Likely-Activation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$193

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-10 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 60% $-12

Sports

3% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$15	22	0	+22	Up	+$7	05-06 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	+$6	05-06 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	$-10	05-07 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-10	05-07 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Down	$-10	05-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-09 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$10	15	0	+15	Up	$-10	05-10 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-07 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-09 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-09 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-09 10:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-07 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$7	05-07 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-05 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-06 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	$-5	05-07 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-09 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-09 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-09 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-06 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-09 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$4	7	0	+7	Down	+$3	05-09 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-09 20:37
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	2	$2	3	0	+3	Hurricanes	+$1	05-09 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-09 21:14
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	1	$1	2	0	+2	Golden Knights	+$1	05-09 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-06 19:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 14:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x997ab4…
05-10 14:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x567b08…
05-09 21:42:07	Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe84ca0…
05-09 21:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x0c26a1…
05-09 21:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcbbe50…
05-09 21:25:27	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6a8bd0…
05-09 21:23:42	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe8586c…
05-09 21:23:23	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5e7bb8…
05-09 21:18:24	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x54c14a…
05-09 21:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x061d3b…
05-09 21:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x68566a…
05-09 21:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc1659c…
05-09 20:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xa120a4…
05-09 20:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x06f78a…
05-09 20:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x076e5f…
05-09 12:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xa19c2a…
05-09 11:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xeabee0…
05-09 11:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xad91da…
05-09 11:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4cfb5f…
05-09 11:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd74241…
05-09 10:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5d308b…
05-07 17:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd218c3…
05-07 17:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x7974f6…
05-07 17:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x6c6ed5…
05-07 17:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x775ee2…
05-07 17:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x33efbd…
05-07 12:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x02b9d1…
05-06 21:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd82b7c…
05-06 20:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xde618d…
05-06 20:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x776157…
05-06 19:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5eafdb…
05-06 19:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x1786bf…
05-06 19:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x633bee…
05-06 19:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd20441…
05-05 22:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf94ba3…
05-05 21:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3b0818…
05-05 21:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb50721…
05-05 21:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x195845…
05-05 21:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x447cda…
05-05 21:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdff8a2…