Submissive-Day — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$371

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-10 22:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 30% $-16

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	5	$121	120	64	+56	Up	+$1	05-10 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$50	99	0	+99	Up	+$2	05-10 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	8	$48	49	49	+0	Down	$-2	05-10 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$24	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$22	22	22	+0	Down	$-0	05-10 22:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$19	44	43	+1	open	—	04-21 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$17	22	7	+15	Up	$-3	05-10 21:44
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$10	24	0	+24	Up	$-1	05-10 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$10	50	0	+50	Up	$-10	05-10 22:00
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 20c	3	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 20:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-21 11:52
btc updown 5m 1776960300	1	$3	74	0	+74	open	—	04-23 16:07
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 21corhigher	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	04-24 13:43
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 26?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 10:59
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on April 25?	2	$2	11	10	+0	open	—	04-25 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 25?	2	$2	10	9	+0	open	—	04-25 11:32
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 26?	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	04-26 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$2	7	0	+7	Up	$-2	05-08 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-08 11:32
highest temperature in dallas on april 24 2026 72 73f	1	$1	194	0	+194	open	—	04-23 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-26 11:10
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 19c	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-23 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$1	46	0	+46	open	—	04-26 11:04
highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 18c	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	04-23 14:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 22:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x2e725d…
05-10 22:36:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x17e87e…
05-10 22:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xababbc…
05-10 22:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x017964…
05-10 22:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8d4354…
05-10 22:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xafe06c…
05-10 22:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x33a420…
05-10 22:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x17db35…
05-10 22:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4d916a…
05-10 22:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x34da1e…
05-10 22:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x188ebb…
05-10 22:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x7d7d4e…
05-10 22:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	64	96¢	$61	0xbb8104…
05-10 22:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc0ff92…
05-10 22:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x81b8ab…
05-10 22:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x1677d1…
05-10 22:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0x1efbe6…
05-10 22:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x0e0367…
05-10 22:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xf5db05…
05-10 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x161e61…
05-10 21:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xd5f437…
05-10 21:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x96d8b0…
05-10 21:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x971585…
05-10 21:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0e2b11…
05-10 21:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf777b8…
05-10 21:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc9f8af…
05-10 21:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6f9ff4…
05-10 21:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe9624a…
05-10 21:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x4567cc…
05-10 21:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x143b5a…
05-10 21:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x94afe6…
05-10 21:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xa85205…
05-08 11:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xef4ef4…
05-08 11:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9f5b1f…
04-26 11:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe1abb2…
04-26 11:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0x8c5875…
04-26 11:03:40	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 26?	Yes	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x06eb97…
04-26 10:59:48	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 26?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xba251b…
04-25 20:21:56	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa66240…
04-25 20:21:46	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on April 26?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3e7f91…
04-25 20:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xdd9104…
04-25 20:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1fdb7b…
04-25 11:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x576b65…
04-24 20:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x9b3178…
04-24 20:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x035d47…
04-24 20:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x6b986d…
04-24 20:40:50	highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xeb9c1f…
04-24 13:43:12	highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 21corhigher	Yes	SELL	6	25¢	$1	0x4dd38b…
04-23 16:07:06	btc updown 5m 1776960300	Down	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0xa4dfc9…
04-23 14:35:26	highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfcedf4…
04-23 14:33:10	highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x764e6d…
04-23 14:33:02	highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2b8348…
04-23 14:29:44	highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x559a1b…
04-23 14:20:18	highest temperature in munich on april 24 2026 21corhigher	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x63767d…
04-23 13:44:14	highest temperature in dallas on april 24 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	194	1¢	$1	0xc35a89…
04-21 11:52:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x85ba72…
04-21 11:46:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0x371ba6…
04-14 10:49:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	44	32¢	$14	0xcd6ba5…