16:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe4111c…
05-11 11:08:14	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xdf822e…
05-11 11:08:05	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x8241f5…
05-11 11:06:24	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xb2599f…
05-11 11:06:06	Will Trump say "NVIDIA" this week?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb5fd7f…
05-11 11:05:58	Will Trump say "Asylum" this week?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xc5a61b…
05-11 11:05:38	Will Trump say "Transgender" this week?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x8e3d16…
05-11 11:05:14	Will Trump say "Cuba" this week?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xae8d29…
05-11 11:02:26	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x4abbaa…
05-11 11:01:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x0ee4d2…